Saturday, March 5, 2016

Ridiculous Memes Persist About JFK's Alleged "Supply Side" Tax Cutting















It is a sad but inescapable fact that U.S. recent history is too often given short shrift in the setting of modern American education. The result is that students later mutate into citizens who are ignorant of past policies of American presidents, and try to insinuate these misperceptions into the modern setting,

Perhaps no more egregious example has been the resurrection of the canard (mainly by the economic Right) that JFK was an exuberant supply side tax cutter. This first crept in at the time Bush Junior (aka Dumbya) was trying to get his tax cuts passed in 2001. Numerous useful idiots emerged in the press at the time,  including Charles Krauthammer,  who insisted Kennedy was even more of a supply side tax cutter than Bush.

Of course this is absolute nonsense, and merely discloses the extent to which Krauthammer (and others) sought to exploit Americans' lack of knowledge of JFK''s actual tax policies.  To this end, artful propaganda proved most useful, including to get the pathetic Senate Dems (under Tom Daschle) on board. In March, 2001, selected snippets -  carefully edited and cherry-picked from a JFK speech before the New York Economic Club in December, 1962  - were show in ads. The snippets-ads ran continuously in three conservative states in which Dem Senators were up for re-election: Louisiana, South Dakota, and Georgia. All three voted heavily for Bush the previous year.

JFK's speech endorsed a general tax cut, and let's bear in mind at the time that the top rate was 91%. JFK proposed lowering it to 65% for the wealthiest, still nearly two times what the current top rate is for them (after the Bush tax cuts). Seldom mentioned in conjunction with JFK's tax cut proposals were the other aspects he had in mind, including:

-the elimination of all tax breaks set up in the form of foreign investment operations or companies

- the repeal of all tax advantages by corporations operating in low tax countries, such as Switzerland

- the repeal of the 100% charitable contribution write-off by the wealthy

- Withholding tax on the investments, dividends and capital of the wealthy to ensure revenues could not be lost by too many shelters or at the 'end point'.

- Tax on investment dividends so that all those earning in excess of $180 k would pay a much higher rate.

-Devices that would prevent 'high bracket taxpayers' from concealing income from 'personal holding companies'.

- An anti-speculation provision that would ensure property or investments were kept at least one year - else no benefit from existing capital gains rates would apply

-The elimination of special 'gift' transfers as well as repeal of the $50 dividend exclusion and the 4% dividend credit.

(Source: 'Battling Wall Street - The Kennedy Presidency', by Donald Gibson, Sheridan Square Press, 1994, pp. 22-23)

In addition - again omitted by the conservo parrots - JFK targeted large oil and gas producers who had been manipulating a (1954) law to avoid taxes and gain an advantage over smaller producers. Sadly, most of his provisions didn't survive the compromises forced by congressional committees (which held JFK's original Medicare, and Civil rights legislation up for ransom.) These were later seized on by LBJ following the assassination he helped to orchestrate. LBJ understood that incorporating these into his "legacy" would further weaken the brains of later liberals who would write him up as  "good Prez" instead of a traitorous rat. We call this out as hagiography - writing fulsome revisionist crap to make a historical figure appear better than he really was. See e.g.

http://brane-space.blogspot.com/2015/01/hagiographers-masquerading-as.html

Kennedy absolutely wanted all these provisions included in any tax cuts, but he faced a rebellious congress which watered all of them down to the point of being essentially non-existent. The final bill that was passed, therefore, was barely a weak sister of what JFK actually wanted. Despite this setback, he never stopped fighting for economic justice via the tax code. Fortunately, the record in the reactionary media at the time supports this fully.

But don't take my word for it, just consult the financial press at the time, to see how they actually felt about JFK's proposed policies and initiatives. One of these, which appeared in Fortune accused him of an attempt to "manipulate the tax level against the business cycle". ('Activism in the White House', June, 1961, p. 117). Two years later, Fortune implored Congress to stop JFK from using tax policy "as instruments to manage the economy". ('The Dream Businessmen Are Losing', Sept. 1963, p. 91).

These aren't just fiction, but historical records of the press of the JFK era and what THEY actually thought of his tax proposals. They are available to anyone with the diligence to seek them out.

Along the same lines, the "central organ of finance capital" - The Wall Street Journal, launched various articles and diatribes accusing JFK of being a "statist" and other things. Some of those articles include:

- 8/6/62 'No Cause for Celebration'; p. 6;

- 3/26/63 'Too Much Money, Too Little Thought', p. 18;

- 8/15/63 'When Friends Become Foes', p. 8

Meanwhile, Henry Hazlitt, contributing editor at Newsweek (The Washington Post's sister publication) was airing many of the same complaints against JFK. These polemics, appearing regularly in Hazlitt's 'Business Tides', included taking JFK to task for his tax policies - including the proposed tax on U.S. business earnings abroad while he also chastised Kennedy for "welfare spending".

All this is germane now as we continue to see codswallop penned by ignorant screwballs, as in the Jan. 31 letters section of the WSJ:, to wit:

-"Kennedy understood 20-plus years before the Laffer curve that if you want more of something tax it less"  (Michael J. Perullo, CPA, Atlanta, GA)

- "JFK is primarily remembered for  Camelot and his tragic death and not for his too brief push for lower tax, pro-growth supply side economic policies" (William Hogan, Savannah, GA)

Both of which claims would have Henry Hazlitt and those early 1960s Fortune and WSJ authors rolling in the aisles laughing at the level of ignorance and gullibility of the two letter writers - if they could suddenly emerge from the past and read their arrant twaddle.

The Laffer-referenced BS by the CPA is especially choice. More of something so tax it less? That absurd supply side ploy was attempted in Barbados, in FY 1987. The usually democratic socialist state had just elected a new government (in 1986) that was determined to experiment for the first time with 'trickle down' supply side bunkum.   After all, it appeared to work with Reagan.

They were warned by the country's top economists (including Dr. Courtney Blackman) that it would lead to disaster, but they took no heed. Finding it more to their liking to pander to a naive (then!) populace to garner votes, they couldn't renege once in power, if they wanted re-election.

The supply side idiocy was implemented for tax year 1987 and beyond and five years later (and the loss of 35,000 (out of 105,000) jobs), with reserves barely at $11 million, the island had to go to the IMF for loans as its cash flow had evaporated. The IMF injected nasty medicine - in the form of across the board pay cuts- and higher taxes, though devaluation of the currency was avoided. The pain is still felt today, as succeeding governments have had to impose ever higher  VAT or value added taxes, including on foodstuffs.

More of something? Bajans learned they got less and less. But even an ordinary common American now is still plied with the tax-foolery analog that if you cut off a man's leg he can run faster.  JFK, of course, would have seen through this idiocy instantly which is why no supply side nonsense appeared until Arthur Laffer drew it out on a napkin for a Reagan economist.


What was the biggest irony of all? That one of Reagan's top professional economists, Martin Feldstein, actually pooh-poohed Laffer's curve. In a 1986 econ article Feldstein admitted he "never believed Laffer" and referred to his "curve proposition" as the "height of supply side hyperbole". The tragedy is that Feldstein's article was snuffed by the Reaganites, and Feldstein himself never broached it, especially after being given an office in the administration. Hey, a sellout is a sellout!

But JFK never was, and would have engendered one of the best tax policies of the 1960s had a bought out congress not forced compromises.

Fortunately, those of us invested in the facts are still around to correct the record and salvage it from these latter day PR and propaganda meisters- at least for those who will pay attention.

Friday, March 4, 2016

Will Mitt's Anti-Trump Broadsides "Shake Some Sense" Into Trump Supporters?



"Here's what I know: Donald Trump is a phony, a fraud. He's playing the members of the American public for suckers. He gets a free ride to the White House and all we get is a lousy hat.....the bullying, the misogyny, the absurd third grade theatrics...is not the temperament of the stable, thoughtful person we need as leader." - Mitt Romney yesterday at Hinckley Institute

Former Reep Presidential candidate Mitt Romney  tore into The Donald yesterday morning leaving no insult unmentioned and indirectly calling down Trump supporters to halt their addiction to the guy. But will it work?  Will the Trumpy addicts be swayed by Mitt's 17 minute diatribe? Somehow, given nothing else has phased them, I doubt it.

Addressing a Republican National Committee (RNC) meeting in Salt Lake City, Utah, Romney opened his speech by drawing on Ronald Reagan’s framing of the 1964 election as “a time for choosing”. The 2016 election, he argued, posed a similar crossroads for the American people. The Mittster conceded:

“I’m no Ronald Reagan, and this is a different moment in time, but I believe with all my heart and soul that we face another time of choosing – one that will have profound consequences for the Republican party and, more importantly, for our country,”

Make no mistake Romney’s speech lived up to all the hype, including lacerating almost every Trump invention, idea or speculation - from Trump University to closed (bankrupt)Trump casinos and everything in between.. Portions of it had already been released to stations (e.g. MSNBC) hours before he delivered it. On 'Morning Joe' it was noted that the purpose was to "shake up Trump supporters and get some sense into them".  

The speech itself marked an unprecedented moment in American politics, with a growing number of prominent Republicans now desperately seeking to stop in his tracks a candidate who increasingly resembles the presumptive nominee. Romney laid out a case that was in equal parts scathing and urgent, while stating that “the prospects for a safe and a prosperous future are greatly diminished” if Republicans were to nominate Trump.

Indeed, Trump's Tuesday victories even have the Europeans going ballistic and dredging up memories of another charismatic, bombastic demagogue from 80 years ago.

The alarm has even made its way to the front pages of Der Spiegel, with the red-lettered word ('Wahnsinn' or 'Crazy Man' ) at the bottom.


Although Romney did not offer an endorsement, he praised candidates Marco Rubio, John Kasich and Ted Cruz and essentially suggested voters should support each of the three and pave the way for a brokered convention. Countering the rabid enthusiasm of Trumpies, Romney declared:

“One of these men should be our nominee,”

Noting the real estate mogul would precipitate another economic recession and weaken America’s standing overseas. Then adding as evidence for Trump's disqualification:

 “He creates scapegoats of Muslims and Mexican immigrants, he calls for the use of torture and for killing the innocent children and family members of terrorists. He cheers assaults on protesters. He applauds the prospect of twisting the constitution to limit first amendment freedom of the press. This is the very brand of anger that has led other nations into the abyss.”

Thursday’s speech was the first time Romney has delivered such comprehensive put down remarks on the state of the 2016 race. Romney weighed in on almost every would be pratfall from Trump’s debunked claim that “thousands” of Muslims in New Jersey celebrated the September 11 terrorist attacks to his mocking of Senator John McCain for being captured as a prisoner of war in Vietnam, to the mockery of a NY Times disabled reporter,  e.g.

http://brane-space.blogspot.com/2015/11/trumps-mocking-of-handicapped-reporter.html

“Think of Donald Trump’s personal qualities, the bullying, the greed, the showing off, the misogyny, the absurd third-grade theatrics,” Romney said.

Romney’s appeal to reject Trump arrived less than 48 hours after the splenetic front runner picked up overwhelming victories on Super Tuesday, as Republicans in 11 states went to the polls. But this was not before other conservative media "powerhouses" -  including The Wall Street Journal  - had weighed in, e.g. with Trump-skewering columns by Brett Stephens and Holman Jenkins, Jr..

Brett Stephens in his 'Staring At The Conservative Gutter', wrote (after the KKK misstep):

"It would be terrible to think that the Left was right about the Right all these years. Nativist bigotries must not be allowed to become the animating spirit of the Republican Party. If Donald Trump becomes the candidate he will not win the Presidency but he will help vindicate the Left's ugly indictment. It will be left to decent conservatives to pick up the pieces".

Thereby implying anyone who votes for Trump is not a "decent conservative".

Holman Jenkins Jr. was even more blunt about Trump followers in his WSJ piece ('Trump Voters Need a Mirror', March 2, p. A15):

"To be honest and impolitic, the Trump voter smacks of a child who unleashes recriminations against mommy and daddy because the world is imperfect"

Adding:

"Until Trump and his fans show otherwise, he seems but the latest vessel of denial for voters who don't want responsibility. They want mommy and daddy"

Ouch! But columns like these two helped set the stage for Mitt Romney's lashing of Trump Thursday morning as well as the subtext  for his supporters to wake up from their agitated stupor. Which, let's face it, could also be fed by the desire for an emotional opposite to Obama's "no drama", Spockian, highly nuanced reactions and demeanor. (See: 'President Obama Created Donald Trump', WSJ, p. A13, today). This was an effect even moderate hack Joe Klein warned about in a TIME essay several years ago.

With the probability of a Trump nomination on the rise, the GOP establishment and its media have clearly been desperately in search of an alternative but left without a clear consensus candidate. At the same time, their columnists and spokespersons are incredulous people could actually be taking Trump seriously to run the country. The unspoken, unwritten subtext is 'What the hell are they drinking or smoking?'.  Even moderate media spokesperson(former anchor for NBC)  Tom Brokaw wondered Tuesday night if these supporters had lost touch with reality and didn't understand our checks and balances in the federal system.

"What if Trump can't deliver?" he asked. "What if our dispersed system of power prevents him from getting any of his promises done, like building the wall? What will they do?"

Good question! What indeed? Will they riot in the streets and screech how they were betrayed? Will they express severe buyer's remorse and never vote for anyone again - establishment or other?  But the fact is, Brokaw is correct, and they are all being set up for a massive letdown because the universe in which Trump could carry out his phantasmagorias is not the one that exists. The one we inhabit. . Because short of a takeover of government by Trump there is no way any of his claims to action can be manifest.

Romney didn't hesitate to tell the Hinckley site crowd of 500 that the party’s focus should be on defeating Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton,  “but a Trump nomination enables her victory”. (Well, not quite! At least one rep from Emily's List two weeks ago (on 'All In')  expressed fear and trepidation she would confront a "mad monkey with a gun" and one never knows what such a creature might do.)

Meanwhile, Romney himself, anticipating the Donald's reaction,  asked:

“Will he talk about our policy differences or will he attack me with every imaginable low-road insult? This may tell you what you need to know about his temperament, his stability, and his suitability to be president.”

In fact, Trump referred in a speech to his endorsement of Mitt back in 2012 claiming "If I ordered Mitt to drop to his knees he would have".

So much for vindicating what Romney projected.

Sadly, none of these efforts is likely to have any effect at halting Trump's momentum. So long as his many followers want the macho "tough guy" or strong man to take all the bad guys down. So long as so many are addicted to this sort of brash approach Trump will continue on his road to the magic number of 1237 delegates - which if reached will commit those delegates to stick with him and not to bolt - say for Cruz or Kasich.

As Der Spiegel put it:

"Trump takes every opportunity in this campaign to portray his country as a down-and-out weakling. According to his strategy, when a nation's feeling of self-worth has hit rock bottom, it experiences a growing desire to overcome the "status quo" -- and for a strong man at the top."

SO long as so many believe the Trump narrative that the nation is a weakling, his coalition will continue to build on itself - and may even overturn Hillary's plans to make history. The only way to prevent that would be for every youthful Sanders' voter-supporter to throw his or lot in for HRC if and when Bernie departs.

Whether they actually will is another question.
See also:

Thursday, March 3, 2016

Melissa Harris -Perry Allows Her Ego To Betray Her Common Sense


By now most MSNBC viewers know that Melissa Harris -Perry is no longer with the network and her weekend morning show is gone. Since 2012 this self-titled show "had a small but loyal audience averaging 400,000 viewers" according to a Feb. 29 WSJ piece by Joe Flint ("MSNBC - Host Part Ways After Pre-Emptions').  This referred to her pique on learning her opinion show (from 10 a.m.- 12 noon ET on Saturday, Sunday) would be pre-empted in parts for the Dem SC primary.

According to the WSJ report, Harris-Perry blew a gasket and asserted in an email she wasn't going to tolerate appearing "for four inconsequential hours" - when she could, of course,  be opinionating on this, that and the other. She instead demanded the network "return editorial control and authority that makes MHP distinctive".

Adding for effect in her staff email (ibid.)  that she "would not be used as a 'tool for their purpose' nor would she be 'a token mammy or little brown bobblehead"

Seriously? A "little brown bobblehead"? You are, or were, one of the few black women to have her own show and now want to piss that away out of some misplaced pique at election coverage pre-emption of your precious show? Really?

I admit I watched Harris-Perry on occasion and she sometimes hit the right notes at the right time, as in the case of the Baltimore cops beating up on Freddie Gray and also the bogus voter ID laws in many states, used to set up roadblocks to many black voters (especially older ones who may lack the credentials, i.e. birth certificates, to establish  a basis for a state ID. A fact many of the voter fraud boneheads don't get)

On the downside, Melissa - like other media blacks (Joy Reid, Michael Eric Dyson) -  often carried water for Obama and the Neoliberal state. This frequently caused mixed feelings in many African-Americans who on the one hand found the defense of Neoliberalism offensive (especially to justify SNAP cuts in the Obama-promoted "sequester" program) but on the other hand found it comforting to see a popular black commentator on the tube.

As one blogger (Margaret Kimberly) on smirkingchimp.com put it:

"Like Obama, Harris-Perry marketed herself as a progressive but spoke against the interests of black people in order to keep the rulers from feeling uncomfortable. While doing a story on the closing of public schools in major cities like New York, Chicago and Philadelphia she and her guests debated the role of race in this policy. They did so without ever mentioning the elephant in the room. The very goal of the Obama administration Race to the Top initiative demanded that public schools be closed and replaced by charters. The woman who now says that she isn’t a “token” was very happy to be one if doing so would relieve the president of any blame."

Harris-Perry also aroused my ire and that of many 4th amendment defenders (who are as avid in our own way as 2nd amendment defenders) when she came down on NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden.  I was especially enraged after "MHP" -  adopting the indignant pose of a Neoliberal security state fetishist -  insisted that Snowden should turn himself in and face a long prison sentence.  It was at that point I realized she was no liberal but rather another Neolib mouthpiece shilling for the elites and their hacks.

At the same time, unlike her denying and trashing Snowden's rights (such as not to have to face a rigged, kangaroo court) I allowed that Melissa had the right to bloviate on her show. I applauded that a well-educated, university prof African -American had such a stage as few do - especially to editorialize on events.

Alas, MHP took one step too far and the network took her up on her desire to instantly vacate - making it mutually acceptable- as in saying 'Hasta la vista!'

Margaret Kimberly in her article noted that MHP was likely hired in the first place because of attracting viewers during the reign of the first black President.   But she added that given this is Obama's last year in office, "the pressure to keep token black supporters on as talking heads has dropped."    Thus, if they erupt like MHP did - at having election coverage preemptions (which MSNBC said have occurred with all its various shows) - then they can expect quick exits. At least MSNBC host Al Sharpton understands which side his media bread is buttered on and is not going to make the same rash move as Harris-Perry.

  Harris-Perry ought to have exercised  more forbearance and caution and not yielded to her elitist sense of entitlement as a black prof. . She'd have fared better by not being so demanding about her official air time, or its supposedly inviolate content, realizing that shows like hers were rare in the corporate media firmament. Thus, preserving her voice and show ought to have trumped her irritations at election interruptions.

But Melissa H-P evidently let her ego and sense of entitlement get the better of her, as the campaign season heated up and more and more interruptions (especially after primaries) occurred.


See also:

http://www.smirkingchimp.com/thread/margaret-kimberley/66262/bye-melissa

Bloomberg News' Paula Dwyer Misreads The U.S. Jobs Picture - Big Time!

Bloomberg News' Paula Dwyer exemplifies the Neoliberal's warped perceptions on the state of labor and the economy. She claims in a recent piece ('What Trump, Sanders Don't Get') that the "forces holding back the economy are structural and internal" as opposed to arising from globalization and its wholesale betrayal of indigenous  labor in favor of cheap external labor. This has been the case since NAFTA and CAFTA and will be reinforced with TPP passage.

People under the WTO-GATT- CAFTA- NAFTA etc. hegemony were thereby rendered pawns and serfs to global capital. (See e.g., William Greider, 'One World Ready Or Not - The Manic Logic of Global Capitalism', 1996). Greider makes clear the millions of American jobs dispatched to low wage nations overseas not only hollowed out our industrial cities and eliminated living wages but created a vast service sector for which the pay can't meet basic living obligations (rent, utilities, insurance etc.). 

Given a choice between paying an American college-educated person $45,000/ yr.  starting salary - with benefits tossed in -  and an Indian from Delhi only half that and zero benefits, what do you think the big cheese in a global company is going to do? With no penalties for sending jobs to Indians (i.e. a tax surcharge of 10% on every job dispensed there) that's where the jobs will go, the lowest priced, least regulated markets!

Dwyer claims that workers - young and old - are "abandoning the work force" and this is responsible for the current low unemployment rate of 4.9%. This is mostly flat wrong.  As reported in the Feb 22 WSJ: How Older Women Are Reshaping the U.S. Job Market

"a wave of older American women are working or seeking work longer, and more than any previous generation as they look ahead to more years of life than men their age and with less accumulated wealth."

Adding:

"Since the start of the most recent recession in December 2007, the share of older working women has grown while the percentage of every other category of U.S. worker—by gender and age—has declined or is flat. In 1992, one in 12 women worked past age 65. That number is now around one in seven. By 2024, it will grow to almost one in five, or about 6.3 million workers, according to Labor Department projections."

So, in other words, Dwyer's claim of a uniform American worker "abandonment" of the job market is plain poppycock. In addition, older workers in general are keeping the jobs they have as well as taking new ones. Why? The WSJ again:

“As older workers keep a tight grip on their jobs, the proportion of Americans ages 25 to 54 who are working or looking for work has slipped to the lowest level in three decades. Many of these younger Americans fell out of the labor force in the recession: Some retired or enrolled in school. Others weren’t able to work or had to care for relatives at home. Many gave up looking.
Economists are closely studying what happens in the U.S. and abroad as workers stay on the job years past their expected retirement age."

Adding:

"Older men and women are leaving the workforce more slowly than in the past, suggesting a greater potential labor supply—and more slack—than an unemployment rate below 5% would typically imply. Such economic slack must be cinched—by finding jobs for discouraged younger workers, for example—before wages can rise more broadly."

Why does this economic "slack" exist? It isn't simply because the workers don't want jobs but because the job eligible population (mainly Millennials) has been increasing by nearly 220,000 a month every year since 2005. Unless jobs are created at this labor population eligible rate then there will be "slack" and a growing labor surplus. This stuff isn't rocket science and it's incredible a Bloomberg News person wouldn't be aware of that. Consider then the months in the Bush administration where there was in fact negative job growth - jobs lost, not added - and you have another contributory factor to labor slack.

In terms of lack of adequate job creation, well it's because employers, corporations refuse to invest the money, the capital they have to launch jobs. They are instead using the money to buy back shares.
The WSJ's Greg Ip recently (Jan. 29)  observed that since 2009, U.S. firms - entrenched in their own myopic interests- boosted capital investment by only 43%, dividends by 67% and stock buybacks by a whopping 194%. This according to Jason Thomas of Carlyle Group. In addition, rather than investing in new plants for new jobs, businesses have squandered $2 trillion on mergers and acquisitions - a third more than the previous annual record in 2006. This is what has directly led to a distortion in the economy and the failure to grow more decent paying jobs.

The reality is American business has become self-invested, self-gratified and fat off its own capital and no longer willing to invest in the American worker. Put succinctly, people (younger ones) have ceased looking for jobs because they simply aren't there - not of the numbers and quality needed for them to advance or even afford basic food and rent in most cities (like Denver where one needs a $150,000/ yr. salary just to qualify to own a new home and rents start at $1900/mo.).  It makes more sense for them to seek disability and bail out entirely with nothing forthcoming - or just live with mom and pop.

This then exposes Dwyer's blame game as misplaced i.e. "improved living standards require economic growth and one way to achieve that is more people producing more goods and services"

But that only applies if companies, corporations are more interested in investing in the production of those goods and services - by investing in more plant and labor - than in stock buybacks and mergers.

That is not happening. Nor will her solution of "bringing in more immigrants" solve the problem because again, it is not that there is a dearth of workers but a dearth of decent paying jobs. Thus, the slower growth is not a result of too few workers but too few jobs produced by the corporate sector which would rather sit on its capital..  The worry about immigrants "taking away jobs" is also misplaced because most of the jobs immigrants take are in agriculture and landscaping. As for tech jobs, most of those - including customer service - were long ago dispatched to Bangalore and Delhi.

Dwyer asserts that "the only other way to increase living standards is for workers to increase their output" but this also is bogus. The untold truth is that is that productivity in relation to GDP has increased more than 40% in the interval since 1973 even as wages-salaries have remained almost stagnant. Of course, one major reason is how "greater productivity" is now attained. Often by firing a number of workers ("downsizing" or "rightsizing")  and ditching their benefits, and making the remaining force do their work plus that of the downsized ones. OR- tossing out 80% of a workforce and replacing them all with automation.

As for living standards, she appears to be unaware that enhanced productivity isn't going to get it done. Northwestern University economist Robert Gordon has chronicled the history of America's heyday and argued that advances in our living standards between 1870 and 1970 aren't likely to be repeated. A lot of this has to do with the fact that in that interval growth reflected a sweeping series of innovations from indoor plumbing, to air conditioning, refrigeration. Gordon sees little evidence that similar innovations (i.e. of analogous magnitude) will emerge to deliver gains on the same scale.

Then again, there is the retreating, diminishing EROEI of petroleum - meaning that it now requires much more effort to extract energy to drive our energy-intense civilization and it is nowhere as cheap as it used to be  - and getting dearer (never mind the temporary oil glut that has driven oil prices down,) See e.g.

http://brane-space.blogspot.com/2013/09/44-trillion-in-deficits-by-2024-minus.html

Dwyer in her Neoliberal myopia addressed none of these, nor did she even appear to be aware of them.

Bottom line, if people, so called economists and other media experts,  wish to see the labor participation rate increase then they need to find a way to spur aggregate demand via corporations investing in new jobs. Produce the jobs and then they - the workers - will come.

This is the real "megatrend" affecting society but alas, it's one Ms. Dwyer is totally blind to, so eager is she to blame workers-citizens as well as Sanders and Trump for erroneous perceptions of our rigged economy.

See also:

http://www.smirkingchimp.com/thread/eric-zuesse/66255/libertarians-false-assumptions-about-economics

And:

http://brane-space.blogspot.com/2012/05/is-us-economic-system-pareto.html

Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Solutions to Solar Oscillation Problems

1)  Solution: The acoustic cutoff frequency is:

w ac   = g g/ 2c

Then:

w ac   =  (5/3) (273 ms-2)/ 2 (900 ms-1 ) 

w ac   =    0.25 s-1


2) Solution:
The spherical surface would appear as shown below:
No photo description available.

The critical parameter is the difference  (â„“  - m) given it yields the lines corresponding to parallels of latitude.  In this case, (â„“  - m) =   (2 – 0) = 2, hence two parallels of latitude which are shown bounding the white region. (Since m = 0 there are no longitudinal lines)
The associated Legendre polynomial function given by:

P â„“m (q )  =  (1 – z2) m/2 / â„“! 2â„“   d (â„“+m) / dz(â„“+m)  (z2   -1) â„“

But â„“  =2  and  m = 0 ,  so:

P â„“m (q )  =  (1 – z2) 0 / 2! 22   d(2)  / dz(2)   (z2   -1) 2
(1 – z2) 0   = 1  so:

P â„“m (q )  =  (1)/ 2! 22   d(2)  / dz(2)   (z2   -1) 2

=   1/ 8   [d2 / dz2   (z2   -1) 2]

3) Solution:
The depth of reflection is r, and the Lamb frequency is:

L   =  2p/ T  = 2p/ 340.61 s =   0.0184 s-1

Where: L   =    Ö( â„“(â„“ + 1) c2 / r2 )
Solving for r:     r=  Ö[(â„“(â„“ + 1)]  c / L
r=   Ö[ (20(20 +1)] 900 m/s/ 0.0184 s-1  
r =   10 6   m

4) The sketch denotes a vibration for which m= 1 and â„“ = 2.  Then (â„“  - m) =   (2 – 1) = 1 so a single parallel of latitude must appear in the sketch. Also since m= 1 we have at least one meriodonal or longitude line. 

Then : 

 P â„“m (q )  =  (1 – z2) m/2 / â„“! 2â„“   d (â„“+m) / dz(â„“+m)  (z2   -1) â„“

Since â„“  =2  and  m = 1 :

P â„“m (q )  =  (1 – z2) 1/2   / 2! 22   d(3)  / dz(3)   (z2   -1) 2

z =  cos q  =    cos  p/4  =    Ã–2 / 2


But: d(3)  / dz(3)   (z2   -1) 2   =  16.97

Then:

 
P â„“m (q )  =  (Ö2 / 2) / 2! 2 2   [16.97]  =  Ã–2/ 16  [16.97]                                                                         

   

The Cold, Hard Truth: It's Game Over For Bernie


A video screen shows US Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders and his wife Jane at his Super Tuesday rally in Burlington, Vermont.
There comes a time when the most pie-eyed optimist must face reality and concede the battle is lost, and even the war. Since I am not,  nor ever have been an optimist, I have no problem now calling a spade a spade and acknowledging it is game over for Bernie Sanders.  He fought a valiant, uphill battle for the American left - even when its darling (Elizabeth Warren) refused to run - or even endorse him (opting to remain neutral)  But it was  insufficient to conquer the well-oiled Clinton Machine. Not only that, but he had to go against that machine plus the DNC's rigged system of superdelegates. A shadow system in which lobbyists and party bosses could trump the will of actual voters.

This   hidden system alone, which had ratcheted up over 582 total delegates even before Super Tuesday commenced (after Hillary's SC win)  meant that to keep pace Bernie would have had to have taken at least 9 of the 11 states in play, including the biggest - Texas- as well as his neighbor state, Vermont.  

But this he could not do, winning only four states (VT, CO, OK and MN),  and thereby falling so far behind that it is now impossible to catch up - given Hillary's delegate lead- to even compete in a realistic way. Though some might be deluded at what appeared to be about a couple hundred delegate count difference after last night, the actual count (with superdelegates),  is Hillary 1033 and Bernie 387.

Yes, with a $40m haul from February, Sanders can technically battle on until the convention, but it is a total losing wicket and only spells more humiliation as more and more state super delegates follow suit and tilt to Hillary as "Savior" from "the Donald". In Colorado, for example, despite Sanders carrying 51 of 64 counties and winning overall by 19 percent over Hillary, she will likely end up with two more delegates, 40-38.

It is clear from the way this has turned out that Americans, Democrats in particular, are not prepared to give up Neoliberalism and its version of rigged capitalism-  despite the fact it hasn't delivered duck squat to them. Polls also show they are not as angry as Republican voters, but they should be -given how they've been tricked so often.  They are, in turn, the ultimate suckers - especially African-Americans -   who've tilted to HRC in such absurd proportions. (See previous post)

But this was all predictable as the campaign carried on,  with the neolib pundit class interjecting and sowing its doubts on Sanders (including multiple utterances of the s-word)  at every turn despite my skewering them one after the other. At some point, like it or not, the negative PR began to stick as well as the gender card played with good effect by Hillary and her surrogates.

The biggest disappointment for me was Elizabeth Warren - who might have helped enormously in the struggle - but didn't even have the courage to endorse Bernie, despite the fact he sounded the same notes that she had always embraced. That she wouldn't run because of believing she might wield more effective influence in the Senate was one thing, but not to even endorse him was plain cowardice in the service of crass political calculation. (That she'd be less damaged if she kept her mouth shut).

But bravo to Rep. Tulsi Gabbard of Hawaii who had such courage of her convictions that she left the compromised DNC and came out foursquare for Sanders. She had to leave the DNC in order to escape the shadow of Debbie Wasserman  Schultz (a Hillary surrogate) and do that.

It is clear to this Sanders supporter that Americans simply lack the courage and conviction to change the system they have. Given that, they are in no position to complain about it as it screws them over and over and over again with more bailouts of banks, more corporate mischief (including the TPP), more invasions and occupations and ever higher health care/drug costs and exploding student debt.

If you as a serious voter lack the balls (or conscience)  to change the system - out of fear - then  you lack any claim or basis to complain about it, especially if you approve of those committed to preserving the status quo. Clearly, Trump supporters-voters are determined to change the system however they can, probably in a bad way. (Tom Brokaw said last night on NBC they will 'sadly learn Trump is not a dictator in our system of dispersed power''). But the Dems who settled for Hillary out of a sense of false security and complacency will now have to try to ensure the Trump nightmare -  spawned by a misplaced demand for change- doesn't overtake their own aspirations, e.g. of "the first woman president". Enough said!

See also:

http://www.salon.com/2016/03/02/thanks_america_our_broken_political_system_is_about_to_give_us_a_terrifying_campaign_between_a_vapid_huckster_and_a_war_hawk/


Excerpt:


Thanks for not really paying attention and for misunderstanding pretty much everything and for voting out of fear and incoherent emotion, and for permitting and enabling an engineered, anti-democratic political system. 

 

Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Bill & Hill's Neolib 'Welfare to Work' Legacy Soon To Bite Many African-Americans

In a recent campaign ad for Bernie Sanders, Spike Lee is heard to say: "99 percent of Americans were hurt by the financial crisis and that's why I'm officially endorsing my brother, Bernie Sanders."

But as we learn Hillary and Trump are set to "wrap up nominations" today  (WSJ. Feb. 29, p. A4)  and 'Sanders Is Downplaying The Odds' (p. A6)  do African -Americans agog for Hillary even process what he's saying? One wonders as so many appear to fall all over themselves to jump aboard the Clinton bandwagon which they insist will be foursquare in their corner once she's elected. If she is.

But maybe it's time for a reality check.   As per a WSJ piece five days ago ('Food Stamp Reprieve Is Short On Time', p. A3) millions of blacks in 22 states are set to lose their food stamp benefits unless they comply with tough job requirement benchmarks.  Among these forlorn souls is Tiffoney Greene, 43, who lives in subsidized housing and has needed food stamps off and on the past five years.

Ms. Greene, from Raleigh, NC, was formerly the manager at a barbecue restaurant but she lost her job in 2013 after no longer having a reliable means of transport following a divorce.  She had been working toward an A.A. degree when she lost her job and her options were scuttled. Now, she faces going hungry after receiving a letter from the county that she has until March 31 to buck up and get moving with work - or some alternative -  or else lose her food money.

As the article put it: she "cried when she found out".

And WHO,  we might ask, is to blame for this travesty that afflicts the "unprotected" in this country (in the parlance of Peggy Noonan from her latest WSJ piece) mainly poor and minorities?

Well, to those with lapsed memories it was none other than Bill Clinton, who - under pressure from the DLC - passed (with Republican help) the 'Welfare to work' law back in 1996. The law enraged actual liberals though it was applauded by Neoliberal whores and bootlickers in the media.  As I described in my book, 'Elements of the Corporatocracy', it was an evil affront to justice that mandated - in states like Maryland- welfare recipients could be paid below the minimum wage ($3.50 /hr was often cited by The Baltimore Sun)

After the horrific financial crisis, credit meltdown in 2007-08 the job requirements for SNAP were broadly waived so people like Greene and millions of others could catch a bit of a break. Now, however, with job numbers seemingly improving, the requirements are being reinstated by many states.

This is all despite the fact that "joblessness is higher for many groups who lack a high school diploma" not to mention the 6 million Americans (including many blacks) who are left with only part time work because they can't find full time jobs. And yet, by the new work requirement, if they are unable to work at lest 80 hours a month they will have to have their food stamps cut. Talk about adding insult to injury!

Do any of the African-Americans backing Hillary sincerely believe she will change this draconian law? Why not ask her at the next confab or event and see?  Do you really believe in her heart of hearts that she will tear asunder the ill-conceived program her hubby Bill put in place? Eschew the record of her husband?  As P.J. Podesta writes at salon.com:

"The federal safety net for poor families was torn to shreds by the Clinton administration in its effort to “end welfare as we know it.” In his 1996 State of the Union address, given during his re-election campaign, Clinton declared that ‘the era of big government is over’ and immediately sought to prove it by dismantling the federal welfare system known as Aid to Families With Dependent Children (AFDC). The welfare-reform legislation that he signed—which Hillary Clinton ardently supported then and characterized as a success as recently as 2008—replaced the federal safety net with a block grant to the states, imposed a five-year lifetime limit on welfare assistance, added work requirements, barred undocumented immigrants from licensed professions, and slashed overall public welfare funding by $54 billion (some was later restored)."

At least a Sanders administration would fight tooth and nail to repeal 'welfare to work' or issue an executive order to stop it..

Hillary?  I warrant not so much. A pity so many African-Americans (even Civil Rights stalwarts like John Lewis) are now so blinded to Dem Neoliberalism they will likely rubberstamp it today - with Hillary's forthcoming coronation.

See also:

http://www.smirkingchimp.com/thread/paul-buchheit/66224/in-bed-with-a-nation-wrecker-5-ways-hillary-is-as-bad-as-bill

Excerpt:

"Hillary actively advocated for her husband's 1996 "welfare reform" legislation, calling the recipients of Aid to Families with Dependent Children (AFDC) "deadbeats," and despite a doubling of extreme poverty calling the program a success as recently as 2008.."