Showing posts with label Bill Maher. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bill Maher. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Yes, We Desperately Need Images Of Patients & Organs Ravaged by the Novel Coronavirus - To Break Through The Wall Of Trumpie BS And Propaganda




We need more images like this of a 20-something's damaged left lung to show the havoc this disease can wreak and that is not the same as seasonal flu!

Among the most horrific images to emerge from the COVID-19 pandemic has been that of the diseased left lung (see graphic) of a 20-something young woman whose lungs were destroyed by the virus. She had received a double lung transplant  at Northwestern Memorial Hospital in Chicago. This marked the first known lung transplant in the United States for Covid-19.

The 10-hour surgery was more difficult and took several hours longer than most lung transplants because inflammation from the disease had left the woman’s lungs “completely plastered to tissue around them, the heart, the chest wall and diaphragm,” said Dr. Ankit Bharat, the chief of thoracic surgery and surgical director of the lung transplant program at Northwestern Medicine,

He said the patient, who had no serious underlying medical conditions, was recovering well:  However, one of the damaged lungs removed had the appearance of a glob of rotten hamburger and showed clearly that those who dismiss Covid as "not that severe" are detached from reality.  It is severe and is even now filling up hospital ICUs  in at least a dozen states. But that is why we need more images of its horrors.  To get into people's craniums that this is nothing to play around with or take lightly.

If a twenty something woman with no underlying conditions could end up with lungs like the one shown, then so could Bill Maher, Holman Jenkins Jr., Kayleigh McEnany, Ron Desantis or the clowns (from the Hoover Inst.) who wrote an op-ed in yesterday's WSJ (p. A17) proclaiming "the data is in" and we need to open everything up already. This, despite a same  day WSJ  story ('New Cases Grow In Over A Dozen States',  p. A6) noting:

"New coronavirus cases have accelerated in more than a dozen states as summer weather and reopenings have prompted throngs of people to gather across the country."

And let's note many of those gathering refuse to take even minimal precautions, including mask wearing, social distancing.  It's as if they believe just because a yahoo governor says 'Let's open!" a state can do so and all will be well.

Why lurid Covid disease images, aren't news reports enough? No, not when so many proclaim they are fake news or the medical personnel are just play acting.  Of course, it is also possible that assorted mental invalids will also insist the image shown above is "faked" or photo-shopped, but hey, there's a limit of lower IQ for convincing - so we must halt at the idiot level.

 Meanwhile, many of us have assembled a representative, visual archive of the staggering human toll of the crisis from which we all to hope to emerge.  These images are as necessary as those of the Holocaust many of us have also archived, to ensure at some future date no cynical political monster or his zombies attempts to deny the respective reality  - or minimize the pandemic. . Besides, for society to respond in ways commensurate with the importance of this pandemic, we have to see it.   At least its effects on sundry organs if not the patients themselves. For us to be transformed by it, it has to penetrate our hearts as well as our minds.

As my Psychology post doc niece Shayl put it: Images force us to contend with the unspeakable. In this case the unspeakable nature of this virus. The images also help humanize clinical statistics, to make them comprehensible. They step unto the breach.  Sarah Elizabeth Lewis author of   'Where Are The Photos Of People Dyng Of Covid'?  has written that:

 "Visualization is a powerful tool — it can help us more deeply understand the severity of the situation as we work to curb the virus. But the visuals we need most in this time are difficult to come by. What are we missing by not having images that represent the full impact of the coronavirus crisis? In the United States, the frequently recurring pictures in the media are of the president, the virus itself represented as a spiky ball, health care and front line workers deemed essential and visuals conveying economic disarray (empty businesses, winding unemployment lines)."

While there have been some professional images from inside medical zones, ICUs they remain rare. “Make note of what we can’t see,”  CNN commentator Brian Stelter said in March, adding:

 “That’s the suffering happening inside hospitals.”

He went on to discuss a video that was taken covertly in a hospital. What it means, he said, “is that we’re not seeing this crisis with our own eyes.”

Clearly, a backward state like Georgia isn't, having allowed opening of restaurants to full capacity yesterday.  This despite being one of 23 states that saw a rise in Covid cases over the last week. (At least a dozen of them surging by more than 25 percent,)  All of this translates to an ongoing plateau reflecting our "terrible leadership" in Rachel Maddow's words.  This while other nations (Italy, Spain, Germany, UK) cycled through a clear rise, peak and decline.  Meanwhile, in another backward state- Arizona - we learned total hospitalizations have doubled since April and the new daily cases reported has reached record levels.

The two bonehead Bozos - Trump and Pence - insist it's all a reflection of more testing, not grasping that the rate of disease infections exceeds the rate of testing. But then I never believed either of these clowns could do the math anyway.  As Jeanne Marrazzo, Director of Infectious Diseases at Univ of Alabama noted: "It's a real increase in cases we're finding"

In the meantime, a new projection model out of the Univ. of Washington has more deaths in the next 127 days than in the previous 129. (As Maddow reported last night).  This was in the wake of Pence claiming  the Trump gov't response is "cause for celebration".  Really, Pence?  Hundreds and thousands of rotting lungs and 230,000 dead by October 1st is 'cause for celebration'?  What are you smoking anyway?  Especially when the clown spouted:

"Thanks to the leadership of President Trump we are winning the fight against the invisible enemy".

Well, if that's winning, I'd hate to see losing!

All of which shows me we need many more graphic images of the virus effects on fellow citizens to break through the reams of propaganda.  This will not be easy. Medical privacy laws in the United States can present obstacles to this kind of viewing. Instead of images, we have had daily briefings of statistics presented in pie charts and bar graphs. During news conferences, officials such as Gov. Andrew Cuomo of New York and Chancellor Angela Merkel of Germany have illustrated how social distancing can flatten the curve through clear numerical analysis.

Statistics alone, however clear, are not historically how we have communicated calamity on this scale. There is an inverse relationship between high numbers and comprehension: It is much harder to picture tragedy of the kind we are now witnessing than it is to visualize one person in pain, or an image that connects with a familiar aspect of the human condition, what psychologists have termed the “identifiable victim effect.”

This is why, as Shayl put it: "We need a lot more personal pain narratives and the grisly images to go along with them.  Americans can't allow themselves to be bamboozled by the ongoing foolishness that Trump and Pence have it all under control."  Indeed, and by October - with two million more pairs of rotted, blown out Covid lungs - it may be too late.  Above all, people need to recognize that a 2nd lockdown is still possible if hospitals - even in Texas- are overwhelmed by the infected.

See Also:


by Amanda Marcotte | June 17, 2020 - 7:58am | permalink

Excerpt:


Donald Trump wants to pretend the coronavirus is in the rearview mirror, but reports over the weekend suggested that instead the U.S. is witnessing a resurgence of the virus after weeks of decline. Twenty-one states have seen an increase of new cases in recent days. Most of the spikes are in Republican-controlled states like Texas, Florida, Georgia and Arizona, where governors curried favor with Trump by lifting restrictions long before meeting even some of the criteria recommended by public health officials. On Sunday, the death toll from the virus, now at 118,000, surpassed the number of American lives lost in World War I.


In response to this surge, Americans living in our polarized political culture are pointing the finger at each other. Conservatives are opportunistically blaming the anti-racism protests spreading across both big urban areas and small towns. Liberals, on the other hand, are casting a gimlet eye on Americans who have crowded into outdoor spaces at bars and restaurants in states that have allowed those establishments to reopen.

And:

by Thomas Neuburger | June 17, 2020 - 5:18am | permalink


Saturday, June 13, 2020

Tanking Stock Market Thursday A Harbinger Of COVID 19 Resurgence & Economic Collapse: Will 'Muricans Heed It?



"The worst case projection I saw last year is we might see negative four percent GDP in the world. But just this week the World Bank predicted the entire global economy - every single country on Earth collectively - is  going into a negative 5.2 percent GDP.  That's 5.2 percent of the wealth of the planet just shrinks.  And in the midst of all that we have a pandemic and it's not just going to go away, And here in the United States we have no national policy, no consistent strategy across the nation, and no guidance coming to states in any coherent way from the CDC.

And the whole entire stock market has been hanging by its finger nails until today when reality started  to set in. They were thinking 'Okay we gotta have a vaccine gotta have a vaccine and that's gonna get us out of this.  Well what happens if one of the front line vaccines doesn't work properly - Well what does the market do? Stand back and watch the dust settle."  - Laurie Garret, on Rachel Maddow, Thursday night

- There has been solid research that it makes a difference to have more women on boards and in grass-roots positions, but evidence that they make better presidents or prime ministers has been lacking — until Covid-19 came along. It’s not that the leaders who best managed the virus were all women. But those who bungled the response were all men, and mostly a particular type: authoritarian, vainglorious and blustering.  -  Nicholas Kristoff, NY Times, 'What The Pandemic Reveals About The Male Ego'

The headline on the front page of yesterday's Wall Street Journal screeched:

'DOW Falls 1,800 On Virus Worries'

Noting:

"Growing fears of a surge in coronavirus infections sent the stock market falling Thursday pulling the Dow Jones Industrial Average down more than 1,800 points or 6.9 %.....For months investors have been betting the U.S. and other countries will be able to reopen their economies without seeing an increase in coronavirus cases that might force them to backtrack... But in the past few days investors have gotten more signs that the smooth reopening they had been hoping for might be increasingly difficult to achieve- throwing into doubt their hopes for a nascent economic recovery..

'It was a wake up call' said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at National Securities, of Thursday's pullback"


Which begs the question of why these investor goobers didn't spot or attend to the growing exponential increases of Covid cases in states -  exposed by Rachel Maddow Thursday night-  states including; North Carolina, Texas, Tennessee, Utah, South Carolina, Florida and others.

 I mean, as Maddow pointed out (as well as her guest Laurie Garrett) the signals leading to this moment were hard to ignore, even for the most bullish of investors. Coronavirus infections are rising in 21 states. Congress is divided on extending more aid. And on Wednesday, even the Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell, warned that the depth of the downturn and pace of the recovery remained “extraordinarily uncertain.”

For investors, who often make buying and selling decisions by looking at the future, it was altogether too much, but as Ms. Garrett said, that's because their brains are full of too much irrational exuberance. Not enough common sense and attending to the data before them, opting to go with wishful thinking.

Stocks suffered their worst drop in nearly three months as the S&P 500 stock index fell 5.9 percent — just days after it had recouped its losses for the year oh and oil prices also cratered, reflecting the sudden unease that swept across financial markets.  According to Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak, an asset management firm:

“Chairman Powell threw a bucket of cold water on the thought that the economy is going to go back to where it was in 2019 any time soon,”

But is anyone paying attention?  The biggest contribution of Maddow last night- apart from having pandemic writer Garrett on  -   was showing Christopher Wilson's chart - from Yahoo News  - of how U.S. Covid cases are spiking precipitously (by 36.46%) and more than any other nation in the world, e.g.

Top 10 Countries Reporting Cases, June 9 Centers for Disease Control and Prevention document (CDC)

This is god -awful and also exposes the WSJ editorial lies from yesterday ('The Second Wave Covid Scare', p. A 14) in which it was claimed  "The numbers are better than the headlines"  which the chart shows - as well as Maddow's exponential case curves- are flat out not true.  As the Yahoo News document states:

"In a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention document dated June 9, the  U.S. had the highest spike of percentage change in daily cases, with a 36.5  percent jump in recent days. Of the top 10 countries in total cases, that is the  biggest spike by a significant margin, compared with drops in cases in Brazil,  Spain, Italy, Germany and Iran and growths of under 5 percent in Russia, India  and Peru. A June 9 Federal Emergency Management Agency document shows the same spike in  cases. The rolling average of deaths in the U.S., per the FEMA document, is  starting to trend up over 1,000 per day."

This is serious, folks, and as Maddow took pains to point out the 36% -plus increase was in THREE days.  That is a freaking disaster no matter which way you cut it and all the WSJ editorial efforts at happy talk and spin  (including misusing statistics) are going to fail.  At least for those who've retained some gray matter during this pandemic and Trump's insane response to it.  As Maddow put it:

"If' you've got the largest epidemic on Earth, and two million cases and 110,000 people dead  and twenty -one states where cases are rising - and your case numbers are rising 36 percent in three days when you're already this bad, if that's your economy, that's your market  that is your politics, then that is a national disaster. And it's not a national disaster we've been through and we're trying to get out of,, it's a national disaster right now."


Laurie Garrett also noted the insanity in the fact a number of states have never been in total lockdown yet now are planing to go into Phase III reopening,.   Case in point, Tex-ASS, now plans to go to a 75 % allowed capacity for in house dining in restaurants despite exponential increases in case numbers.

As she put it, using another less noted facet, commerce and travel between states:

"Reopening across state lines? This is just irrational.  Here in New York you're going to hear a hue and cry from people who've sacrificed so much being in lockdown for weeks  and and now what? Travelers are going to come in from Florida where those restrictions have all been lifted?  And they reintroduce Covid?   You see here is where the insanity is, we don't have a national strategy.  So what you're go to see is more animosity between states, more and more tension within states - between counties that have low levels and those with skyrocketing levels  So the kind of solidarity that's essential to conquering  disease is evaporating before our eyes.

Garrett then noted how -  during the Swine flu pandemic - (by contrast with today), the CDC was "fully in charge" doing at least one press briefing per day - and without any presidential  interference, spin, gaslighting and pill pushing.   So back then we knew what supplies everyone needed, but 'we don't have any of that now."

What we do have is lots of lying and misrepresentation by the Rightist op-ed and FOX news zombies that all is A-ok and the left and media are just inflating the stats. In the words of the already cited  WSJ editorial (ibid.)

"Liberals and the media demanded more testing before states could reopen, yet now are criticizing states because more testing has revealed more cases"

But they have it ass- backwards. What we said was the extent and aggression of reopening must be contingent on the test results.    IF  then more testing reveals more cases you have to apply more controls, more brakes, more precautionary measures to continue to open.   You cannot just rush pell mell into reopening any way you want, devil take the hindmost. Hell, those states with spiking numbers aren't even initiating enough contact tracing.  As Maddow put it, "hoping for things to get better is not a plan."  

To which Ms. Garrett added,  referencing the response to the H1N1 pandemic in 2009:  "The level of engagement was enormous" in contrast to now, where the head of the CDC - Redfield - has become another Trump lapdog.   The result of the Obama plan and CDC was that "there was a consistent policy across all states and the territories".  But what has Trump done? He's turned even the sane act of wearing a mask into a culture war - where his zombies instantly lose it when they see anyone walking while masked - taking them for a socialist, leftist Antifa thug or god forbid, Democrat.

As Dr. David Agus explained yesterday morning:

"People who go out in crowds should all wear a mask. They need to block the spread of droplets from one person to another We have a new way of life these next months until a vaccine comes. We need to behave differently Wearing a mask is different, it's not in our DNA to focus on others but we need to."


Indeed, this attention to mask  -wearing,  as Dr. Ashish Jha explained on 'All In' Thursday night, is one way to open up in a judicious - as opposed to reckless- manner-  and  hence to ensure a downturn in infections as opposed to the spikes we're seeing.   It then becomes a practical alternative to extended lockdown, and a means to reopen the economy while still maintaining protections, precautions - in addition to social distancing and hand washing. 

The problem is that Trump and the Right have incited their zombies into treating masks as political expressions and a part of identity politics. So all who wear them are "commies", "Nazis" or "leftist thugs", opposed to "our" liberty as "sovereign citizens".  So the red state Trumpers refuse to comply with this simple precaution, taking it as a sign of being a "slave" or submission.  Hence, even in their states where the case incidence is trending exponential they happily help the virus to spread further.  The political backlash is so virulent now that we behold medical doctors like Dr. Nicole Quick being forced to resign in Orange County, CA after being called a Nazi and receiving a death threat over an order to wear masks.  This, despite the fact that mask wearing is the key to staying safe in any large reopening. Oh, and definitely preferable to continuing in lockdown mode!

 Last night on 'All In' Chris Hayes played clips of these fake liberty besotted nitwits decrying local health officials.  I could scarcely believe my eyes and ears and Janice was apoplectic - ready to hurl a shoe at the TV.   In the case of an Orange County council meet one heard the following  eruptions from the assorted aggrieved nincompoops:

"I've been discriminated against five times in the last three days, unable to go into businesses without a mask!"

"I'm being told by these Nazis to breathe in CO2 when God...gave me the ability to extract that from my body! So now you want me to put it back into my body!"

"By continuing to keep people in masks without any legitimate cause you are kneeling on the necks of the people! You are continuing to act in a thuggish manner!"

"I mean like it's over! Are we still talking about this?"

To which Chris Hayes responded:  "Yeah, we're still talking about this. People are still dying from it. But that's the view of the White House and these people imbibe it."

Hayes then referenced how this idiocy is happening in Ohio too, in similar venues  - despite the fact the state has been a leader in containing the virus.  But now the Trumpian peanut gallery is getting restless and has taken to sounding off and complaining,  even leading to the resignation of Dr. Amy Acton who had advised Gov. Mike Dewine on the need for an early lockdown, Now the state's Reeptards and their minions are depicting her as the bad guy- even carrying guns and signs with anti-Semitic messages outside her home.   As Chris Hayes noted,  after playing the clip:  "Dr. Amy Acton has guided Ohio through this pandemic and now has become the target of reactionary idiots."

 This is what a good segment of the nation has descended to:  degraded, regressed, non-toilet trained infants with serious mental issues.  Look, if a second wave arrives (see: 'Get Ready for the Second Wave',  WSJ today, p A13)  and another lockdown has to be imposed, you can thank imbeciles such as the ones blowing brain farts out of their asses and forcing medical experts in the different states to resign or go into hiding.    

As for Bill Maher's continued harping about "eating better"  as the key to avoiding the virus ("It only takes 4 to 6 weeks to get healthier!")  that is airy fairy opining which will not help  us with the population we have here and now. (Only 12 percent metabolically healthy according to his latest nutrition guru guest doc.)  Here's more concrete advice  and one thousand times more practical: wear a damned mask when you go out and deliver the middle finger to any toads who object. Oh, and be sure to social distance!   (My technique when I go into an establishment with a mask on and after a jaundiced look from non-mask wearers,  is to commence my deepest, most spasmodic coughing - in response to which the Trumpies move away, slinking like shamed dogs.  My unspoken message? "Hey, I am protecting you idiots!")

 Against all this misfiring and deranged politicization in countering the pandemic we behold a cratering economy which is on the cusp of a full fledged depression, yet few seem to notice.  If the core of a depression is collapsing economic output the writing is already on the wall.  Commerce Dept data show ((WSJ today, p,A1, 'Global Economy Faces Steep Climb To Recover')  Americans saved $6.15 trillion of income (much of it coming from the gov't in the CARES act) in April, but that savings rate increase of 33 % cratered consumption(which props up  70 % of GDP)  and sent the economy into a tailspin --as Laurie Garrett described.  To avoid a depression (a recession has already been evident since February) means much more money must be infused to increase demand, e.g. for goods and services.  Americans, unless they see the government come through, will simply close their wallets to  further spending  so they can hold out against the  debt headwinds.  Which  penny pinching will spell disaster.  The Dems have offered $3 trillion in the HEROES act but the GOP is saying "No way!"

I mean, another 1.5 million (from the Friday unemployment report) are now seeking government support and yet most programs are set to terminate next month. For example, a moratorium on evictions will expire on July 23rd, and the unemployment bonus $$ that has propped up so many millions and helped the economy will follow on July 31st.  Is anyone besides the House Democrats doing anything to help? Nope.  McConnell and the pukes are still sitting on the House bill, convinced they can just wait it out and soon everyone will be back at work so...no problemo.  "We don't need to shovel any more government dollars at the needy millions".  

Well, guess not, so long as you're prepared to face a depression level economic contraction as Laurie Garrett pointed out with 5.2 percent of the world's wealth sucked out. She pointed also to a World Bank estimate of - 8.5 %  in U.S. economic activity, compared to  +1 % at the end of the great recession;  The former is a depression warning, make no mistake.
  See Also:

Hospitalizations climb, cases spike in Arkansas, Texas, Oklahoma, N.C.

And:


by Steven Harper | June 13, 2020 - 6:57am | permalink


Excerpt:

Medical professionals agree unanimously that wearing a mask in public prevents the spread of COVID-19. In violation of the Centers for Disease Prevention and Control guidelines, Trump refuses to wear one.


Trump says that it’s because he is tested for COVID-19 regularly and so are those around him. That doesn’t explain why he mocks former Vice President Joe Biden for wearing one. Even apart from the FDA’s warning that the tests may return false negative results, ordinary Americans don’t have the luxury of weekly tests with immediate results.



Tuesday, June 9, 2020

Can We Help Bill Maher Increase His COVID IQ?



Have  the last remaining sane and rational neurons ensconced in Bill Maher's 3 pounds of gray matter finally been eviscerated?  This is the question one must ask after watching yet another round of his lockdown criticism and deliberate diminution of Covid 19 on his last Real Time episode,  June 5th).   In the latest iteration questioning the severity by comparing the coronavirus to yearly deaths from medical errors (100,000) and the Hong Kong flu of 1968 (100,000) he faced only mild pushback from guest Michael Steele - former RNC chair - and now MSNBC commentator.

I had the Hong Kong flu - desperately ill for a good 3 weeks in December of '68- but I would argue it's nothing like the worst cases of Covid, where intubation is often the key to survival for the very ill. Also, it leaves those intubated patients with major cognitive and other deficiencies (see WaPo link at bottom of this post).  In other words, the respiratory difficulties I faced with the Hong Kong flu were nothing compared to what moderate and severe Covid patients experience.  But Maher in his several episodes denying or diminishing the impact of Covid 19 has yet to process any of this. Invariably choosing to diminish its effects by invoking sketchy relative to 'x' "arguments".

Though Hong Kong flu had a comparable  R0  (est. 1.o6- 2.06 for first wave)  the data remain  elusive and most of the transmissibility aspects have been derived from the 2nd wave.   All I can say here is that as I recall, ICUs were not flooded by patients as they have been with Covid. Even now as I write this warnings from state medical authorities have gone out in Arizona, as well as Mississippi and 19 other states,  that  ICUs are close to being overrun and patients may have to be redirected to other facilities.

Regarding medical errors being compared to Covid 19, that's a gross false analogy.  The reason is that as deadly as medical errors are they are distributed over lengthy time and don't occur in massive waves which demand extraordinary medical resources - like N95 masks, ventilators, face shields, protective gowns and other ppe.

On the blurring of lockdown vs. non-lockdown stats (i.e. infection rates, fatalities) Maher succumbs to a favorite trope of contrarians, i.e. that the data indicates none of the lockdowns have worked. However, this is a misguided statistical comparison, often like literally comparing apples to oranges. Take the matter of timing. We have the data - incontrovertible - showing that those that acted earlier (like South Korea) were more successful in containing the epidemic. In S. Korea's case a draconian lockdown wasn't needed because it had developed a suitable infrastructure for testing, contact tracing in combination with suitable quarantine. Meanwhile, the U.S. with Trump loafed for two weeks, messed up on the use of tests and tracing - so was more or less forced into the "bludgeon" response of total lockdown.

The case of Sweden is also invoked  - usually by the Rightists to push for premature U.S.  reopening - but we now know Sweden has the highest fatality rate of the Nordic nations as well as northern  European nations. Besides,  the experiment is still not over. What will a 2nd wave do? What manner of havoc will it wreak?  Will deaths double, triple?   We don't know but may find out in 2-3 months, and by then the praise of Sweden by the 'Murican Right may not be so loud and goofy.

Sadly, given all the above - using the fallacy of composition, multiple false analogies, non sequiturs galore,  Maher seems to be going along the same backward IQ arc as the FOXites and WSJ anti-lockdown toads  like Holman Jenkins Jr.  Like Jenkins Jr. Maher, to support his specious contentions, has either cited or actually had quacks on his show to prop him up.  (It's a wonder, given his aversion to vaccines, he hasn't had a prominent anti-vaxxer on yet).

Maher's  main quack of choice thus far has been David Katz, featured on Real Time about 6 weeks ago. .  Katz bloviated for 10-15 minutes along similar lines to Dr. John  Ioannidis of Stanford, and mostly just reinforcing Maher's  Covid  "meh" confirmation bias. That is,  that this virus isn't much worse than flu and certainly that a lockdown  is an overreaction.   Oh yeah, and if people just stopped eating so many cheese burgers all would be okay, their immune systems would kick in. 

All Maher succeeded in doing is reveal "even more dangerous quackery" -  his own - in hyping Katz. This from a guy (supposedly high IQ) but still leery of vaccines, e.g.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/bill-maher-believes-people-should-want-to-get-coronavirus

As noted from the above link:

On Friday night, instead of opting for a despicably racist rant against China over the novel coronavirus or blaming the media, Bill Maher welcomed Dr. David Katz, a doctor and ex-instructor at the Yale School of Medicine, onto his show Real Time.

Dr. Katz, who consistently flaunts his Yale ties despite the fact that they were severed in 2016, has become something of a right-wing darling after penning a controversial New York Times op-ed on March 20 titled “Is Our Fight Against Coronavirus Worse Than the Disease?” In it, Katz argues against the self-isolation policies put in place by most of the U.S., instead saying the country should isolate the elderly and infirm, which would thus “allow most of society to return to life as usual and perhaps prevent vast segments of the economy from collapsing. Healthy children could return to school and healthy adults go back to their jobs. Theaters and restaurants could reopen, though we might be wise to avoid very large social gatherings like stadium sporting events and concerts.”

Following his op-ed, Katz has made appearances on Fox News touting his hole-filled theory, thereby co-signing a network that’s called the pandemic a “hoax”; repeatedly downplayed it; and spent hours and hours pushing hydroxychloroquine as a miracle cure, even though it’s been determined by most of the medical community to do way more harm than good following a series of poisonings and deaths. On top of that, a convincing refutation of Katz’s ill-advised piece was published in The New York Times from those currently at the Yale School of Public Health that read, in part: '
it is not yet known who all of the most vulnerable people are. We believe that  it is easier, quicker and more efficient to reduce transmission over all than to permit high levels of transmission in the community but somehow keep it from afflicting susceptible people in our highly networked world.'

Despite all this, there was Katz on Maher’s HBO show regurgitating the arguments he made in his ridiculed Times piece—which he wrote when we were at 200 deaths nationwide; we’re now at 52,400 deaths and climbing with strict shutdowns and social distancing in place. "

To Katz’s argument that everyone should want to get infected with COVID-19, Maher actually  replied, “Yeah, I think you make a lot of sense there. And I think it’s a shame—you talk about politicization, that people like you who sound reasonable, maybe it’s not the exact one true opinion you hear somewhere else, has to go on Fox News.”     Seriously, Bill?  Hey, he had to go on FOX News because that is the domain for pushing hoaxes, hoax "cures" (like hydroxychloroquine), oh and quacks like David Katz.


 Another aspect of Katz and why he bears distrust and scrutiny: He was rightly pilloried by skeptics back in 2008 for propounding the concept of  "fluidity of evidence".  In fact there is no such thing. Evidence either exists in an objective form or it does not, there is no 'fluidity' about it.   As noted from Science Blogs (June 18, 2008)

"No, he is not happy at all. Specifically, he is not happy with the skeptical blogosphere. He apparently feels that we nasty, close-minded skeptics have been so very unfair in our discussions of him. Specifically, he is not happy how several of us have called him to task for his remarks at the 1st Annual Integrative Medicine Scientific Symposium held in April at Yale University. In particular, what stood out (and provoked the sarcasm and contempt of several bloggers devoted to discussing scientific medicine and going after quackery) was Dr. Katz's fanatastically Orwellian advocating for a more "fluid concept of evidence" in evaluating so-called "complementary and alternative medicine" (CAM) or "integrative" medicine. His remarks were lambasted in particular by Professor David Colquhoun (who characterized his remarks as "not science" and "not even common sense"), 



Incredibly,  Katz also claimed  on that Real Time segment that it’s “the liberal ideology that seems to be so resistant to talking about unemployment and the economy,” when amid the COVID-19 crisis, the progressive left wing of the Democratic Party—Bernie Sanders, AOC and the like—have been fighting hard for workers and arguing for rent cancellation as well as giving $2,000 a month to each household during the shutdown.  Maher's response? A bot -like nod of the head, no challenge, no criticism - despite having interviewed Sen. Sanders only a few weeks earlier (April 3rd Real Time) and being told first hand the mission. 

All of which explains why Janice is no longer able to watch Maher, as he  has allowed an original welcome independence of thought to descend into a form of stupidity in the name of misplaced political incorrectness. 


No doubt there still might be some small probability of getting Bill Maher to rise from the "moron" level of Covid -19 intelligence levels. (Janice suggests "imbecile" level.)  but I would not hold my breath waiting for him to demonstrate it anytime soon. 


 In the meantime, I suggest Bill read the WaPo piece showing that shutdown orders prevented about 60 million novel coronavirus infections in the United States and 285 million in China.  This according to a research study published Monday that examined how stay-at-home orders and other restrictions limited the spread of the contagion.

See Also:


Hugo Sosa survived the ICU. But for many like him, that’s just the start of recovery

Monday, April 27, 2020

WHO Are These Anti-Lockdown Medical Quacks That Keep Doing Dotard's Work For Him?


Health worker blocks Trumpie wackjobs over the weekend in Denver. One WSJ op-ed twit claimed the protester "risked contamination" of the ER - not realizing he was wearing a costume designed for the purpose of protest.


The chaotic, reckless, and  incompetent American response to the coronavirus pandemic, especially in a politically polarized and dysfunctional landscape, has spawned a formidable propaganda push.  On some days I swear the intensity is nearly as much as that mounted against serious, anti-Warren Commission JFK assassination researchers - like the late Mark Lane, Peter Dale Scott and  James Di Eugenio.   But we should not be  surprised at the level of propaganda - or that some scientists have been recruited to abet it - much like climate denier scientists willing to be paid whores for the fossil fuel industry.  This is the nation we inhabit, riven by a "partisan" pandemic - so you need to take care where you get your information.

As with any serious propaganda effort, if it is to gain "clickbait" in the competing media environment, there must be willing shills and quacks ready to sell out.  The sellout depends upon their spewing enough balderdash and bollocks to confuse the casual reader and make their arguments/ complaints seem plausible.  In this case, the arguments and complaints are against the medical specialist majority who point out that in the absence of a vaccine - or effective treatment- the only weapon left in the quiver is the social lockdown.  As prime evidence these genuine experts have  cited the example of the Spanish flu pandemic in 1918.  Specifically, how those communities that opened up for business too soon saw inundated  hospitals, morgues, funeral homes and even ordinary homes (where residents had to store the corpses in closets and basements ).  As noted in The Colorado Springs Gazette yesterday, p. 1A:

"In the fall of 1918, the number of cases finally appeared to be leveling off in Denver. Business owners pressured government officials to let them open back up, according to a history by Stephen Leonard, a professor at Metropolitan State University of Denver. 

Theater owners marched on the mayor’s office complaining that restrictions were costing them $50,000 per week. The mayor relented. On Nov. 11, Denver residents flooded back into the streets to celebrate the end of World War I. It turns out, they were playing Russian roulette with the virus. Two weeks later, the city recorded 605 cases of Spanish flu and 22 deaths on a single day. Stay-at-home orders and other restrictions went back in place and the economy stalled anew."

Do the quacks that are trotted out now for positive spin get any of that?  Have they seen the 21 pages of obituaries  (with photos)- all Covid patients- such as recently appeared in The Boston Globe?  I doubt it. Else they'd not make stupid comparisons to "seasonal flu" or try to suggest "data" that indicates the severity isn't much worse than that.  I already cited one quack,  Joseph A. Ladapo (of UCLA),  who claimed in a recent op-ed that "the shutdowns if prolonged will only make matters worse."      Adding that even when restrictions are lifted "we will emerge right back where we started.... and no matter what our hospitals will still be overwhelmed."

 In  response to Ladapo's  loose nonsense I noted his obsession with the fatality rate -which, yeah, can be reasonably debated given our too low testing - but must not be conflated with the potential of this virus to overrun medical resources.  (Especially in the wake of the most recent finding of "silent hypoxia" seeded by the virus).  I use the same argument against the more recent anti-lockdown shills, including Dr. John Ioannidis  (WSJ, op. cit. p. A13, 'The Bearer of Good Coronavirus News') and  Dr. David Katz who appeared on Real Time Friday night - mostly as Bill Maher's  politically incorrect pet.

In the case of Ioannidis, we read (ibid.) - according to his WSJ PR - propaganda shill  Allysia Ginley (author of the piece):

"He's published more than 1,000 papers yet he's now found himself pilloried because he dissents from theories behind the lockdowns - because he's looked at the data and found good news." 

What's this 'good news'?   Well, in a March article published in Stat News he's argued that Covid-19 is "far less deadly than modelers were assuming" - with a likely fatality rate "comparable to that of seasonal flu."    The study on which the piece was based used data from some 3,300 people in San Jose, CA, to do an antibody test analysis.  The finding was that the actually number of infected people was 50-85x greater than actually found with the antigen tests (which most people are seeking and for which there exists a dearth of reagents, swabs etc.) Anyway Ioannidis & Co. thereby concluded that because the number of infected was so much greater then the actual fatality rate had to be vastly lower - from 0.12 % to 0.20 %, or about the same as a bad seasonal flu.

That's pretty cool considering that - as critics have pointed out - the study was "not random in selection"  and "disproportionately weighted toward white women under 64".  Jeezus Peace! He leaves out the demographics most susceptible to the virus (African Americans and the elderly) then has the nerve to trot out this B.S.  that the fatality rate is comparable to seasonal flu?   I call quackery! Indeed, given newly released data in a separate antibody study (using professional statistical standards) discloses the Covid-19 virus is "far more lethal" than flu, it pretty well proves Ioannidis is a quack.

We further learn he's  taken issue with the Imperial College study announced some 6 weeks ago., i.e.  "If data are limited or flawed their errors are being propagated through the model".

That's pretty choice - leveling charges on "flaws and data errors" when his own study is rife with selection bias. It did try to correct  for the selection bias  by "weighting the results according to sex, bias and ZIP code",   but everyone who's done serious statistical research knows that sort of ex post facto tweaking is mostly B.S.  In an analogous sense, I pointed out the multiple selection biases introduced in relation to the research of  an astrophysics quack,  Jason Lisle.  This character (who also believes in a "young Sun")   attempted to substitute 'local correlation tracking' (LCT)  for a failure to resolve granules in his work and thereby obtain accurate data  e..g.

Why Jason Lisle is wrong in his Solar Super-granul...

Meanwhile,  unlike Lisle, this guy Ioannidis has earned much of his status and renown doing "meta - analyses", i.e. analyzing the foibles, flaws in others' research.  Maybe it's time to reintroduce  Ioannidis to the old saw "Physician, heal thyself".  Or in this case, medical researcher learn from your own critiques!

Back to the WSJ  PR puff piece, we further see Ioannides  unloading on the pro-lockdown medical specialists, i.e.:  "There's just some sort of mob mentality operating here that just insists this has to be the end of the world, that the sky is falling".  Here, I had to again call "Q-U-A-C-K"  and would have even if he had published 1 million papers .  Too harsh?   Not at all! Ioannidis'  bollocks about the "sky is falling" sealed it for me that he's either a  witting (or unwitting) Trump tool or willing quack.  Because none of the medical specialists and epidemiologists who've advised that the lockdown is our only weapon, including: Drs. Anhony Fauci, Harvard's  Ashish Jha   and Penn State's Zeke Emanuel, have said "it's the end of the world" or the "sky is falling".  They have said that no social distancing or lockdown  risks the inundation of the medical care and health system, the realistic nightmare scenario.  Especially in an environment in which the number of respirators, N95 masks and general PPE are so critically low - thanks to the incompetent and criminal Trump bunch - so that front line ER and ICU docs, nurses are having to re-use masks week after week.  

Another dumb remark of Ioannidis was:"We have some evidence that negative news is more attractive than positive news, gets more clicks."  Which makes me wonder which parallel world he inhabits.  Because at least on Brane Space, whenever I've posted anything on the pandemic the reads are 40- 50 percent fewer than other topics, including for the mathematical and physics diversions. Go figure!  There is also something to be said - as NY Times' Jennifer Senior points out ('In Praise of Pessimism'), for being a "defensive pessimist" in a time like we're in.   As she writes:

"What, you may ask, are defensive pessimists? They are people who lean way into their anxiety, rather than repress it or narcotize it or allow it to petrify them into stone. Because if things start going downhill, defensive pessimists will be the ones with their feet already on the brakes."


I've also found defensive pessimists  - among whom are most of my friends, acquaintances- are more able to separate noise from signal in our saturated media realm. They are also more likely to spot BS from a mile away, and avoid being snookered like too many in the population.  They also tend to have more active agency and critical thinking skills.  So, yeah, they are drawn to more "negative" accounts because they suspect (rightly) they are more likely invested with reality, as opposed to Pollyannish propaganda like Ioannidis tries to foist on us.


 Further research discloses that Stanford harbors a nest of these quacks (not surprising given it's the site of the Hoover Institution) who are carrying water for FOX, and "making Trump's talking points for him."  In fact, all the work of these ideologically contaminated bozos needs to be ignored, like Jason Lisle's bunkum in pseudo-astrophysics. In line with my objections (above)  Marm Kilpatrick, an infectious disease researcher at the University of California Santa Cruz has noted in respect of the antibody-based Stanford study. “The authors have made no efforts to deal with clearly known biases and whole study design is problematic.”  Other critics have contended the Stanford  (antibody) analysis is troubled because it draws sweeping conclusions based on statistically rare events, and is rife with sampling and statistical imperfections.

Perhaps  it ought not surprise anyone that two other Stanford quacks (Eran Bendavid,  Jay Bhattacharya) had earlier received prominence in another WSJ op ed  ('Is COVID-19 As Deadly As They Say', p. A16, March 25).  Indeed,  the  pair's nonsense was widely circulated on pro-Trump websites,   and you got the same screwball analysis as Ioannidis. They wrote, “A universal quarantine may not be worth the costs it imposes on the economy, community and individual mental and physical health. We should undertake immediate steps to evaluate the empirical basis of the current lockdowns.”

The Imperial College  report, was released  by an epidemic modeling group at Imperial College London..  The bottom line conclusion from one of its lead authors - Neil Ferguson - was that: the potential health impacts were comparable to the devastating 1918 influenza outbreak.  Also, and this is the kicker, would “kind of overwhelm health system capacity in any developed country, including the United States unless measures to reduce the spread of the virus were taken."

 That is the core  aspect for lockdowns, not the death or fatality rate per se, which none of these goofballs gets. One indeed wonders if any of these "rebels"  has seen the evening news coverage showing the interior of ERs with a shortage of ventilators, and the dead bodies having to be put into refrigeration trucks for storage. This was revealed via a jarring video released 2 weeks earlier showing the inside of an overwhelmed ER at Elmhurst hospital in Queens.  This was compliments of Dr. Colleen Smith - who became a COVID-19 victim herself- probably from not having adequate protective equipment.

 Yet another medical quack not yet discussed is David Katz, who appeared on Bill Maher's isolated setting version of Real Time in a one on one.  Katz bloviated for 10-15 minutes along similar lines to Ioannidis, and mostly just reinforcing Maher's confirmation bias. That is,  that this virus isn't much worse than flu and certainly that a lockdown  is an overreaction.   

All Maher succeeded in doing is reveal "even more dangerous quackery" -  his own - in hyping Katz. This from a guy (supposedly high IQ) but still leery of vaccines, e.g.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/bill-maher-believes-people-should-want-to-get-coronavirus

As noted from the above link:

On Friday night, instead of opting for a despicably racist rant against China over the novel coronavirus or blaming the media, Bill Maher welcomed Dr. David Katz, a doctor and ex-instructor at the Yale School of Medicine, onto his show Real Time.

Dr. Katz, who consistently flaunts his Yale ties despite the fact that they were severed in 2016, has become something of a right-wing darling after penning a controversial New York Times op-ed on March 20 titled “Is Our Fight Against Coronavirus Worse Than the Disease?” In it, Katz argues against the self-isolation policies put in place by most of the U.S., instead saying the country should isolate the elderly and infirm, which would thus “allow most of society to return to life as usual and perhaps prevent vast segments of the economy from collapsing. Healthy children could return to school and healthy adults go back to their jobs. Theaters and restaurants could reopen, though we might be wise to avoid very large social gatherings like stadium sporting events and concerts.”

Following his op-ed, Katz has made appearances on Fox News touting his hole-filled theory, thereby co-signing a network that’s called the pandemic a “hoax”; repeatedly downplayed it; and spent hours and hours pushing hydroxychloroquine as a miracle cure, even though it’s been determined by most of the medical community to do way more harm than good following a series of poisonings and deaths. On top of that, a convincing refutation of Katz’s ill-advised piece was published in The New York Times from those currently at the Yale School of Public Health that read, in part: '
it is not yet known who all of the most vulnerable people are. We believe that  it is easier, quicker and more efficient to reduce transmission over all than to permit high levels of transmission in the community but somehow keep it from afflicting susceptible people in our highly networked world.'

Despite all this, there was Katz on Maher’s HBO show regurgitating the arguments he made in his ridiculed Times piece—which he wrote when we were at 200 deaths nationwide; we’re now at 52,400 deaths and climbing with strict shutdowns and social distancing in place. "

To Katz’s argument that everyone should want to get infected with COVID-19, Maher actually  replied, “Yeah, I think you make a lot of sense there. And I think it’s a shame—you talk about politicization, that people like you who sound reasonable, maybe it’s not the exact one true opinion you hear somewhere else, has to go on Fox News.”     Seriously, Bill?  He has to go on FOX News because that is the place for pushing hoaxes, hoax "cures" (like hydroxychloroquine) and quacks like Katz.

 Another aspect of Katz I learned: He was rightly pilloried by skeptics back in 2008 for propounding the concept of  "fluidity of evidence".  In fact there is no such thing. Evidence either exists in an objective form or it does not, there is no 'fluidity' about it.   As noted from Science Blogs (June 18, 2008)

"No, he is not happy at all. Specifically, he is not happy with the skeptical blogosphere. He apparently feels that we nasty, close-minded skeptics have been so very unfair in our discussions of him. Specifically, he is not happy how several of us have called him to task for his remarks at the 1st Annual Integrative Medicine Scientific Symposium held in April at Yale University. In particular, what stood out (and provoked the sarcasm and contempt of several bloggers devoted to discussing scientific medicine and going after quackery) was Dr. Katz's fanatastically Orwellian advocating for a more "fluid concept of evidence" in evaluating so-called "complementary and alternative medicine" (CAM) or "integrative" medicine. His remarks were lambasted in particular by Professor David Colquhoun (who characterized his remarks as "not science" and "not even common sense"), 

Incredibly,  Katz also claimed  on Real Time that it’s “the liberal ideology that seems to be so resistant to talking about unemployment and the economy,” when amid the COVID-19 crisis, the progressive left wing of the Democratic Party—Bernie Sanders, AOC and the like—have been fighting hard for workers and arguing for rent cancellation as well as giving $2,000 a month to each household during the shutdown.  Maher's response? A bot -like nod of the head, no challenge, no criticism - despite having interviewed Sen. Sanders only a few weeks earlier (April 3rd Real Time) and being told first hand the mission. 

All of which explains why Janice is no longer able to watch Maher, as he  has allowed an original welcome independence of thought to descend into a form of stupidity in the name of misplaced political incorrectness.   The reason Katz is not on stations other than FOX is that he is a transparent quack, a useful idiot for the lowbrows and spin masters that infest Trump TV - and useful for the Trump bunch to exploit. 

Sadly, Maher seems to be going along this same arc as the useful (to Trump, FOX) medical quacks.  No doubt Ioannidis isn't appearing on sober  and serious cable sources for the same reason. Why have that Trump tool babbling his bullshit  on All In or Maddow  when you can have Harvard's Prof. Ashish Jha  relating sound data and research instead?   

People need to be aware of these aspects when they choose their sources of information, media. Don't get suckered into the Trumpian bullshit orbit!

See Also:




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