Showing posts with label climate change. Show all posts
Showing posts with label climate change. Show all posts

Monday, September 23, 2019

Climate Change IS An Existential Threat: The Right's Trolls Need To Stop Their Hit Job On Greta Thunberg

Image result for brane space,  Greta ThunbergA new interactive Google Earth map showing the impacts of a 4°C world
Greta Thunberg speaking on Friday during the Global Climate Strike.  Right: Google maps projection of  a +4C greenhouse world -on the verge of being unlivable

Climate strike protesters begin marching on Friday.

"How dare you! You have stolen my dreams and my childhood with your empty words.   People are suffering. People are dying. Entire ecosystems are collapsing. We are in the middle of a mass extinction, and all you can talk about is money and fairy tales of eternal economic growth"- Greta Thunberg today, at UN Global Climate Summit.


In the dubious pantheon of dirtbags, trolls, human trash and garbage spewers there is perhaps none more vile than the execrable lot that would attack an innocent - but precocious -  child.  Especially one who has an IQ vastly higher than  they do and isn't afraid to put it to good use in trying to warn a somnolent global population of the climate perils that lie ahead.  I write of the attacks on 16 year old climate activist Greta Thunberg whose "blunt, often biting remarks has offered Americans a sort of unvarnished, outsider’s view of themselves", according to a recent NY Times'  piece.  But which clearly the loathsome maggots can't handle.

An example of such a troll attack is this one from a website, nymag.com:

"Greta Thunberg is used in a sinister plot to put a face on the future generation the climate alarmists outlandishly claim are being robbed of their future. It is a direct attempt to shame Trump, and thereby the US, back to conformity, so it can pick up the tab for their draconian measures and plan for redistribution of wealth."

This ignorant troll asswit - going by the handle of "Silver Surfer" - is evidently oblivious to the fact Trump shamed himself by ordering California and other states to apply lower emission standards to vehicles. A brazen, crass effort to make global warming even worse, e.g.


 But "Surfer's"  imbecilic  comment response also took  exception to Thunberg's observation that by the time she reaches the age  of 75 in 2078, there will be little hope for a future left unless action is mounted now.  That means heat indices reaching 55 C or more, power grids collapsing, not enough water even for basic needs and no more fish in the oceans, only jellyfish and vast blooms of sargassum. The  air will be so polluted it will be impossible to breathe without the equivalent effect of smoking 4 packs of cigs a day.

And note the Right nationalist denier loons and their cretinous ilk always want to fabricate some conspiracy or other to try to portray a simple movement they don't like. In this case, Thunberg is being used in a "sinister plot" to put a face on the future generations to embody claims of climate alarmists.  But it is not alarmism but facts which these mindless twits would know if they could even pass a basic thermal physics test, e.g.

Thermal Physics Test for skeptics

But my take is that this fool doesn't even know the difference between heat and temperature so would flunk it anyway.  Yet one would hope that before these yahoos - likely in their mother's basements- start pounding their keyboards in misplaced angst and paranoia, they do some research. To at least know a few things before they attack a 16 year old kid for her courage in trying to motivate lackadaisical imps to act.

For example:

"A NASA satellite found that Greenland's ice sheet lost about 255 billion metric tons of ice a year between 2003  and 2016, with the loss rate generally getting worse over that period." (Denver Post, Aug. 25, p. 1A, 'Greater Mass Loss Going Forward'):

Add that to the melting of the Arctic ice caps and Antarctic ice shelf as well and one can imagine a scenario for a 20-25 ' sea level rise by mid century.   We also now have to factor in the effects of the burning Amazon rain - forest - likely to add 2- 5 gigatons of carbon to the already CO2 sodden atmosphere. 

Greta herself  began her school strike plan late in August 2018, before the U.N.’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change had released its doomsday SR15 report, which would arrive that October festooned with alarm bells and produce a sea change in public concern.

But even that is likely lowballed e.g.  this article from the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists:

Climate report understates threat

Excerpt:

"So far, average temperatures have risen by one degree Celsius. Adding 50 percent more warming to reach 1.5 degrees won’t simply increase impacts by the same percentage—bad as that would be. Instead, it risks setting up feedbacks that could fall like dangerous dominos, fundamentally destabilizing the planet. This is analyzed in a recent study showing that the window to prevent runaway climate change and a “hot house” super-heated planet is closing much faster than previously understood."

 And a 4C world may be on its way. Where does the 4C increase come from?  Refer to the lead UK Guardian article from May 17, 2015, which bluntly notes:  

"A paper used for guiding future business planning at the Anglo-Dutch multinational assumes that carbon dioxide emissions will fail to limit temperature increases to 2C, the internationally agreed threshold to prevent widespread flooding, famine and desertification. Instead, the New Lens Scenarios document refers to a forecast by the independent International Energy Agency (IEA) that points to a temperature rise of up to 4C in the short term, rising later to 6C."

THIS is the unvarnished truth but you'd never know it by reading most corporate media  releases.  


 More important and deadly is the cumulative indirect effect of CO2 being added by the gigatons each year to the atmosphere.   

To put it into quantitative terms, the temperature of the planet is currently out of balance by 0.6W/ m2  and this is almost entirely due to the annual rate of CO2 concentrations increasing.  Indeed, the CO2 concentration in the atmosphere has accelerated from 400 ppm in 2013 to 415 ppm now.  E.g.  as reported in May of this year:

No photo description available.


 That is an approximately 6 year interval for a per year change in concentration of :
(415 ppm - 400 ppm)  / 6 yr  =   15 ppm / 6 yr  =  2.5 ppm/  yr.

Further,  every increase in CO2 concentration now increases the radiative heating effect by 2.5  W/ m2/  / yr.

Prof. Gunter Weller (formerly of the Univ. of Alaska Geophysical Institute)  estimated the runaway greenhouse effect would kick in when the CO2 concentration level of 600 ppm is surpassed-  which seems reasonable. If it is just over 410 ppm now - by many conservative measures -  then doing the math (adding 2.5  ppm  per year and 2.5 W/ m2   heating effect) puts us in jeopardy before 2100. 

Less objectionable than the loser troll on the Nymag rag site, is WSJ editor Gerald Baker who penned this nonsense in the weekend edition of the Journal,

St. Greta Spreads the Climate Gospel - WSJ

Writing:

"A movement that believes in sin, penance and salvation doesn’t sound very scientific" 

Of course, these are all interjected ad hoc by Mr. Baker. There is  in fact no "sin" (there is waste, e.g. of food, water (i.e. in fracking),  and CO2 generation by excess consumption), nor is there "penance" - unless one wishes to refer to the coming climatic onslaught in floods, drought, raging fires, sea level rise and the impacts on humans.   Nor is there "salvation" - given it may well be too late to avoid any of those, only mitigate them somewhat.

Then, really going off on a wild tangent:

"It’s been noted before that the cause of addressing climate change has become something like the modern world’s version of a secular religion. In much of Europe especially, but in sections of American society too, a kind of climate theology has replaced traditional Christianity as the ultimate source of authority over human behavior, comprising both an all-embracing teleology of our existence and a prescriptive moral code."

Baker  then goes off into a miasma of false analogy, trying to equate the Catholic Church's apocalyptic and theological dogmas, i.e. about hellfire etc. with the fires we can expect to manifest from global warming, e.g.

"An apocalyptic eschatology warns that we will all be consumed by fire if we don't follow the ordained rules."

Except that theological fire is fanciful, supernatural bilge, designed to terrify the faithful into unthinkingly following the padres and popes....or else. Meanwhile, the fires from enhanced climate change are real and spreading to extend longer and longer across major fire seasons,  such as now ravaging  Alaska, Scandinavia, Siberia, etc.  Note this scene from Tasmania  7 years ago forcing this family to take shelter in water. A taste of what's to come.
Tim Holmes


One thing an editor like Baker ought to have learned is not to analogize the fantasy "supernatural" fires of a religion's afterlife with the very real fires that will burn across our planet from climate change.  Of course, this false analogy in his specious case paves the way for multiple others, i.e.

"A gospel of redemption emphasized that salvation lies in reducing our carbon footprint, with re-usable shopping bags and bike sharing."

In fact there is no analogous "gospel of redemption" only the cold hard data showing if we don't lessen the carbon inputs our civilization will be reduced to ashes - in the runaway greenhouse - or be flooded out of existence as sea levels rise from the ongoing and accelerating melting.  This isn't supernatural fantasy or allegory, it's the future we face and the future is already erupting all around us - from monster storms and torrential fires, to the spread of new diseases like eastern equine encephalitis and dengue fever, to the spread of fire tornadoes and mega-fire holocausts.

But hey, at least he isn't a 4chan or Nymag.com conspiracy monger troll who suspects Greta of being part of a "sinister plot" for global climate alarmism.  Indeed, he offers a modicum of respect, e.g.

"None of this is to denigrate Ms.  Thunberg. She's clearly a sincere and talented young woman who has dedicated herself to what she believes is the highest moral cause."

Well, because right now, it is!  And please convey your respectful tones to the trolls and losers who inhabit the dregs of the net - and can't contribute anything positive to the advance of humanity. They can only try to slime a young teen who has the courage to act.

What is Mr. Baker's bugbear? Mainly that Thunberg's causes like fighting climate change using serious tools (e.g. taxing carbon use) will "slow economic growth".   This leads to perhaps his most egregious statement other than the false analogies with religion:

"While carbon heavy growth is damaging the planet, it is also producing the technological prowess to address the damage."

For which he cites not a single example other than a vague reference to China. (Which nation is indeed investing far more on solar energy than the U.S.).  But in the end, unless carbon heavy growth is curtailed or stopped it will be our end, no doubts.  This is apart from the fact of its increasing inefficiency which is actually contributing to slower growth, e.g..

$44 TRILLION in Deficits by 2024? Minus 15% Growt...

But at least Baker didn't put Greta at the center of a sinister plot. We must be thankful for small mercies in seeing a residue of intelligence where we can find it!

See also:

CLIMATE CHANGE



And:

by Chris Hedges | September 23, 2019 - 6:49am | permalink

And:
by Randall Amster | September 22, 2019 - 5:08am | permalink


Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Post 9 / 11, Donald J. Trump Is The Biggest National Security Threat

Related image
"And I'm gonna put a single megaton nuke right into the next hurricane's eye! No deal making!"

Yes, it sounds incredible to say or write, but for anyone who has documented the history of the past 27 months there is little doubt the alleged "President" we have is our biggest national security threat. Arguably bigger than al Qaeda, Isis and all the Islamic radicals you can think of rolled into one. Preposterous you say?  Then you've allowed Trump and his endless antics to burn out your memory coils.  Just go back through the months and think about it.

Only recently he's released classified satellite photos of military intelligence never intended for open disclosure. See e.g.

The photo Trump tweeted out from a classified ... - MSN.com



https://www.msn.com › en-us › news › politics › ar-AAGHRXP

As the preceding piece notes:

"President Donald Trump tweeted out an image on Friday from a classified briefing to taunt Iran, and analysts suspect the photo came from one of the US's most advanced satellites. Specifically the photo is believed to have come from a U.S. KH- 11 spy satellite called USA 224."

As anyone with a grain of sense knows, these spy satellites are called that for a reason. That is, that the material they collect is not intended for public dissemination where enemies can use it to infer the satellites' capabilities - even in a limited way.  And here we have our illustrious Commander-in chief, (Captain Bonespurs) giving away the candy store.   Now it is true, the image was made publicly available ex post facto - but the photo in Dotard's tweet was of a much higher resolution (showing the power of the satellite's optics) "leaving experts flabbergasted".

(See also: Trump may have revealed US military secrets by tweeting a photo to taunt Iran  )

Is is any wonder that even LAST year at this time:

"Ten percent of Americans said President Trump is a bigger threat to the U.S. than a terrorist attack, according to a new Hill.TV poll.
The American Barometer survey, conducted by Hill.TV and the HarrisX polling company, found that 10 percent of respondents specified Trump was the biggest threat to America"
Still skeptical? Consider what has transpired in the interim. Not only has this demented fool misdirected people in Alabama about the  Hurricane  Dorian threat - a felony in itself- 
View image on Twitter
He also ruminated on deploying nuclear weapons against hurricanes.  Ordinarily we'd never have known about this except his outgoing National Security head,  John Bolton,  leaked it -"stirring Trump's fury" according to a segment on CBS this morning.   Thanks to Bolton, no fan of mine for sure - but likely credible here- we now know we have a dyspeptic lunatic sitting close to the nuclear football and ready to use it at a moment's notice. Like he vowed two years ago, to bring "fire and fury" against Kim Jong Un, barking at the time: "North Korea best not make any more threats to the United States, They will be met with fire and the fury like the world has never seen.”.
Image result for Trump vs. Kim Jong Un images

Oh wait! That was before he "fell in love" with Kim, in an effort to broker a fake nuclear deal he thought would put him up for a Nobel Peace Prize.  Then staging a 'meet and greet' with him after walking across to North Korea, and sitting down happily with the most bloodthirsty butcher on the planet, e.g.
Meanwhile, Kim has since launched multiple shorter range missiles in defiance of the U.S. and hasn't done squat to remove any of his missile sites.  

After indulging this brutal,  mass- murdering dictator,  as he elevated him to world statesman status-  Trump then had the temerity to take over the 4th with his own grandstanding. 

For many of us this amounted to unwillingly conferring  undeserved benediction on his every action and word.  From honoring the most brutal regime in the world (even as he has hobnobbed with other tyrants), to validating his caging and maltreatment of migrant kids to pulling out of the Iran nuclear deal, thereby adding another level of geo-political instability to an already precarious global  equilibrium.


This man, in other words, is a national security nightmare, and he's sitting in the most powerful position on planet Earth.  Want to know what I am most terrified about? It's not another 9/11 style terror attack from Al Qaeda or Isis, but a Trump-spawned nuclear war, launched by a poseur narcissist swine who'd sacrifice millions for the appeasement of his own ego.  Just to try to prove a misbegotten point or how "right" he is.  Don't believe it? Look how long he's protracted the Sharpie gate incident!

Even if we somehow manage to survive Trump's remaining time in office (assuming he fails to be re-elected) he will have sown the seeds for a climate change apocalypse   by imposition of his current executive orders.  What do I mean by climate apocalypse?  

Powerful hurricanes. Record-breaking heatwaves. Droughts that bring ruin to farmers. Raging forest fires. The mass die-off of the world's coral reefs. Food scarcity.  Millions of climate refugees poring across borders seeking security, respite, or even just drinkable water.  To avoid this,  carbon dioxide emissions need to fall by as much as 45% from 2010 levels by 2030,  according to the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.   

And what has terrorist Trump planned?  Well, he's already got his EPA ready to weaken methane emission  (leakage) rules, e.g.

As I noted in that blog post:

"The EPA conceded with its proposal...  that easing the rule for methane leaks would put as ,much as 380,000 additional tons of methane into the atmosphere from 2019 to 2025. This added amount would be equivalent to 30 million tons of  CO2 - given methane's much higher forcing factor."  

Meanwhile, the Trump cabal of eco-terrorists has planned as many as 177 new natural gas power plants to add to the 2,000 already churning out climate wrecking effluent.  In the words of Michael Brune, president of the Sierra Club:

"All that natural gas is a ticking time bomb for our planet. If we are to prevent runaway climate change, these new plants can’t be built."

Trump, then,  the unstable authoritarian narcissist - not some vague band of "Islamic terrorists" - is for me the source of any future terror.  He is totally unqualified to sit in the most powerful office in the world, and he has undermined or removed whatever adults might have constrained him. Or directed him toward judicious policies and actions. 

So long as this traitor and terrorist sits in the Oval Office we all sit on a veritable powder keg ready to go off.  Not only can we not believe any of his "official" statements  - given he lies with each breath- but we cannot trust any of his actions.  He does not have the nation's security or interest at heart, only his own self-aggrandizement and enrichment at our expense.

All we can do now is hope we make it the 2020 election in one piece. 
-------------------------------
Update (9/12) on Trump's assault on our water (from NY Times):


"The Trump administration on Thursday announced the repeal of a major Obama-era clean water regulation that had placed limits on polluting chemicals that could be used near streams, wetlands and other bodies of water.
The rollback of the 2015 measure, known as the Waters of the United States rule, adds to a lengthy list of environmental rules that the administration has worked to weaken or undo over the past two and a half years.
Those efforts have focused heavily on eliminating restrictions on fossil fuel pollution, including coal-fired power plants, automobile tailpipes and methane emissions, but have also touched on asbestos and chemical hazards like pesticides.

An immediate effect of the clean water repeal is that polluters will no longer need a permit to discharge potentially harmful substances into many streams and wetlands."
----
When the cancer deaths start piling up and add to many more than the 3,000 killed in the Towers on 9/11, it will become even more patently obvious what a terrorist we have in our midst - operating in the seat of power to destroy our lives.

See also:


And:




Excerpt:

"With the possible exception of an all-out nuclear war, humanity has never encountered a threat that comes close to that posed by climate change.

In fact, the crisis is already upon us, but the media refuses to cover it as the clear and present danger it is now, and the virtual apocalypse it will soon be without immediate, urgent, global action."

And:

Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Trumpies' Muzzling Of USDA Scientists May Well Be The Biggest Climate Atrocity To Date

 "Oink, Oink!  I got deplorable Sonny Perdue to prevent the USDA from letting farmers know how bad things gonna get with the climate! HAHA, maybe my tariff handouts will help 'em! Not!"


"This is stuff - research, that is ready to go and the Trump administration has been trying to keep it all quiet. Even if you're not a scientist or you're not particularly well-versed in this field, you look at the subjects of this research and you kind of understand why it might be important to get this stuff out there. "  Rachel Maddow, last night on MSNBC

Trying to keep up with the Trumpies' abominations in some ways is like trying to drink water through a fire hose. Many citizens find the onslaught so ferocious that they simply give up any effort to assimilate any more negative news. They become inured to it, seeking a kind of relief or release, but there is none. Once they take that fateful step they become gradually pulled into the Trumpian swamp orbit and begin to tolerate the horrors and make rationalizations for them. At that juncture of desensitization, because people find it easier to acquiesce and tolerate Trump than fight him, we are in deep trouble as a nation.  At that point we have lost our moral compass and our vision.

Not here on this blog!  And even if the number of reads declines, as they appear to have - perhaps because so many "can't take it anymore"-  I am not about to stop trying to alert my countrymen to the incipient and overt dangers arising from this madman despot occupying the White House. Fouling it and the office of the presidency with each day he remains.

Of course, the danger with covering Trump - whether in blog posts or the news - is that while he is busy assaulting us with one atrocity (such as his glorification of Kim Jong Un Sunday) there are others incoming and with even more perverse effects.  One of these which has flown under the radar is the planned  precipitous move of hundreds of USDA scientists out of their offices in D.C. to a Kansas location where there's not even proper space to accommodate their research.  The reason? To make it easier to bury their recent research disclosing the adverse effects of climate change on agriculture - not just in the U.S. but the world at large.

Last Thursday, the Agriculture Department announced a decision to relocate two of its research agencies, the Economic Research Service and the National Institute of Food and Agriculture, from Washington to the Kansas City region. The Economic Research Service, which investigates the economics of food, farming, natural resources and rural America, and the National Institute of Food and Agriculture, which was established as part of the Food, Conservation and Energy Act of 2008, play a key role in providing the data essential for honest policy-making.

Agriculture Secretary Sonny Perdue-  another Trump deplorable-   initially declared an intention to move these sub-agencies 10 months ago but didn’t specify a location then. The USDA now says the move would put the agencies closer to the agricultural heartland while saving money both for taxpayers and for employees, because "Washington is an expensive city."   This is bollocks and BS.  The actual reason is to displace high profile scientists away from their research centers to dampen and disable their work. If carried out - and the deadline is July 15th by which time the scientists must either move or quit - the displacement will disrupt ongoing scientific research and dislodge several hundred federal employees with valuable experience. Since the abrupt announcement last August, many of the agencies’ top economists and scientists have quit.  As many, e.g. Rachel Maddow, have observed, this is a loss of research capacity that may never be replaced.  See e.g.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V07Zc3wBCiE


Please watch the full segment even the 7-8 minute lead- in featuring the discovery of penicillin and its development for Allied soldiers in WWII by the Agricultural Research Service, a branch of the USDA..  It will be well worth your time!

After that intro, please note the current major contributions in peer-reviewed papers which the Trump bunch  (e.g. led by Sonny Perdue) ensconced as swamp creatures in the Agricultural Dept. are trying to bury.  As in never get distributed, never get publicized.  Just die a slow, obscure death buried in a hole somewhere that maybe only Sonny Perdue and his staff knows about. The research, tied  directly to momentous findings on the adverse effects of climate change on agriculture,  include:

- An April, 2018 finding that elevated CO2 levels lead to substantial and persistent declines in the quality of certain prairie grasses important for raising cattle.  The protein content in the grass drops as photosynthesis kicks into high gear due to more carbon dioxide - a trend that could pose health problems for the animals and cost ranchers money.

-  In 2017, USDA scientists found climate change was likely to increase agricultural pollution and nutrient runoff in the Lower Mississippi River Delta. But certain conservation practices can help farmers compensate and reduce pollutant loads.

- Earlier this year USDA scientists found that rice loses vitamins in a carbon rich environment - a potentially serious health concern for the 600 million people world-wide whose diets consist mainly of rice.

Process that last finding long and hard! What Sonny Perdue's machinations with the USDA scientists could well lead to is 600 million people perishing in the throes of malnutrition - i.e. if compensating steps are not taken. But they cannot be taken if the research is buried, kept out of sight, while the scientists are removed to a remote Kansas location. Or fired.  But what about outside institutions like affiliated with the UN? Well, the Trump vermin blocked any access to the USDA findings.

Let's acknowledge here such investigations as identified above have long underpinned decisions by Congress and by American farmers, much as research from the Bureau of Labor Statistics underpins decisions in others parts of the economy. Also let's concede much of the information produced by the Economic Research Service has indeed been inconvenient for the administration, as it has illustrated the ills wrought by Trump’s trade wars and how minimally farmers were helped by the 2017 Republican tax overhaul.  This is a huge reason why they now want to squelch it. But really? At the cost to the quality of life of 600 million or more people worldwide?  As Janice screamed last night "They all deserve to be hung, starting with Trump and Sonny Perdue!" Amen, girl, I hear you - and if you check out my last post (bottom) you can see the image of Trump swinging from a high tree by his fat orange neck.


Anyway, Democratic members of the House and Senate have introduced the Agriculture Research Integrity Act, which would bar the move but who knows at this point if it will work?  It may well be too little and too late.
More ominous, as Rachel Maddow noted last night, there aren't even any offices in KC to support these workers.  It's just an elaborate Potemkin facade with nothing for genuine research scientists to do, or cooperate with a view to peer-reviewed publishing.

What may be needed now is millions of citizens getting out of their Lazy-Boys and flooding the streets like the citizens of Hong Kong are doing (to protest a law allowing extradition to China for trials).   But I fear too many have already become too desensitized to Trump's vile ways to resist his onslaught any more.   So it may well be that in the end Perdue and Trump get their way and the USDA research ends up in yet another national memory black hole.