Showing posts with label Brennan Center for Justice. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Brennan Center for Justice. Show all posts

Sunday, August 16, 2020

If Trump's Reign Of Terror On The Postal Service Succeeds You Can Kiss The Rest Of This Country Goodbye Too



"Victory at any cost! Even if it means burning the whole country and all its institutions down!"

"The Post Office is an earnest,  all-American, beloved, practical part of our lives.   You mess with it and you are messing with a lot of Americans - who apparently are in the mood to push back... The U.S. Postal Service is more American than apple pie.  And I mean that in a very specific sense. Apple pie does not have its own line in the ConstitutionThe Post Office does.  It is a necessity, it is uncontroversial, it is integrated into the fabric of our lives."  - Rachel Maddow, Friday night, MSNBC

As Trump's reign of terror  and sabotage against the coming election and the U.S. Postal Service ramps up it is clear  we are in a state of national emergency.  The problem is few are aware of the extent of the pillage already done. Before it goes beyond salvaging we need millions taking to the streets in protests as loud and energetic as those protesting George Floyd's death at the hands of Minneapolis police.
Exaggeration?  Hell no, not when mail boxes have been carted away in dozens of cities and only a last minute public outcry stopped it  - temporarily at least.  But nothing has of yet stopped the removal and destruction of hundreds of bulk sorting machines - all designed to clog up the mail so voting by mail becomes a herculean task if not impossible.  That means tens of millions of Americans potentially being disenfranchised. As Mika Brzezinski  observed last week Friday on 'Morning Joe', at no other time in our history has such blatant sabotage been carried out against a department enshrined in the Constitution. 
In addition, the  US Postal Service, in letters to 46 states, and the District of Columbia, warned that it could not guarantee all ballots cast by mail for the November election will arrive in time to be counted.  Such a fiasco could possibly affect tens of millions of votes across almost the whole country - especially including key battleground states like Pennsylvania.   The news was reported first in the Washington Post.
But the malicious destruction of sorting machines, which can process up to 36,000 pieces of mail per hour and cost nearly a quarter million bucks each,  uncovers a whole new dimension of Trump's sabotage.  This was reported by Vice News, e.g.

Excerpt:
"Most of the machines being dismantled in the facilities Motherboard identified are delivery bar code sorters (DBCS), into which letters, postcards and similarly sized mail (but not magazines and large envelopes, which are categorized as “flats” and sorted differently) are fed. The DBCS sorts the mail into one of hundreds of “stackers,” a slot about a foot long. Each slot is for a different destination, be it another post office or distribution facility.
A DBCS typically requires two workers to operate: one to feed the mail into the machine, and the other to collect the mail from the stackers and put them in the appropriate bins for transport. Running at peak efficiency, the machines can sort about 35,000 pieces of mail per hour,"
Trump has openly admitted (on FOX Business Network Thursday)  to his deliberate sabotage to prevent mail voting, and hence cheating to try to keep power, e.g
  Excerpt:
"They need that money in order to make the Post Office work so it can take all of these millions and millions of ballots, But if they don’t get those two items, that means you can’t have universal mail-in voting, because they’re not equipped to have it.”   
In other words, the traitorous rat swine will try to destroy the post office in a desperate effort to rubber stamp his fascist authoritarianism.   We also have learned (ibid.)


"This week, House and Senate Democrats sent separate letters to (Louis) DeJoy laying the blame for the recent mail delays at his feet, writing:
“The House is seriously concerned that you are implementing policies that accelerate the crisis at the Postal Service, including directing Post Offices to no longer treat all election mail as First Class. If implemented now, as the election approaches, this policy will cause further delays to election mail that will disenfranchise voters and put significant financial pressure on election jurisdictions.”
But make no mistake, this letter is inadequate given the nature of the emergency and its impact on an election in less than 80 days. Not to mention the impact on the tens  of millions who depend on mail deliveries, from bills to be paid,  to packages expected -  including prescription meds. As columnist Margaret Sullivan has written in The Washington Post Saturday, quoting journalist Elizabeth Spiers:

"Supporting the continued existence of the USPS, which is guaranteed in the Constitution, should be the most straightforward non-political bipartisan effort in existence. Everyone uses it and needs it, and the irony is older rural Trump supporters need it *more*.”

 So what we really need, as Rep. Ayanna Presley pointed out, is an emergency reconvening of the House from its summer break and a serious interrogation of Trump Toady DeJoy by the Oversight Committee.

That and tens of millions protesting in the streets - including in front of DeJoy's home -  just might sway the Senate Republicans to end the insanity and support the postal service which is admired and loved by all political tribes.

As for the very act of mail voting now under siege by Trump, we have had that over the past ten years here in Colorado. The fraud rate?  Estimated by the Brennan Center for Justice at a whopping 0.0000001%.   Or 1 in ten million. About the same probability as being struck twice in the same location by lightning.  As our Secretary of State Jena Griswold has put it (Denver Post, Aug, 14, p 1A):

"It's voter suppression to undermine the safest method to vote during a pandemic and force Americans to risk their lives to vote."

Even more blunt are these words from Biden campaign spokesperson Andrew Bates: 

"The president of the United States is sabotaging a basic service that hundreds of millions of people rely upon, cutting a critical lifeline for rural economies.  That includes cutting off delivery of medicines because he wants to deprive Americans of their fundamental right to vote safely. "

There is no question that this story  -- until the Postal service is re-established whole, as it was - must be the Number 1, Number 2, Number 3 and Number 100 story until the election is over.  Every media source must be on it 24/7 without letup.  As the WaPo's Sullivan notes:

"But if journalists don’t keep the pressure on Postal Service problems, they will be abdicating their duty.  There’s very little that matters more than the Nov. 3 vote. Anything that threatens the integrity of the vote needs to be treated as one of the biggest stories out there — even if it’s not the sexiest."

Ms. Sullivan then quotes Dan Gillmor, co-founder of the News Co/Lab at Arizona State University’s journalism school:

"Some stories demand collaboration, and this one is a plain example. The nation’s newsrooms — working together and, crucially, with the help of the public in communities around the nation — could find out and explain what is going on, at the macro and micro level,” 

And meanwhile, citizens can mount massive protests to garner needed media attention, as the House Oversight Committee reconvenes in emergency session to grill DeJoy and his trolls.  This is too important an issue for anyone to slack off and worst of all, not pay attention.

See Also:

AND:

And:
by Joan McCarter | August 14, 2020 - 7:18am | permalink

Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Latest COVID-19 Model Data Shows A Running Catastrophe- And Why Preparations For Mail Only Voting Need To Be Started NOW


"The inability of so much of the public to remember what Trump was saying just a month ago suggests that, in addition to the coronavirus crisis, we’re also experiencing a national amnesia pandemic."   - Bret Stephens, NY Times  

"Do not be like us!  Don't make the same mistakes we Italians made!  Learn from our experience!  Be aggressive  in containing the spread of the infection from the very beginning."  -  Dr. Cristina Capellini, physician from Bergamo, quoted in WSJ today ('Italian Cases Starting To Slow',   p. A10)

  "If a few people do the wrong thing it hurts everybody. We saw a picture this weekend of a beach in Florida that was totally empty. The county next door didn't have that rule and as soon you crossed the county line there were people lined up  and squished together.  We can't have that! We are in this together." - Dr. David Agus on CBS this a.m. referencing the new, more dire model forecasts  

"The hope is that the number of American deaths now - if we're lucky - could be more in the range of 100,000 to 240,000, and not 1 to 2 million.  That is essentially the goal as described by the Trump administration. And that is only if the United States somehow gets more serious about preventing people from getting it, and passing it on... But the U.S. has the worst epidemic in the world  and the worst managed. "  Rachel Maddow last night, in her first segment.



Here's a newsflash:  The top government scientists battling the coronavirus estimated Tuesday that the deadly pathogen could kill between 100,000 and 240,000 Americans, in spite of the social distancing measures that have drastically limited citizens’ interactions and movements.  Given the COVID-19 pandemic will very probably last into at least well into November,  at least from what I can discern using an adaptation of earlier diffusion wave models, e.g.

Applying The Mathematics Of Traveling Waves & Diff...

It's time states commence preparations for mail voting in the general election. The key equation (1)  is that defining the rate of increase in the infected population  I,  which is now increasing for the  U.S. S and I denote the densities of the susceptible and infected populations (per sq. km or per sq. m).  D is the diffusion coefficient and  m  is the mortality rate for the given disease. The coefficient K defines the rate at which the disease is transmitted locally. Using the values currently available and incorporating projections from a just released Univ. Of Washington data ,model, e.g. 



It is abundantly clear this COVID-19 pandemic crisis will go on for months at minimum likely through August and with over 100,000 Americans dead even in the "optimal"  projection case of immediate severe mitigation by ALL states, not just the big Blue ones.  Currently six states have no stay at home orders at all: Nevada, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska and Arkansas. That means those states are inevitably susceptible to further spread of the virus no matter what the quarantine states do. That means we are looking at an extension of the disease to months, not just weeks.  In addition, a host of states have only partial stay at home orders: Georgia, Florida, South Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wyoming, Utah, Texas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Mississippi and Alabama.  Again, meaning there is no chance we can expect any "perfect" mitigation to limit the deaths to just 100,000 - 240,000.  The point? Without statewide orders to stay the hell inside, we are looking at a joke or jokes, not any serious plans or proposals.  We are certainly not looking at the given states being seriously committed to limiting deaths, especially in their elderly residents.

Even in the "best case" scenario for rigorous state lockdowns, mitigations we are looking at over 2,000 deaths per day going through May.  See e.g.


But this is assuming full mitigation, not partial like we have now.  The takeaway then cannot possibly be as sanguine as portrayed because it would mean a nation wide order for all citizens to stay at home. Not six states blowing it off, and 11 others only doing it partially. That is the assumption for these models for which the projections are so dire. Hence, the outcome in reality cannot possibly be as "good" as that depicted.  This is given how the Trump bunch has loused up pandemic planning, lying through their teeth with 'happy talk' every step of the way, and even forcing health workers to compete for masks, gowns, ventilators.  But most abominably refusing to order national shutdowns while coordinating use of scarce supplies.  Like it or not, the PR maestro and reality TV idiot -  so beloved by his freakish base-   now faces the specter of being responsible for more deaths than in the Korean and Vietnam Wars combined.

 This means deaths will still be mounting  deep into the fall and we will be faced with mass shutdowns throughout the U.S. past November 3rd - as inconceivable as that sounds now.  That means the states need to get going with planning and preparation for an all mail ballot general election..

Currently, as noted in a recent WSJ piece (March 28-29, p. A5, 'States Weigh Expansion of Vote by Mail') "all states allow some voters to cast mail ballots, but a third of states apply conditions for residents to use that method."   In order to ensure fairness in the general election those conditions need to be removed, despite what the DOE-Turd said about "Dems winning too easily if we allow mail voting."  No, dope, if you don't allow mail voting in a parlous time such as we're in you are taking away the citizens' franchise - and that is downright unconstitutional.  Besides, we already know the pandemic has already caused some states to delay primary voting (e.g. Ohio).  This can't happen for the general election for which the date is mandated under federal  law.

Colorado, our state, already has mail voting and has used it for years now. Both of us, let me note, have also done the traditional thing of going out to the polling station - both here in the Springs and earlier in Columbia, Maryland - and believe me there is no comparison.  It is far easier to not have to take time off from a job to vote, or to battle illness, physical handicap or whatever. Nor is it necessary to stand in long lines to wait to cast a ballot- only to learn on arriving at the polling station there are no more ballots, so you have to use a "provisional" ballot. 

Why don't more states offer the convenience of mail ballots and early voting? Who knows? But my suspicion is basically they want  to make it difficult to vote for certain demographic groups they don't trust - such as African-Americans, Native Americans and others.  Trump's very words cited earlier, indict him of wanting to "stack the deck" for Repukes by not allowing mail ballots.  He knows in his black heart that easier voting means many more voters going Dem and his Reptiles being forced out of office. This is a no brainer. Or should be, but evidently not among Repukes.  

In the same piece we learn that Miss0uri  Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft isn't buying it. He insists a decision "shouldn't be rushed".  Of course, this is insane and insupportable given "election officials need months to prepare options for the November votes, a date set by federal law."   

As par for the course, Ashcroft's concerns are specious, i.e.:   "He said while he is open to changes his concerns include logistics and protecting mail ballots from tampering."

This is specious because as the Brennan Center of Justice has repeatedly shown ballot tempering is minimal to non-existent. We are talking of incidents in the range from 0 to 0,0001%.  (I.e. out of 10,000 ballots one may be tampered with.) It simply isn't worth bothering about in relation to the potential to invoke this nonsense to deny millions the vote.   Possibly realizing after he said that this was arrant codswallop, Ashcroft then blurted that "there could be problems for voters who mail ballots or vote early - like some did for the Democratic primaries - but for which the candidate then dropped out."  Again, nonsense, as I don't expect either Biden or Trump to "drop out" and those are the two principals to be voted on     

Ashcroft then showed his true Reeptardo colors as he went on to blab:  "If you want to have  the safest election you got to have people show up on election day."  Uh, no you do not, Einstein. Not in the midst of what is turning out to be the worst pandemic in over one hundred years.  Again, this turkey is thinking in terms of the minuscule incidence of ballot tampering which he is blowing up into some major pervasive issue, which it is not.    But his spin falls in line with Trump's given the realization that more expeditious voting plays in favor of the Democrats, not Repubs.  So that is why it is not "safe", because THEY will lose!    

Wendy Weiser, head of the Democracy Program at the Brennan Center was quoted as saying:  

"Our election infrastructure right now is not currently prepared for the dramatic increase in mail voting that we're going to have to anticipate and allow."

Well, our election infrastructure had better wake up and get going, or watch our general election dive into the dumpster.  As for the scofflaw red state governors and their obsession with the economy over mitigation, they do well to learn the "first rule of virus economics". As articulated by the University of Chicago's Austan Goolsbee, the essence is to resuscitate the economy you need to stop the virus.  Trying to resuscitate the economy prematurely will only lead to greater disaster because more infected people will be unleashed to spread the virus later and later,.  This should not be 'rocket science' or like a Mensa entry test.


See also:

AP FACT CHECK: Trump's misfires on virus death rates, tests


AND:

Wednesday, December 13, 2017

Could Child Predator Roy Moore Steal Back The Alabama Senate Election?

Many Republicans rushed to distance themselves from Roy Moore in the aftermath of allegations.
Child sex predator Roy Moore after his apparent defeat last night. He refuses to concede to Doug Jones, perhaps because he expects thousands of provisional ballots to be thrown out.

The Alabama special election results are now (seemingly)  in the history books, and  moderate Dem Doug Jones appears to have defeated the child rapist Reeptard Roy Moore,  by 49.0 to 48.3 with 99% of precincts reporting.  The vote difference numerically is 21, 300.  At Jones’ election night party hundreds of supporters, many waving signs, erupted in cheers at a hotel ballroom in Birmingham when, on giant TV screens, CNN declared the race for the Democrat. There were hugs, smiles, tears and chants of “We want Doug!” The raw emotion was evident.
Supporters celebrate as Doug Jones is declared the winner during his election night gathering.
If one tuned into left-leaning MSNBC one could sense the jubilation  after NBC called Doug Jones the "apparent winner". Also that Trump and Bannon had taken a hit, and Alabama - long regarded as a backward hinterland full of inbred crackers - had finally stepped into the 21st century. Also it had avoided a big scarlet letter had it elected a slime ball like Moore into Senate  - which had even days earlier sent chills down the spines of young Senate pages.

But all this may well be premature, because it may not be over yet. Moore has not conceded and if one tuned to "Trump TV" - home of assholes like Sean Hannity, Jeanine Pirro and Tucker Carlson- one could see why. On the air at about 10:05 p.m. MST was the Alabama officer of elections who warned all and sundry to basically chill out. He pointed out to the Fox anchor that "thousands of provisional ballots and write in ballots" still had to be certified and this wouldn't be done until December 26th at the earliest and January 3rd at the latest.

The election officer emphasized that there is no final count yet and there can't be until certification. Also,  he would be rigorously adopting the state statute 17.16.20 in the examination of the provisional and write -in ballots. We can therefore expect, from his tone, that if any t's aren't crossed or i's dotted those votes will end up in the dustbin.

I suspect that nearly all the provisional ballots would have been cast by African-American voters who reached a whopping 30 percent turnout in the state - the highest since Obama's 2008 election.  In all African Americans went 96% for Jones, and whites barely 30 %.   In other words, nearly 7 in 10 white Alabamans remained diehard, red crackers on the side of Moore and Trump.  This is why we shouldn't listen too much to breathless pundits who claim Alabama has undergone a major post- segregation, post - George Wallace transition.

As for the huge number of African -American votes which put Jones over the top, the problem with these ballots is almost certainly going to be whether valid IDs were available or not.  Also whether adequate information was provided at the time the ballot was submitted. As we have seen before with other elections, i.e. Ohio in the 2004 general election, provisional ballot status almost always enters when an ID isn't available or presented.   Also, many OH provisional ballots were dismissed because of names or addresses not being verifiable with existing voters' lists. This means the potential exists for thousands of provisional Alabama ballots to be disqualified.

This could reduce the margin of Doug Jones' victory to below the current 1.6  percent.  At the critical 0.5 percent difference an automatic recount would be triggered, according to the AL election officer. Even if the margin should somehow reduce to one percent, Moore could call for a recount. 

So clearly this is why Moore isn't conceding. He also may well put his faith in the officials tallying and certifying ballots, believe they will dump all the provisional ballots  - or most. Thereby likely swinging the election back his way. It could happen!

Let's go back to the matter of the provisional ballots and how so many thousands might have originated. We do know white racists in the state had set up a voter suppression system to keep African -American voters at bay. .In 2011, these bigots passed a photo ID law, ostensibly to combat voter fraud, i.e. via voter impersonation.. But “voter impersonation” at polling places virtually never happens.

As I noted in a post earlier this year,  this is a Macguffin.  The Brennan Center for Justice at NYU Law conducted extensive research on all this and subsequently released a report that looked at a previously conducted national study. The latter looked at the non-citizen and potential fraudulent voting in the 2016 election. Their final conclusion?

"From the tabulation of 23.5 million votes there were  only 30 incidents of suspected noncitizen voting referred for further inquiries or prosecution. Thus, improper noncitizen votes accounted for 0.0001 percent."

Get that?  Not one percent, not one hundredths of one percent, but one ten thousandth of one percent of the total votes!

So the ungodly truth is that these racist Alabama vermin wanted to keep black and Latino voters away from the ballot box, to prevent a Jones' win. We know this because they’ve always been clear about their intentions.
.
The bill’s sponsors were even caught on tape devising a plan to depress the turnout of black voters — whom they called “aborigines” and “illiterates” who would ride “H.U.D.-financed buses” to the polls — in the 2010 midterm election by keeping a gambling referendum off the ballot. Gambling is popular among black voters in Alabama, so they thought if it had remained on the ballot, black voters would show up to vote in droves.

One state senator had tried for over a decade to get the bill into law, and told The Huntsville Times that a photo ID law would undermine Alabama’s “black power structure.” In The Montgomery Advertiser, he said that the absence of an ID law “benefits black elected leaders.”  In other words, creation of such a bogus law would stymie them and also limit any expression of black voter will.

Of course, many sympathetic with these cracker racists, often make light of voter I.D. laws with the egregious response: "What's the big deal? Everyone has to get an I.D. anyway to drive or to even travel on airlines? If you don't have an I.D. it must be because you're either too dumb to get one or you're a terrorist!"  Which is clearly poppycock.

Photo ID laws may seem innocuous to most American whities, but they are often onerous for many minorities in the populace .  While it might be easy for a typical middle class white to take a few hours off from work, drive to the nearest department of motor vehicles office, wait in line, take some tests, hand over $40 and leave with a driver’s license or plain ID, it isn't a gimme for many others. It often requires resources that many rural, low-income people- especially minorities -  simply do not have.

This is relevant to the overwhelming African-American vote for Doug Jones in the Yellowhammer State. While heavy African-American turnout on Jones’s behalf overcame Moore’s margins in rural, predominantly white parts of Alabama, this might all be for naught, if a good chunk are tossed out because of being invalid - due to lack of photo IDs.

Photo ID laws, let's be clear,  are written to make it difficult for the poorest people - often elderly African-Americans-  to vote.  Many, indeed, lack formal birth certificates or even marriage certificates, which are generally essential to obtain a photo I.D. - say from one's local Department of Motor Vehicles. (DMV).  A study by Zoltan Hajnal, a political scientist at the University of California, San Diego, comparing the 2012 and 2016 presidential elections, found that the Alabama  voter ID law kept black voters from the polls. After Alabama implemented its strict voter ID law, turnout in its most racially diverse counties declined by almost 5 percentage points, which is even more than the drop in diverse counties in other states.

The study controlled for numerous factors that might otherwise have affected an election: how much money was spent on the races; the state’s partisan makeup; changes in electoral laws like early voting and day-of registration; and shifts in incentives to vote, like which party controls the state legislature.

In Alabama, an estimated 118,000 registered voters do not have a photo ID they can use to cast an acceptable vote. Black and Latino voters are nearly twice as likely as white voters to lack such documentation. In other words, Alabama’s  photo ID law is nothing but a naked attempt to suppress the voting rights of people of color.  While blacks did come out in their numbers for Jones yesterday, it remains to be seen how many ballots (especially provisional) actually are certified as votes.

Let's say 21, 300 votes currently separate Jones and Moore's totals, and that 30 percent of those 118,000 registered black voters came out to try to cast ballots exclusively for Jones. That is 35, 400 votes.  But imagine that only 10, 000 of these ballots end up certified because the others lacked a photo ID or other ancillary validation. That would mean  a total of 25, 400 votes wiped out for Jones, or more than enough to eliminate Jones' current vote advantage  and giving Moore a 4, 100 vote lead- - and the presumptive win.

It is more than likely this scenario is what Moore invoked when he said last night: "I ain't conceding. Let's just wait and let this process play out and have faith in God".

Hmmm... have faith in God or the Alabama state office of  elections to overturn Jones' win.

Bottom line: Buckle up and hold your breath as the state certification process plays out. Also, that it may deliberately take longer than the new Senator (if Jones) can be installed - to ensure a Repuke tax victory.

Finally, let's note that even in the event Jones' win is preserved, it's only for two years - since that was the balance of Jeff Sessions' term - once he left to be appointed Attorney General.

See also:

https://www.salon.com/2017/12/13/doug-jones-alabama-miracle-it-all-came-down-to-turnout/

And:

http://www.smirkingchimp.com/thread/robert-reich/76706/the-meaning-of-doug-jones-s-upset-victory

Saturday, July 15, 2017

Coloradans Cancelling Their Voter Registrations By The Thousands In Wake Of Trump Voter Fraud "Commission"

Related image
Yeah, I just made up the Voter Fraud Commission from my illegal voters conspiracy theory! Deal with it!"

Consider the original claim of Trump  that there has been massive voter fraud that cost him the popular vote, including that "three to five million more voted illegally for Hillary Clinton".  Consider this is coming from the guy who actually WON the electoral vote - the only one that counts- and yet his ego is still too traumatized to accept that fewer citizens voted for him than his opponent.

Consider also that there is not one scintilla of evidence to support his fantastic claim - which btw-  is negated by 50 Secretaries of State (including from  37 Republican- governed states) that the integrity of their election processes were never compromised.

Despite all this, as I noted in my July 3rd post, Donald Trump barely weeks ago signed an executive order to create a phony  "Voter Fraud Commission".  Let's again cut through the fog of fake news, media crappola and outright lies to recognize this commission for what it is: a putrid excrescence of Trump's malignant agenda created to support his favorite conspiracy theory, i.e. he lost the popular vote because millions of illegal immigrants voted.

But despite being bogus, it's already having a chilling effect on voter participation here in Colorado.  That is, thousands of  Colorado residents are suddenly canceling their voter registrations,  terrified the data amassed from state files will be used against them. As reported in the Denver Post, this action is in the wake of the Trump administration’s blanket request for voter information earlier this month. Trump   established the advisory commission in May with a broad mandate: a sweeping review of U.S. election integrity, with a focus on voter fraud, voter suppression and other “vulnerabilities.”

The resulting withdrawal panic is alarming county elections officials who say they’ve never seen such a surge of withdrawals in their careers. The worst aspect? The defectors are coming mainly from the largely Democratic precincts around Denver. As The Post observes:

"Nearly two weeks have elapsed since the commission requested all of the state’s publicly available voter data, and state and county elections offices say they’re still being flooded with calls and emails from voters with two chief complaints: they don’t trust President Donald Trump’s voter integrity commission, and they didn’t realize just how much of their voter registration information was already public under state law."

According to Amber McReynolds, Denver’s elections director:

"People are concerned and confused about all of this. We have the same concerns. At this point nobody really knows what (the commission) is doing."

As of yesterday, The  Denver Post reported that 3, 394 voters had canceled their registrations  — a staggering jump from the 20 people who did so over the two weeks prior to July 3rd, according to the state elections boards. In Boulder County, the trend was much the same: 329 voters withdrew their registrations the first 10 days of July, according to the clerk’s office. During the same period in June, only 15 people did.

The bulk of those who called or emailed either cited concerns about the commission’s motives, or about their own privacy.

It seems like an assault on our personal freedoms — of speech and privacy first and foremost,” one Denver voter wrote.

The outcry over personal information that’s been publicly available for decades has some wondering if state lawmakers will seek to close some of these records  next year. This is especially after a lengthy fight the last two legislative sessions over making more public information available in a digital format.

According to Amber McReynolds:

I think it brings up another question for the legislature that they may want to consider. Voters did not and have not been aware that this info that’s being provided is public.”

Under Colorado law, a wide range of voter information is publicly available by request, including a voter’s name, address, party affiliation and which elections they’ve voted in,  though not the candidate they voted for. More than 100 organizations and individuals -  including media outlets, marketing firms and both major political parties -   obtained the data in 2016 alone, according to the secretary of state’s office.

Some entities have even published the data online for all to see.  Indeed, all my voting data is blatantly online, as per Colorado law - which is also inciting these withdrawals among other citizens. Evidently they, like me, had no clue of the extent to which state law allowed voter info to be published, shared. Having learned this to their shock and horror, thousands are now canceling registrations. I see no point because first, merely canceling your voter registration will not instantly remove your information - we all know how the web world works!  Second, I have no intention of giving up my franchise out of fear some n'er do well will use it some nefarious way. I suspect that is part of just what the Trumpites want.


Nevertheless, most of us -  canceling registrations or not -  aren't buying the excuse or rationale that this level of disclosure is needed to show "transparency" to prove to outsiders that the Colorado voting population is legit.  For example, the "justification" from  Boulder County Clerk Hillary Hall  who wrote in an op-ed to the Daily Camera: 

Without voter registration and vote history being public there would be no way for any outside individual or organization to independently verify our election processes. It would simply have to be a ‘trust us’ scenario with your state or local elected official maintaining the voter rolls with no external oversight."


So WHAT? What's wrong with 'trust us' if the statistics for minimal voter fraud support it?  After all, none of this was needed 40 years ago, so why now? Just because the new incarnation of Repukes got a hard on for voter suppression and began yapping about "voter fraud"?

As I noted in my earlier post this is a Macguffin.  The Brennan Center for Justice at NYU Law conducted extensive research on all this and subsequently released a report that looked at a previously conducted national study. The latter looked at the non-citizen and potential fraudulent voting in the 2016 election. Their final conclusion?

"From the tabulation of 23.5 million votes there were  only 30 incidents of suspected noncitizen voting referred for further inquiries or prosecution. Thus, improper noncitizen votes accounted for 0.0001 percent."

Get that?  Not one percent, not one hundredths of one percent, but one ten thousandth of one percent of the total votes!

The news that the ACLU is now bringing a lawsuit is welcome. However, let's be clear it is not to KO this artifact as unconstitutional but rather to charge that the body isn't following federal law requiring it to be open to the public. The lawsuit joins a growing number concerning the commission that have been filed by civil liberties groups in recent days.

Led by Vice Chair Kris Kobach, the bogus commission has held only an initial meeting by telephone since it was created two months ago, and that was closed to the public, the ACLU charged. According to ACLU staff attorney Theresa Lee:

"Since the [law] applies to all meetings, even telephonic meetings, the commission has already violated [the Federal Advisory Committee Act],"

Let's hope this lawsuit is only a first iteration and further ones are initiated on more substantial constitutional grounds.  It is crucial that the latter, especially,  prevail in whatever court hands down the final verdict.

Meanwhile, in the latest twist to this saga, angry voters poured it on with 112 pages worth of emails directed at the Trump stooges, according to today's Washington Post. Some of the comments included:

You will open up the entire voting population to a massive amount of fraud if this data is in any way released,” one voter wrote.

Many people will get their identity stolen, which will harm the economy,” wrote another.

“I respectfully request, as an American-born citizen legally eligible to vote for two decades, that you leave my voter data and history alone, do not publish it, and do nothing with it,” said another

Unfortunately for these voters and others who wrote in, the Trump fucktards did not redact any of their personal information from the emails before releasing them to the public. In some cases, the emails contained not only names, but email addresses, home addresses, phone numbers and places of employment.

Monday, July 3, 2017

A Heads Up For the 4th: No, Not About Trump's Latest Childish "Wrestling" Tweet

Related image
"Yeah, I just made up the Voter Fraud Commission from my illegal voters conspiracy theory! Deal with it!"


As the nation's 241st birthday rolls around tomorrow, let's concede that Americans have disagreed about the nature of government and civic life almost from the start. But now it's evident that democracy and the American Republic itself is "in the dock" as we've beheld the havoc on it wrought by Trump and his Vulgarians.

Trump is front and center at the apparent devolution as witnessed in his latest attack on the media in a phony wrestling video dispatched via tweet yesterday. This follows the man-child earlier naming the press as "the enemy of the people"  along with his disparagement of "so called judges" and attacks on other checks on his  executive power. Much of this, of course, has been met with cheers and applause from his base - more invested in his deplorable, undignified behavior than his actual performance as a president. They never seem to ask themselves why this guy is so busy watching cable TV he has the time to take umbrage and fire off idiotic tweets, instead of getting down to the business of the nation.  The real business, like dealing with North Korea and developing a rational trade policy,  not crafting bogus executive orders to set up phony voter fraud "commissions" based on a pet conspiracy theory. (Which is the general topic of this post)

Let's also be reminded that Jefferson ('Notes on Virginia'), as well as Alexis de Tocqueville ('Democracy In America') expressed concerns the country - if not careful - could enable the 'rabble' to gain control by mischief of faction and usher in new forms of tyranny.  Jefferson, especially, worried a less educated electorate could fall victim, since intelligent voting required a critically thinking public. As Exhibit A, that this is no longer the case, I point to the 4.5 million "unique page views" Alex Jones recently got for his conspiracy bunkum - including captive child sex slaves held on Mars. What manner of moron could believe such drivel? To Jefferson, certainly one that has no business entering a voting booth.

Yet another abomination skating below most citizens' radar is Trump's newly invented "Voter Fraud Commission".  Let's again cut through the fog of fake news media crappola and recognize this bogus commission for what it is: a putrid excrescence of Trump's malignant agenda created to support his favorite conspiracy theory. That is, that he actually won the popular vote if 3 to 5 million "illegals" had not snuck in and voted for Hillary.

This translates to his "commission" being bogus and not worth half an ounce of doggie lickspittle. So, no surprise over two dozen Secretaries of State have told Trump's commission Vice-Chair (Chris Kobach) - now demanding a full set of voter information  where to stick it.     That voter information being demanded from all 50 Secretaries of State, includes: voters' full names, addresses, birth dates, political party, voting history, felony convictions, military status and the kicker - the last four digits of the Social Security number.

For those who might think this travesty is new, it isn't. There was a similar wild goose chase to root out voter fraud during the Gee Dumbya Bush  administration. It was a five-year investigation nationwide that cost millions of dollars and turned up a few dozen reported instances of fraud over a period of time in which hundreds of millions of ballots was cast. It was a political agenda that led to the improper firings of a number of United States attorneys. It was one of the biggest scandals of the George W. Bush administration, and it eventually resulted in the resignation in disgrace of Alberto Gonzalez as attorney general.  So wary citizens and students of history can add that travesty to Bush's illegal and pre-emptive invasion of Iraq.

Now for a real ironic twist:  Kobach, the Vice Chair of this "commission" has himself declined to turn over the Social Security information. Kobach said he can't provide such because of a state (Kansas) law. So he can't provide such but expects other states to violate their own laws?

One of the best and most direct refusals to comply with this voter witch hunt cane from Kentucky's Secretary of State who said:

"Not on my watch,  Are we going to participate in a political activity, a commission that is really set up as a pretext to find an answer to a problem that simply doesn't exist. And not on my watch are going to release sensitive voter information data, that is at best a waste of taxpayer money and at worst a national effort to suppress votes across the United States."

What can I say? She nailed it to a tee.  MSNBC legal specialist Ari Melber Friday night noted the use of the term "pretext" and suggested another more apropos: conspiracy theory.  To fix ideas, this "commission" was created because Trump's febrile, debilitated brain passed a noxious fart to blame  his popular vote loss on  illegal voters.  Thus, Trump and his sorry ass administration then decided, a few weeks after the election,  to spend millions of taxpayer dollars  to try to confirm Dump's conspiracy theory.

The Trump brain spasm had resulted in the following tweet that now has launched a multi-million buck pseudo effort:

"In addition to  winning the Electoral College in a landslide, I won the popular vote if you deduct the millions of people who voted illegally"

Of course, he produced no evidence at all to support this balmy claim,, zero. His claim rests entirely on his pathetic ego being bruised by the actual final tally that showed his losing to HRC by 2.9 million votes. BWAHAHAHAAHAA! Build me a commission to disprove it! Still, the asshole in chief took umbrage at the states that declined to turn over their voter data, including one state secretary from MS who said "they can go jump in the Gulf!". To which Trump then responded in a tweet Saturday:

"What have they got to hide?"

Of course they've nothing to hide at all. They simply opt not to share sensitive voter data with a screwball who bases his voter fraud commission on a conspiracy theory.

The Brennan Center for Justice at NYU Law conducted extensive research on all this and subsequently released a report that looked at a previously conducted national study. The latter looked at the non-citizen and potential fraudulent voting in the 2016 election. Their final conclusion?

"From the tabulation of 23.5 million votes there were  only 30 incidents of suspected noncitizen voting referred for further inquiries or prosecution. Thus, improper noncitizen votes accounted for 0.0001 percent."

Get that?  Not one percent, not one hundredths of one percent, but one ten thousandth of one percent of the total votes!    What percent of noncitizen voter fraud would Trump actually need for his brain fart tweet to hold? Do the math and it works out to some 4 to 8 percent of the total Hillary voters. (Assuming all HRC voters went for her and not Gary Johnson, or Jill Stein)  In other words, Trump's claimed illegal violations are as much as 80,000 times greater than what the Brennan study found!

The only sane and rational conclusion one can draw is that this bogus commission was set up for two functions only:  1) a distraction to the real threat against the U.S. election system, Russian hacking. And (2) the setting up of the false narrative of voter fraud to use as a justification to adopt voter suppression policies.

Sherrilynn Ifill, of the NAACP, had this despicable agenda pegged after Trump released his bonkers tweet claiming he really won the popular vote.  She was quoted in a WaPo piece back in February:

"We take the president at his word when he threatens to launch a 'major investigation' into voter fraud. We will challenge the illegality in the presentation or execution of the program. But we had all best recognize the implications id the president of the United states launching a nationwide voter intimidation program"

And then months later we beheld Trump's bogus "executive order" to try to give his derelict scheme ballast.

As for Kobach his vile voter suppression history precedes him.  In Kansas, he instituted a “Show Me Your Papers” law which required people to produce a birth certificate or passport when they register to vote. The U.S. Court of Appeals for the 10th Circuit, in a unanimous opinion by Judge Jerome Holmes, found that Kobach had engaged in “mass denial of a fundamental right” by blocking 18,000 motor voter applicants from registering to vote.

Ifill in her Friday night interview with Rachel Maddow added other warnings to do with voter suppression.  Indeed, she stated emphatically she was alerted to the incipient danger of Trump's original tweet- about really winning the popular vote- when he began to repeat it, and then surrogates (like Goebbels look-alike Stephen Miller) began to pick it up. She realized then Trump and his cabal would use it. When Miller insisted on assorted Sunday news programs "there was proof of this" her alarms went to Defcon 1 and she then took Trump at his word.  As she put it:

"I believe he would combine his need to believe that he had won the popular vote with something that has been a very important issue on the Right. That is, to prove that widespread voter fraud occurs as a justification for voter suppression, That's what we see in all the states where we're challenging voter ID laws, where you see governors and other state officials insisting there is widespread voter fraud happening despite there being no evidence. That's the reason they enacted some of these very restrictive voter ID laws."

Ms. Ifill went on to note that just in the past year, two federal courts of appeals  "not known for being particularly liberal"  found that at least two states - North Carolina and Texas- deliberately created their voter ID laws for the purpose of discriminating against minority voters."

Ms. Ifill was also blunt and to the point about the purposes of collection for the voter information files:

"There are lots of people affiliated with people like Chris Kobach who know what they want to do with this information. Organizations like True the Vote and others, They want to be able to  use this data to intimidate people on election day. They want to be able to use the data to convince state legislators there is a problem and they need even more restricted voter ID laws. They want to use this information to intimidate individual voters. and suggest to voters if they try to vote they will be prosecuted."


This is serious and shows our democracy itself is at risk, not merely from Russian hackers into our election systems, but home grown political terrorists prepared to gut the system from the inside. This - if successful and not challenged aggressively in the courts- could lead not only to the Dems failing to seize the House in the midterms next year, but the abomination known as Trump getting a 2nd term.

This we cannot allow. We can't allow our democracy to be subverted from the inside by fanatics who can't win except by subversion and suppression of the votes, as well as outrageous gerrymandering.

So yes, that is the topic for a heads up, not Trump's childish display (actually originating with some psycho on Reddit) of a doctored video showing the Swine in chief beating up on CNN.

We need to get our priorities in order. Or as Ben Franklin once warned, after being asked: "What have we got a monarchy or a Republic?".  "A Republic, if you can keep it."

The  Democracy Index, compiled by the British -based Economist Magazine Intelligence Unit,  ranked the U.S. 21st in 2016, tied with Italy. In terms of the report:

"While Norway and several other Scandinavian countries are considered full democracies, the U.S. fell to a 'flawed democracy' '', receiving low scores for functioning of government and political participation.

That rank is destined to go even lower if states allow Trump to in any way legitimize this asinine "voter fraud commission" he has created. This entity needs to be killed where it stands, and the NAACP, ACLU and other organizations must all be ready - as we citizens-- to ensure this happens.

Enjoy the Fourth, but remember it's not just about waving flags, hot dogs and fireworks. There are real issues this nation needs to address to preserve its democratic values and we can't allow ourselves to be distracted or destroyed by the likes of a deviant man-baby like Donald Trump.

See also:

http://smirkingchimp.com/thread/kali-holloway/73788/trump-and-allies-its-the-fuck-you-presidency

Thursday, October 13, 2016

Trump - Empowered Vote Challengers At The Polls ? Bring 'Em On!



According to the Brennan Center for Justice "forty six states have laws that allow private citizens to challenge the eligibility of prospective voters on or before election day."

In effect, as you are ready to enter a polling station, any cockeyed nimrod who somehow doubts your voter bona fides can stop you cold, and demand you produce proof of who you are. When Janice saw the segment on CBS Early Show yesterday morning she was livid: "What kind of nonsense is that? I have to show ID to a bunch of creeps?"

Well, technically, yeah. Of course, it is irrelevant for both of us anyway as we will be filling out our Colorado mail ballots at home. This will be after they arrive in the next week to ten days. (They are to be mailed out by October 17).

Much of the angst about "voter fraud" and especially non-citizens casting ballots in critical states - like Colorado- is fed by lying creeps like Michelle Malkin. She wrote in a recent column (Colorado Springs Gazette, 'It Could All Come Down To Colorado'):  

"Former Colorado Secretary of State Scott Gessler identified nearly 5,000 citizens in Colorado who voted in the 2010 election".

But strangely, although Gessler could  apparently enumerate these " non-citizens" he  appeared unable to have pressed charges. According to the Huffington Post:

"Colorado’s Republican Secretary of State Scott Gessler has been on the hunt for voter fraud in the state since he took the office in 2011, claiming non-citizens were illegally voting in Colorado elections. But a new report from The Grand Junction Daily Sentinel shows that, to date, there have been zero prosecutions of Gessler’s suspects.

After originally claiming more than 16,000 non-citizens registered to vote in Colorado in 2011 and that as many as 5,000 of them had actually voted in 2010,, Gessler’s office finally released the names of only 155 people who they thought of as suspects. ....

Many of those people whose citizenship and right to vote were called into question by Gessler were found to be verifiable U.S. citizens, The Associated Press reported. In some counties, like Boulder, of those questioned, only legal U.S. citizens were found."

As Boulder County District Attorney Stan Garnett put it, quoted in The Boulder Daily Camera :

Local governments and county clerks do a really good job regulating the integrity of elections, and I’ll stand by that record any day of the week. We don’t need state officials sending us on wild goose chases for political reasons.”

So Gessler, like Malkin, is mostly into "wild goose chasing" and stirring up voting fraud hysteria to reinforce the bogus Trump claim that this election is "rigged". This also lends false support to Trumpies just itching to police the polls using voter challenge laws. We saw an earlier iteration of this shtick back in 2012 with the 'True the Vote" nonsense.

Now this is not to say there has NEVER been voter fraud. But the Reeptard Bozos are indicting the wrong side. It is THEIR side that has perpetrated the most infamous incident, in Florida back in 2000.  Greg Palast, author of 'The Best Democracy Money Can Buy',  documented how 90,000 and probably more like 150,000 legal black voters were removed from voter lists in Florida, using the ruse that they were convicted felons,  not permitted to vote in that state. Jeb Bush awarded the contract to the firm that submitted the higher bid, Choicepoint.  It then scrubbed from the voter rolls all names that were clearly black (first name Jamail or Kinesha, for instance), that bore an arguable resemblance to a felon’s name.   This remains, along with the electronic scrubbing of D-votes in Ohio in 2004 (using electronic machines),  the two most massive cases of vote fraud.

As to actual voter impersonation fraud, it doesn't even make the "radar".  Specifically, it has been proven to occur only roughly 0.00000013 % of the time see e.g.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/voter-fraud-real-rare/story?id=17213376

The other bogus meme making the rounds is that in places like Colorado, "you have an all mail ballot system that makes it easy to misuse and commit voter fraud". Again, nonsense. Each mail ballot such as we use must be signed and the enabling for such balloting was already validated via use of Colorado ID cards from past elections (before the mail balloting law was passed).  Also, according to state precinct stats, barely 40 percent of ballots are cast by mail. Most people still prefer to show up in person - even braving longish lines - because it makes them feel more like "real voters".

Of course this is hogwash and malarkey. Anyone is a real voter who actually takes the time to complete a ballot. In our state the ballots are typically complex,  laden with special district issues and state referenda. This year the ballots include a raft of local tax issues, local district election spots, school boards etc. as well as assorted amendments,  e.g. Amendment 69 for single payer health care, Amendment 70 to increase the state minimum wage, Amendment 72 to raise cigarette taxes to $2.94 a pack and Proposition 106, the medical aid in dying initiative. Oh, and Amendment 71 to do away with further amendments.

Given the ballot complexity we have opted to fill them out at home then mail them in.

The saddest part of the "voter fraud" and "rigged election" bollocks is how it can erode democracy over time, creating more polarization and animosity toward the process. One woman calling herself "Rhonda", actually stood up at a Mike Pence rally two days ago and declared to the gathered peanut gallery:

"I'm on social media every day, all day. Nonstop, since last June. One of the biggest things I can tell you a lot of us are scared of is this voter fraud. There's a lot of us here saying when we go to vote we're gonna wear red. Our lives depend on this election. Our kids' futures depend on this election. I will tell you just for me, and I don't want this to happen, personally. but if Hillary Clinton gets in, I myself ...I am ready for a revolution. Because we can't have her in!"

Pence, give him credit, did respond in a low voice, 'Oh, don't say that'.

Pence at least had more insight than his running mate and this Reeptard woman. So let her try to summon all her disaffected yahoos to revolution. Within a few heartbeats they will all be brought down with RF radiation "barf guns" that I referenced some 5 years ago, and which are now ready to fire, e.g.


The device, according to The Economist (Oct. 15, 2011,  p. 89, 'Electromagnetic Weapons: Frying Tonight') emits RF radiation that "directly affects the human digestive and nervous system" to trigger violent projectile vomiting. It is estimated that one brief "spray" by such an RF device - say from a helicopter- can subdue  99% of a violently agitating crowd.

This lot - say angered Trumpkins at the election results - can be  reduced to paroxysms of non-stop vomiting within seconds. Unable to raise a whisper, far less a shout, they will have no choice other than to run back home....and away from the radio frequency-blasted  area. The good part is that instead of having to clean blood from the streets the authorities will just have to wash away the vomit.

Hell, the feds won't even have to bring out the Army or special Humvees outfitted with heavy artillery.

The best thing the Trumpies can do if the election doesn't go their way,  is to suck it up, take it like adults and move on. And don't even think of trying to delegitimize HRC via "impeachment" - like for the currently Wikileaks email releases. These merely show that Hillary and crew are the politicians we knew they were. But at least they're not the 'shit for brains' nutso whackjobs that mark Trump and his campaign.

See also:

http://smirkingchimp.com/thread/eric-boehlert/69339/wounded-trump-retreats-into-the-fringe-media-bunker