Friday, October 9, 2026

Kelvin Wave Combined With "Super" El Niño Portends Most Turbulent Climate Humans Have Ever Endured In 2027

 

The lead headline  in Wednesday  morning's LA Times grabbed attention as the usually mild (in October) city faced a high of 104 F :

Kelvin wave hitting Southern California: What to expect as El Niño threatens the coast again

A powerful El Niño is already battering California’s coastline. Now a massive underwater wave is arriving in Southern California, raising sea levels and potentially amplifying the damage from storms, high tides and erosion.

By now, after multiple Pacific hurricanes and the U.S. West roasting in abnormally high temperatures the past 10 days (both Denver and Colo. Springs breaking records), most of us have been aware heat building up. This can be traced to Kelvin waves. Coastal and equatorial Kelvin waves are massive, slow-moving subsurface ocean pulses that act as a primary physical driver of El Niño and regional weather change. Unlike surface waves at the beach, Kelvin waves do not break or curl. They are vast, underwater bulges—often thousands of miles wide, extending about 200 meters deep, and moving eastward at roughly 6 miles per hour (150 miles per day).

Most warm-water (downwelling) Kelvin waves depress the ocean's thermocline (the boundary between warm surface water and deep cold water) as they travel. Cold-water (upwelling) phases can also occur under opposing wind conditions.

Equatorial Kelvin waves transfer massive amounts of subsurface heat from the western to the eastern Pacific, serving as a foundational mechanism that builds and sustains an El Niño event.  Thus, the heat wave that recently  affected California and the West can be traced to these waves - as well as  El Niño.

 There are also adverse environmental effects. Kelvin waves push cold water deeper and warm the upper ocean layer. This suppresses the upwelling of cold, nutrient-dense water, starving phytoplankton and rippling disruptions up through fish, seabird, and marine mammal populations.

Their presence  near the surface of the tropical Pacific eventually makes the entire planet warmer. The trend takes a while to materialize, but recent El Niños have led to annual global heat records in the year after they form. To that end, scientists broadly expect 2027 to be a veritable record breaker:  the hottest year humans have ever experienced.   This is given that El Niños have much stronger impacts on climate hazards and extreme worldwide. Look for example at the summer European heat waves, e.g.

Brane Space: Scorching European Heat Wave Shocks American Tourists & Bears Out Forecast Of A Climate Tipping Point


El Niño then is the most violent manifestation of climate variability worldwide, with ranging from local fisheries collapse to widespread coral reef dieoffs, to severe droughts and food shortages around the world. It is useful then to see how El Niños form, as shown in these diagrams.



The bad news is that 
El Niño continues to ramp up which will cause havoc and climate catastrophe into 2027. The phenomenon's strength is determined by measuring water temperature in the central Pacific around the equator and comparing a three-month average to normal. If its 0.5 C (0.9 F) warmer than normal it becomes an El Niño.  The peak of the scale is 2.0 C (3.6F) and is labeled 'very strong'.  The most recent weekly El Niño figure has registered 3.4C  (6.0 F) above normal and is classed as a "super" or historic El Niño event exceeding all previous records.  This will mark the strongest event humans have ever endured and we had better be prepared. This super  El Niño  is expected to completely reshape the 2026–2027 winter pattern by energizing a highly active southern jet stream. Because this event is pacing toward historic levels, meteorologists expect its typical climate impacts (in the U.S.) to include:

- Torrential Rain: California faces a dramatically elevated risk for a barrage of moisture-heavy atmospheric rivers starting heavily in December.

- Flooding & Landslides: Saturated soils from consecutive storms raise serious concerns for coastal erosion, landslides, and flash flooding, particularly across Central and Southern California.

- Deep Mountain Snow: Exceptional moisture is expected to bury upper mountain areas (above 7,000–8,000 feet) in feet of snow, heavily benefiting ski resorts like Mammoth Mountain. However, warmer temperatures mean resort base levels may see rain instead of snow.

- Delayed Winter in Midwest: A robust northern jet stream will keep Arctic air bottled up in Canada. This will bring widespread, above-average temperatures across the northern tier of the U.S.

- Less Lake-Effect Snow: Due to the lack of early-winter Arctic outbreaks, the Great Lakes will remain largely unfrozen, but the temperature contrast needed to trigger heavy lake-effect snow will be mostly absent.

-Active Storm Track: The southern third of the country—from Texas through the Gulf Coast and into the Southeast—will experience a much cooler and stormier winter than normal. While the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic are overall expected to see below-average seasonal snow totals, super El Niños historically increase the risk of massive, singular Nor'easters. If the active southern storm track collides with a temporary blast of cold northern air in late January or February, major East Coast cities could still get slammed by a historic snowstorm.

Lastly, I should also note this warming is happening in an ocean that has been heating up for decades as it absorbs heat trapped by greenhouse gas emissions from human activity. The effects are not constrained to the Pacific.  For example,  what's being reflected by the dying coral reefs in the Caribbean and elsewhere:


 is not a change in El Niño but decades of warming from greenhouse gases - the ocean itself absorbing much of the heat as well as CO2 leading to its increased acidity, e.g.

Brane Space: Physics Today Report Indicates Ocean Acidification Increasing

Even in the last month the daily global average sea surface temperature reached 21.1 degrees Celsius (70 degrees Fahrenheit), according to Europe’s Copernicus Climate Change Service, breaking the previous record set in March 2024. It really should not surprise anyone we have clearly passed major climate tipping points and the coming effects are sure to make them even worse.

All climate scientists - not poseurs like Bjorn Lomborg -  agree that climate change is a serious problem with or without El Niño worsening.

Thursday, October 8, 2026

Got Our Mail Ballots And Now Ready To Vote For Education, Healthcare Increases - Against The Dark Money Provocateurs

 


The Colorado mail ballots arrived in our mailbox Tuesday, and after reading through the Voter's Guide booklet we've begun filling out our choices.  Most of which are relatively easy 'no-brainers' (given the 'D' beside the name.) The Amendments are a bit more problematic because so many were backed by dark money and are framed as propaganda - to snare the unwary voter's support.

Case in point Amendment 81. If enshrined in the state constitution it would require Colorado law enforcement to notify U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement about people charged with crimes who they know are in the country illegally  - or whose legal status they can't determine within 72 hours of charges being filed.

Thanks to the work by Indivisible i.e.

I-COS Voting Recommendation Guide

we've learned this amendment is backed by 'Advance Colorado' - a dark money outfit that does not reveal its donors. Doesn't matter because we got the inside scoop: this is given it would include defendants previously convicted of felonies and those whose immigration status couldn't be confirmed.  BUT being charged with a crime is not the same as being convicted of one.  Given it tasks law enforcement with investigating immigration status it could easily result in racial profiling.

The Colorado Rights Commission opposes it and that is good enough for us.  This is given it tries to make Colorado law enforcement an arm of the federal government. The other Advance Colorado Amendments tagged include: 82, 83, 84, 85 and 86.  

We have also been advised by Indivisible to use 24-hr. drop boxes (which begin opening on Oct. 12) as opposed to mailing ballots via the Postal service. Just a precaution given all the tumult Trump has caused and likely not the end by any means.   (Please see 3rd link below, 'Trump Building An Election Trap and Millions May Not See It Until It's Too Late')

Colorado voters have also been notified the state offers same day voting registration at voting centers before polls close on Election Day, Nov. 3rd.

All citizens need to have all their 'ducks in a row' given how critical this midterm election is.  That is, finally after two years restoring checks and balances on the renegade Trump White House and on the Felon-in-chief himself, who's literally gone off the rails.  This election is a biggie given it will determine control of congress - Senate as well as the House.  Both of Colorado House seats are being contested and it is fervently hoped Dems can win them - as well as State house seats.  We need the biggest majority we can get, especially in the  U.S. House, responsible for holding elected officials to account via subpoena power.

The only non-dark money backed amendments are the ones we are voting for: 87 and NN. Amendment 87 will allow state taxes to be increased $2.7 billion annually to "increase or improve the level of public services including K-12 public school education, health care and early child care." 

As one Denver Post letter writer put it, describing the benefits of 87: 

"I have seen what happens when schools are asked to do too much with too little. Educators stretch themselves thinner, students lose opportunities and communities are left trying to fill the gaps. Our children deserve better than another year of making do. Amendment 87 gives Colorado a fairer way forward. 

It replaces our flat (TABOR) income tax with graduated rates, lowering income taxes for most taxpayers while asking those with the highest taxable incomes to contribute more. Children need excellent schools, access to care and a strong start in life. I am proudly voting yes on Amendment 87."

The writer covered the basis superbly. As for Amendment NN, it enables investment in K-12 education "to increase two percent each year for the next ten years, with investments used to increase teacher pay and improve teacher retention."

Again, a worthwhile amendment, providing potential for a constructive state future as opposed to a destructive one - advocated by the dark money amendments.  We hope a majority of other voters are on the same wavelength for voting as we are - and are also following the Indivisible 'cheat sheet' exposing the dark money inputs.

Beyond the state issues, we're now ready to catapult key Dems in House positions to finally neutralize the useless, sycophantic GOP majority - which has acquired its fame by doing nothing. It's time now for voters in every state to return the U.S. back to Constitutional priorities - as opposed to those of one loudmouth, deranged egomaniac.



See also:

by Sarah K. Burris | October 7, 2026 - 5:17am | permalink

— from Alternet

Tuesday marks 28 days until the Nov. 3 election, and Democrats are preparing for a "doomsday scenario," CNN reports.

It's not unheard of for the Democratic Party or presidential campaigns to assemble an army of lawyers ready to file lawsuits or go to judges at a moment's notice. This year, however, something else is brewing, and it's much bigger.

Senior CNN reporter Annie Grayer told Manu Raju that for months Democrats have been working behind the scenes to play out possible scenarios that would have been unheard of even six years ago "because Democrats do not want to leave anything up to chance here."

"Minority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) has been convening groups of senators, lawyers, outside experts to do the sort of role-playing scenarios where they're given very specific scenarios to talk through how they would handle potential intervention from the [Donald] Trump administration, what that intervention could look like."

» article continues...

And:

by Sarah K. Burris | October 10, 2026 - 5:04am | permalink

— from Alternet

Historian Timothy D. Snyder knows what is likely coming on the evening of Nov. 3 and it's allegations that the election was “rigged.” He wants Americans ready and prepared to respond quickly, if not before he makes the claim.

Speaking to former GOP strategist Steve Schmitt, Snyder said he doesn't want to think of it as first you vote and second you act.

"The other part is being prepared to win," he said, "because I agree with you completely in your forecast. I think this is going to be overwhelming. I think it's going to be bigger than people think basically. And I think, if anything, the Democrats are scared to imagine how big their victory is going to be because if it's big they're going to have to take responsibility for stuff. So, part of it is not just voting and being like, 'oh, what is Trump going to do?' But think, you know what? The people I'm voting for are going to win. And I'm willing to take action along those lines, which means telling people how I voted, telling people what I expected, doing your own media work."

» article continues...

And:


by Thom Hartmann | October 10, 2026 - 4:50am | permalink

— from The Hartmann Report

Something stinks.

Astoria is one of my favorites on the Oregon coast, a small town of around 9,000 people with great restaurants and crafts shops. Two of them, a coffee shop and ceramics studio, are owned by a small businessperson, Audrey Long, who’s mailed herself five postcards since August to test the mail. The results have been grim, particularly since Oregon is a 100% vote-by-mail state.

So far, only two of the postcards have arrived, and the first one took more than a month (and Oregon doesn’t even send out ballots until next Wednesday). Across the street from one of her shops the town’s City Hall isn’t getting its mail reliably, either, and the same is true for the tenants of a 40-unit apartment building next door, according to reporting by Oregon Public Broadcasting.

» article continues...

And:


And:

by Thom Hartmann | October 8, 2026 - 5:04am | permalink

— from The Hartmann Report

In a nationwide poll conducted a few weeks ago and reported on by Axios, the majority of all registered voters surveyed said the number one word to describe Donald Trump is “corrupt.” This represents a massive opportunity for Democrats both now and for the next two years.

And the experience of candidates in today’s Democrats’ position around the world validates the argument that this is the best way to both campaign and win elections and political power.

Péter Magyar defeated Viktor Orbán in the Hungarian elections because he ran a Navalny-style playbook, calling Orbán’s and his billionaire buddies’ capture of the media and most other aspects of Hungarian life a “state capture system” grounded in good old-fashioned “corruption.”

» article continues...

And:

by Joseph Gerson | October 7, 2026 - 4:35am | permalink

We are dealing with more than madness and corruption in Washington. Our multi-crisis is a manifestation of evil which permeates much of our society. Our certifiably insane would-be dictator, with his repeated threats to eliminate Iran’s people and civilization while tossing almost a million people off of healthcare are but a few of his regime’s crimes against humanity. All of these issues are interrelated, which is why our resistance must be multi-issue and multifaceted.

November’s elections will define our futures, and, as in the darkest days of Nazism and Jim Crow racism, if you are not part of the solution, you are part of the problem. So, defending our albeit flawed Constitution and elections, so that we can change policies and actions, must be our priority. We need a united and active front against the lawless would-be dictator and his minions.

» article continues...

And:

by Bill Blum | October 2, 2026 - 7:24am | permalink

— from Truthdig

Just when it seemed the Supreme Court might be prepared to stop Donald Trump from sabotaging the midterm elections, the six Republican justices who dominate the court handed the president a potentially far-reaching victory on Sept. 25 with another ruling on its emergency “shadow” docket. The ruling in Department of Homeland Security v. League of Women Voters permits the administration and Republican-led states to use a newly expanded federal database to review state voter lists, overturning a lower-court decision that had concluded the database could not be used for the midterms because it violates federal privacy laws and the Administrative Procedure Act.

The Systematic Alien Verification for Entitlements program was created in 1986 to allow federal, state and local government agencies to verify the citizenship and immigration status of noncitizens applying for public benefits, relying on records maintained by the Department of Homeland Security, the Department of Justice and the Department of State. However, in March 2025, Trump promulgated Executive Order 14248 (titled “Preserving and Protecting the Integrity of American Elections”), that revamped the program to permit state and local authorities to verify the citizenship status of registered voters so they could purge noncitizens from the rolls — a purpose the SAVE program was never intended to serve. The executive order also directed the Social Security Administration to make its records available to the DHS for that purpose. Two months later, the DHS, acting on its own, launched a modified SAVE program that allows state and local authorities to conduct unlimited bulk searches of multiple individuals at once.

» article continues...

And:

by Michael Waldman | October 2, 2026 - 6:55am | permalink

— from the Brennan Center for Justice

Will this be a “wave” election, sweeping new people into power? In some ways, it already is.

Due to retirements and primary defeats in safe districts, there will be 99 new members of Congress next year—and that’s before accounting for any seats that change party hands. A powerful anti-incumbent fervor pervades both parties.

Throughout history, there have been times when voters spoke loudly. The 1974 Watergate election, in which Democrats won 49 new seats. The 1994 “Republican Revolution” that made Newt Gingrich speaker after gaining 54 seats. The 2018 election, the first time voters rejected Donald Trump’s chaos. Polls do not suggest a swing of that magnitude. Democrats are lagging in popularity, even as voters recoil from Trump’s Republicans. But voter sentiment is not the only reason less may change than before.

» article continues...

And:

Brane Space: Mark Elias Was Correct: Supremes Don't Merit A "Gold Star" 

And:

Briefing_Memo_Debunking_Voter_Fraud_Myth.pdf



And: