Showing posts with label David Jessop. Show all posts
Showing posts with label David Jessop. Show all posts

Friday, March 1, 2019

New Polls Show Most 'Muricans Don't Want To Pay For A Decent Health Care System

Image result for mri machine
One of the hyper-expensive medical "toys" driving up health care costs - the 3T MRI machine

In his extensive Barbados Advocate column (April 30, 2017, p. 14, ''Addressing the loss of health care professionals') David Jessop shed light on exactly why medical costs are soaring in all the nations of the world. The prime contributing factors he listed as follows:

- A surge in the nature and volume of demand as populations age and birth rates continue to increase

-  The preceding occurring at the same time a desire for low taxes has made it difficult for governments to garner the necessary resources to respond to societal expectations

- Sustained loss of medical professionals causing shortages in many 3rd world nations, because they are picked off by nations such as the U.S.  - which itself is finding it can't cope with the expansion of medical services (e.g. via Medicaid in the ACA) combined with an M.D. shortage.

This combination in addition to overuse of medical resources by certain groups, has led to the condition in which much of the world is in a health care crisis.

The bottom line is this: It is futile to talk about "managing" health care costs when so little money is made available by many nations to support their current medical needs. In effect, medical care today  - from treating cancers to severe disability and chronic disease (e.g. kidney and liver disease) is bloody costly and intensive of medical resources by nature.  
This leads to a Hobson's choice for many governments: either raise taxes to support their local populations' access to medical care to the level needed, or cut access.


Meanwhile, on the home front, William Galston in a recent WSJ piece,  has argued that 'Medicare for all' is a "trap", e.g.

https://www.wsj.com › Opinion › Politics & Ideas


As Galston writes:

"The Medicare for All proposal that became popular with Democrats on the stump in 2018 risks pushing Democratic candidates into a trap in 2020. A political party is asking for trouble when it embraces a position on a high-profile issue that most Americans reject. But it’s not easy for a party to avoid this pitfall when a majority of its own members endorse such  a position.

A recent Politico/Morning Consult survey found that endorsing Medicare for All rather than improving the Affordable Care Act did more than any other issue to increase rank-and-file Democratic enthusiasm for a prospective nominee. Fully 57 percent of Democrats said they would be more likely to support such a candidate, compared to just 22 percent who said less likely, and 37 percent said that they would be “much more likely” to do so"

And then we get to the "bugbear" in the proposal (ibid.)

"According to the most recent Kaiser Family Foundation survey, 56 percent of Americans initially favor the idea of Medicare for All, in part because they believe that they would be able to keep their current insurance if they choose. But when they are told that versions of this proposal would eliminate private health insurance options, support dwindles to just 35 percent.

But here’s the dilemma for Democratic presidential candidates: even when voters who identify as Democrats are told about Medicare for All’s impact on private insurance, 57 percent continue to favor it. The same percentage still favor it after they are told that it would “require most Americans to pay more in taxes,” a consequence that only 35 percent of the electorate as a whole is willing to accept."

In other words, the polls militate against Dem success for attracting the larger electorate, which is essential to knocking out Drumpf.

Thus, though health care has long topped the electorate’s list of concerns, including in the 2018 midterms, surveys suggest that most Democrats want their party to focus on fixing the Affordable Care Act rather than on starting a long-shot bid for a single-payer health care system.  The tax depressive factor on the polling is particularly nettlesome and tells me too many Americans are still blinded by Neoliberal propaganda that private insurance or the Affordable Care Act tweaked is the best they can do.  But this is tantamount to batting on a losing wicket- because both systems merely increase the high cost of care while diminishing the benefits of getting it  over time.  Besides, no one in his or her right mind can tell me with a straight face that private insurers will taper off their premium hikes any time soon. Projections from the WSJ Business & Investing pieces consistently predict annual increases from 8- 12%.

Galston goes on:

In addition, several versions of Medicare expansion enjoy overwhelming support. 77 percent of Americans favor allowing people between the ages of 50 and 64 to buy health insurance through Medicare. 74 percent support a broader plan that could be called “Medicare Open to All,” which would enable everyone to buy into Medicare but would allow people to keep the coverage they have. 49 percent of Americans “strongly” back this approach, and by a margin of 10 percentage points, Democrats prefer it to Harris’s plan. 

So there’s a way for Democratic candidates to square the circle. First, support improvements in the ACA, such as protecting people with health insurance from high out-of-network medical bills without advance warning, along with restraints on prescription drug costs. Second, endorse Medicare Open to All. And third, during the candidate debates, unapologetically explain why you oppose forcing people to give up private insurance and pay higher taxes.

It is true that a single federal payer system — as such proposals envision — may well eliminate the waste, inefficiency and corruption that make the current system so expensive and inaccessible.  In such a system we'd more likely emulate the experience of countries like Canada and Britain that rely heavily on one government payer. But such a system would require dramatic changes from the status quo and would be a tough political sell in a nation conditioned to low taxation.

In order to try to scapegoat single payer systems we see repeated efforts by Neoliberal hacks,  like Scott W. Atlas, trying to paint it as snake oil, i.e.
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 Indeed, I skewered one of Atlas' Hoover Inst. WSJ op -eds back in November.

But like a 'whack-a-mole' they keep popping up and have to be smacked down again and again. So no surprise in his latest propaganda effort ('Single Payer's Misleading Statistics', WSJ December 18, p. A19) Atlas attempts a new tack. This time claiming infant mortality and life expectancy  - by which the U.S. standards are relatively low - are "not valid indicators of health care quality".

Says who? Oh yeah, the Neolibs and their poltroons and propagandists. Well, I'd like Atlas to run that by a poor mother - with four other mouths to feed- who is unable to care for herself with proper nutrition etc. and then miscarries. In 2015, there were 6.5 deaths out of every 1,000 children under 5 years old in the U.S. That puts us behind 35 European countries, including those with median incomes and overall standards of living far below our own, like Bosnia and Macedonia—two Balkan countries that are still recovering from long periods of political instability. Oh, and we’re behind Cuba too.

So  WHO is Atlas fooling?  Maybe himself and the dumbest of right -leaning readers of the WSJ.

 As for the life expectancy trope he peddles, he ignores the dramatic effects on health before people even become eligible for Medicare.  Although Americans are eligible for Medicare at 65, years of many being uninsured or underinsured prior to 65 take a toll on their collective health.

Atlas also argues that "the U.S. has a substantially higher obesity rate than any other nation - a problem - but not one of inferior medical care."

Again, seriously? But I can promise Atlas that if I (or wifey) didn't have a diligent, caring female doc that checked our eating habits, weight, exercise regimen every visit we'd both be in the obese category as opposed to having lost over 18 pounds each.

But aversion to higher taxes and loss of private insurance isn't all on Americans since we've learned Doctors, hospitals, drug companies and insurers are intent on strangling Medicare for all before it advances from an aspirational slogan to a legislative agenda item. 

As The NY Times (Feb. 23rd) points out the medical- PhrMA axis hired a top lieutenant in Hillary Clinton’s 2016 presidential campaign to spearhead the effort. And their tactics will show Democrats what they are up against as the party drifts leftward on health care.


They also demonstrate how entrenched the Democrats’ last big health care victory, the Affordable Care Act, has become in the nation’s health care system.

The lobbyists’ message is simple: The Affordable Care Act is working reasonably well and should be improved, not repealed by Republicans or replaced by Democrats with a big new public program. More than 155 million Americans have employer-sponsored health coverage. They like it, by and large, and should be allowed to keep it.  Never mind that over time employers have fobbed more and more costs onto workers, as well as company plans with ever higher deductibles.

Naturally  the private insurers are nervous given the Democrats’ proposals could radically change the way health care providers do business and could drastically shrink the role and the revenues of insurers, depending on how a single-payer system is devised.  To give an idea of the level of hysteria, the Times reports a coalition of these capitalist misfits: the Partnership for America’s Health Care Future, claims that 'Medicare for all' will require tax increases and give politicians and bureaucrats control of medical decisions now made by doctors and patients.

The tax increases ought not be a startling revelation, nor that we can't just tax the richest to get there. Middle class citizens will also have to bear higher taxes, but look at the payoff! A much superior health care system - analogous to Canada's  - and not having to face ever higher premiums, or becoming impoverished after a medical emergency.

We also know those railing loudest have used similar arguments that echo those made to stop Medicare in the 1960s,  Hillary Clinton’s health plan in 1993 and the Affordable Care Act a decade ago.  It's also clear to me the medical -industrial complex insurance axis sees no difference between the Medicare buy-in option and Medicare for all. Why would they? Both will pile on enormous extra costs and it's not even clear right now there will be enough providers.  The Medicare Buy in will be especially expensive if a lot of over 50s, or over 55s, enter with pre-existing conditions like cancer.

My Medicare costs between the first year eligible -  when I hit 65-  and was cancer free,  and the next when I was diagnosed with prostate cancer, probably spiked by over 150 percent.  Medical encounters that had previously been mainly for PSA tests, general checkups, lipid profiles etc. now expanded with needle biopsies, application of spinal anesthesia,   CT scans, HDR brachytherapy and other subsequent tests, biopsies.  It isn't inconceivable that many entering a Medicare Buy in system could 'break it' if they also enter with cancers, or were subsequently found to have them.

Should we just let all these folks croak? No, absolutely not. But they need to know a Medicare Buy in will be very costly and the tax system has to be adjusted to suit.   No longer can middle class folk expect tax cuts and government- provided health care benefits in whatever guise. Higher premiums alone will not cut the mustard.


The chief sponsor of the House buy-in bill,Representative Brian Higgins, Democrat of New York,  quoted in the Times has said: “The critics lump our bill with the bigger Medicare-for-all proposal. That’s strategic, and I think it’s deliberate.”

Well, it is deliberate, but for good reason.  What we need all the Dems who are championing these new Medicare programs to do is to come clean about the need for new, higher taxes. I suspect at least increased to the 35 % marginal rate. Oh, and no more tax cuts!

Rep. Higgins also said the option of Medicare at age 50 would create “a countervailing force to private insurance.”

Well, doh! Of course it would! Why would a 50-something stick with private insurance, even COBRA, if the Medicare Buy-in option means premiums 20- 30 percent lower, lower drug costs and no "pre-existing condition sword of Damocles" hanging over one's head?   But this is why Higgins must acknowledge the much higher costs of such a program even it it's not an all out Medicare for all.

Personally, I just don't believe the country is ready for Medicare for all (or a Medicare buy in) because  too many aren't ready to pay the higher tax rates needed to support it. (Probably increased to the 40 percent marginal level.)

Higgins goes on to state:

“Insurance companies are fighting it because they are afraid of the prospect of a potent new competitor that will cut into their profits. Medicare has lower administrative costs and lower executive salaries and could use its bargaining power to get better deals from hospitals and other health care providers.”

This is all true but these lower costs will still not make up for a much larger sick population, especially one featuring prostate, breast, throat, pancreatic, liver and other cancers - as well as chronic diseases such as Crohn's or diabetes.  (My three now deceased brothers' medical costs soared as their diabetic issues and complications worsened, including diabetic retinopathy for John.) 

Senator Debbie Stabenow, Democrat of Michigan and the sponsor of the buy-in bill in the Senate, said she was not surprised at the criticism. “It’s a knee-jerk reaction to anything that expands Medicare,” 

Again, true, but also understandable because too many Dem politicos have not leveled with their constituents about the real costs and how they must be paid for. Medicare is not a free lunch, whether for the buy -in or 'for all', nor can we believe taxing the wealthy alone can cover those higher costs.  It is time for all the Dem presidential candidates to cease pandering to voters with promises of tax cuts, and level at them the real cost of a more expansive (and generous)  medical system.  And also ask them directly whether they are ready to pay for it!


See also:


And:


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Monday, June 12, 2017

Why We Can't Afford "Medicare for All" - Megan McCardle Thinks She Has The Answers

Image result for mri machine
One of the hyper-expensive medical "toys" driving up health care costs - the 3T MRI machine. The costs of such machines, including proton beam therapy and cancer drugs are making access to medical care more and more prohibitive.

In his extensive Barbados Advocate column (April 30, p. 14, 'Addressing the loss of health care professionals') David Jessop shed light on exactly why medical costs are soaring in all the nations of the world. As he wrote:

"Around the world, public health care systems are in crisis. From India to Australia, nations in the developing and developed world are struggling to meet the expectations of their local populations."

What reasons does he give for this crisis? He lists the following as primary culprits:

- A surge in the nature and volume of demand as populations age and birth rates continue to increase

-  The preceding occurring at the same time a desire for low taxes has made it difficult for governments to garner the necessary resources to respond to societal expectations

- Sustained loss of medical professionals causing shortages in many 3rd world nations, because they are picked off by nations such as the U.S.  - which itself is finding it can't cope with the expansion of medical services (e.g. via Medicaid in the ACA) combined with an M.D. shortage.

This combination in addition to overuse of medical resources by certain groups, has led to the condition in which much of the world is in a health care crisis.

The bottom line is this: It is futile to talk about "managing" health care costs when so little money is made available by many nations to support their current medical needs. In effect, medical care today  - from treating cancers to severe disability and chronic disease (e.g. kidney and liver disease) is bloody costly and intensive of medical resources by nature.

This leads to a Hobson's choice for many governments: either raise taxes to support their local populations' access to medical care to the level needed, or cut access as the Republicans are now doing with their "American Health Care Act" that will effectively remove access for 20 million or more via Medicaid.

Aging populations in whatever country definitely carry major impacts on its health costs. According to a paper ( Death and Taxes: Why Longer Lives Cost  Money)  produced by the UK Institute of Economic Affairs:

"Long-term healthcare and nursing home costs are strongly associated with age and cannot be driven down by healthier lifestyles.."

To be specific, the incidence of both certain cancers (e.g. prostate) and Alzheimer's disease are  directly related to age, not necessarily "unhealthy" lifestyles. The risk of Alzheimer's alone doubles every year after the age of 65, no matter who you are, what your gender or income or life style choices. Ditto with prostate cancer which is becoming more and more expensive to treat as new, more refined treatment techniques come onstream, - such as focal therapies (e.g. focal cryotherapy) and proton beam therapy,

In the case of prostate cancer, which I've been battling for five years now, I've seen at every stage the cycle of treatments and tests and how they multiply costs. Even if you'd prefer to not add to the medical loss ratio (the ratio of unhealthy subscribers to the healthy ones that support them.) it's virtually impossible once you get that PSA test result - if much higher than normal - to avoid the first prostate biopsy.  That biopsy, if it shows one or more cores at the Gleason 7 score level or higher, sends you down the path of more tests, therapies, treatments. Unless you don't give a shit, in which case your primary doc may "fire" you for being a "non-compliant patient". She wants you to continue your life under her care (including specialist referrals)  without facing the worst consequences of a cancer that can kill (29,000 deaths in the U.S. each year).

In my case, the first biopsy proved positive with three cores then affected and I had to make the decision to get either the robotic (Da Vinci) surgery or radiation. I chose the latter, for which I received high dose brachytherapy treatment at UCSF and paid my bit at about $1,200 - because by then I had Medicare.  The total price for all aspects of the treatment, including  CT scan, spinal epidural, Ir 192 needles insertion,  and follow-up came to just over $55,000.

I thought that was the end of it but the cancer remained and PSA tests showed the need for more biopsies as well as MRI scans, and even a 3D staging biopsy which finally showed the cancer at least concentrated at one location in the interior, e.g.
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Total costs by now totaled over $85,000 including all the various tests such as CT scans, MRI scans, MRI fusion biopsy, Prolaris genetic test, and so on. 

SO given this it is easy for Bloomberg writer Megan McCardle to blab in her recent column about "adverse selection" say if Medicare was ever to expand into "Medicare for all".  McCardle's point is that such a program would ensure ever higher premiums year by year since the sickest people - or those who need expensive treatments and tests -  are the most likely to make use of it. Hence one gets what the insurance bunch calls "adverse selection"  Technically, the term is defined by insurance wonks as:

Adverse selection is a concept in economics, insurance, and risk management, which describes a situation where market participation is affected by asymmetric information. When buyers and sellers have different information, it is known as a state of asymmetric information

But I argue, as does David Jessop, that this kind of economic concept has no place in health care delivery because people are not cars, homes, or fancy jewels. Look, if populations are continually growing that logically  means sick conditions and diseases must grow with them-  whether cancers, Alzheimer's, kidney disease or whatever. Even the healthiest person following a rigorous diet  can get cancer or be injured in an auto accident. Hence, the notion of "asymmetric insurance" for a risk pool managed by a health insurer is ludicrous. There can be no such thing because one will know from the get go that every manner of sickness and disability can only expand, especially for older age groups.

The subtext for McCardle's arguments is the medical loss ratio suffered by putative health insurers, including exchanges -is too great. Hence, so many now abandoning the ACA as too "expensive" to support- so why even consider 'Medicare for all'?  In this regard, if the number  of sick patients in any risk pool is 'significant' - say more than about 1 in every 20-  the private insurers' profits take a nosedive. The medical loss ratio has increased beyond acceptable levels, so the shareholders will not like it.  This is precisely why health insurers - with the exception of Medicare - have become ,more leery of accepting too many oldsters or chronically sick patients. It means major loss of profits. Thus, the imperative becomes one to deny needed care rather than to provide it, especially for pre-existing conditions.

Some on the Right are so desperate to justify cuts to Medicare - as well as Medicaid -  that they argue (as one letter writer did in a recent WSJ contribution) that  pre-existing conditions must be factored in for insurance rates because if they are not known then it is a case of "asymmetric information", i.e. the patient knows he already has some type of cancer but not the insurance company or health exchange with which s/he seeks coverage. Hence, the demand to report all pre-existing conditions before being insured, the better to fix deductible and premiums ab initio - if at all.

To which I and Jessop respond: As a health insurer you're supposed to be in the business of helping people get appropriate treatments for their illnesses, not deny them.  Are you going to deny them the care and make them severely ill, or  go bankrupt, to appease insurance wonks? Or Republican tax cut fetishists?

But McCardle has even bigger budget "fish" to fry than adverse selection might interject. She writes:


"A far bigger problem is what this might do to hospital budgets. Why? Because Medicare doesn't  necessarily pay enough to keep those hospitals running."


She is correct that Medicare controls some of its costs by shifting them to private insurers (she calls it "off loading") which is why Medicare supplemental (e.g. Plan F) insurance exists to make up the difference, As she points out:

"The hospital's fixed costs are mostly getting covered by higher reimbursements from private payers."

Allowing this isn't "necessarily cheating". Well, that's very generous of her!  But her underlying theme is that in a Medicare for all scenario all who buy in would also have to get private insurance from someplace because the single payer (government) simply wouldn't be able to handle all the costs.

There are two aspects she overlooks that could lower costs for all, and make a Medicare for all system more palatable.

First, a large part of increased Medicare costs is due to a program called "Medicare Advantage" (MA) which was created by BushCO and the Republicans with their Medicare Modernization Act of 2003. It basically confected a privatized form of Medicare ("Part C"), with the express purpose of bleeding regular (traditional) Medicare into insolvency by blowing up to $20-25 billion or more a year (based on gamed "risk scores")  and funneling much of it from the older program. Unless this (MA) program is killed (the sooner the better),  no other cuts will matter - because MA will metastasize to the point every $ is swallowed up.. For those who wish to read the details on why MA is hurling Medicare into insolvency check out the content in these links:

https://www.publicintegrity.org/2014/06/04/14840/why-medicare-advantage-costs-taxpayers-billions-more-it-should


 And:  https://www.medicareresources.org/blog/2015/11/04/is-medicare-on-the-brink-of-insolvency/

Second,  Medicare monies are being bled down by drug costs to the tune of $250 b over ten years, because it isn't allowed to bargain for the best prices like the VA.

Even so, fixing the above distortions Medicare will simply be brought more into a financial equilibrium i.e. to avoid insolvency. It would not really enable a dramatic expansion to "Medicare for all".  For that to occur, wait for it, taxes would have to be increased and significantly as in western European nations such as Germany, France.

As Jessop concedes the choice is one between more taxes or less health care.  So if citizens think higher  taxes (by 25 % even for "middle classes")  are the worst thing in their lives, what could happen? Well,  what if they are laid up in a hospital bed with severe disability, pneumonia  or leukemia? Is going bankrupt more to their liking?  Again, for most Americans - who are tax hating Pollyannas-  they are convinced they're never going to get to that extreme fate so they make the bet those dire medical disasters won't happen to them.  But it's a terrible bet because they can happen to any of us! (As I found out when I learned I had prostate cancer that had to be treated.)

Make no mistake that 'Medicare for all'  would be the for profit medical  industry's biggest nightmare because they'd no longer be able to reap profits by invoking medical loss ratios - preventing sick people from getting care instead of delivering it. Hence, they and their  political lackeys and extremists will be prepared to fight like junkyard dogs to prevent it, including the perverse use of propaganda.

McCardle's final cautionary argument against a single payer system is that it would lead to drastic cost cutting, i.e."hospitals would probably have to resort to draconian measures  which might result in patient lives lost".   Perhaps. But the way to avoid such drastic cost cutting is to ensure enough taxes are available to pay for the care needed by the sick segment of a populace. After all, if everyone was a picture of health and had the genes never to fall ill, health insurance would barely be needed - unless a person crossed a road recklessly.

McCardle writes at the end of her piece:

"I'd want to be  a lot surer before I started running a mass experiment for our nation's physical and fiscal health"

But then she can afford to exercise patience, being a highly paid Bloomberg scribe. Many citizens, especially in Trump country - and now facing (in 18 OH counties, after the retreat of Anthem) no more naxalone for opioid overdoses cannot.  It's a matter of priority for getting scarce medical resources and paying for them!

In this regard, the citizen needs to inform himself as much as possible about what the real arguments are for and against 'Medicare for all'. And also ask himself if he is willing to pay significantly more in taxes to be assured of better access to health care.


Perhaps the issue is best summarized by WSJ letter writer Clay Creasey (June 6, p. A16):

"It is time for intelligent conservatives to realize that the vested interests of our current health care system (insurers, drug companies and lawyers) are selling us down the river. They claim single payer is socialism. In fact, it could be the single biggest contributor to economic growth  "