Friday, September 6, 2024

Newsflash, Media! It's Kamala Who Carries the Banner As The Only Pro-Democracy Candidate.

                                                            
                   This psycho needs to be in a straitjacket  in
              Bellevue, not anywhere near missile codes


 

In a recent LA Times piece ('Kamala Harris' Achilles Heel'), we learned Kamala Harris:

 "has had a strong start to her presidential campaign, but the remaining weeks leading up to the Nov. 5 election will be closely contested and Harris faces real obstacles. 

She must articulate her own positions to separate her candidacy from some of the less popular policies and outcomes seen during the Biden-Harris administration. And as she fills in the details, her plans will be picked apart, diminishing her chances to sway voters in the swing states that will decide the 2024 election."

WHY must she do all that?

Indeed, why does the LA Times' columnist believe that will "sway" swing state voters? Do they really care that much about policy? Indeed, they - along with the other political pundits (like David Brooks in the NY Times who reeled off 5 ways Kamala can "blow it" - no talk of Trump) need a clue. That is, there is a growing body of scholarship showing that people don’t tend to vote rationally (processing policies), but rather use voting to express themselves in emotional, ideological and moral ways.  Kamala has delivered this with her energy and enunciating her values - in contrast to Trump's criminal, treacherous and predatory values.

And recall here even when Kamala has delivered policies they have been quickly targeted by media know nothings who didn't even get them right in the first iteration. For example, the WSJ's top clown Holman Jenkins Jr. three weeks ago bawling about Harris being "avoidant" and not giving interviews or pressers. To show how pathetic this twit is, consider just his malarkey about "adopting Trump's plan to stop taxing tips."  

But he's too damned dense to grasp she didn't copy it.  Rather, she created her own REAL version to benefit working people, e.g. waitresses, busboys, casino assistants etc. Trump's version, as former Clinton Treasury Secretary Robert Reich pointed out,  would in reality benefit Hedge Fund operators, investment bankers and private equity honchos who'd use his version to justify "tips" for their assorted machinations, selloffs, buyouts, what not.

Then there was the WSJ facsimile of a pundit, Kim Strassel,  going nuts in a column (WSJ, ‘Choose Your Own Kamala’, p. A13, Aug. 17-18) because Kamala Harris refused to buttonhole herself in interviews, or pressers (“like Trump”).  As Kim belched in her most frustrated (hack) op-ed columnist voice: 

Are voters really being asked to elect a woman who in her third decade in the political arena has yet to decide about the most pressing policy questions of the day?

This shows poor Kim - like her fellow troll Jenkins Jr. -  hasn’t the foggiest notion of what drives modern American politics, at least its success stories. Clue one: it isn’t detailed policy elaborations, it's emotions. Feeling good about a candidate. After all, where did all the trotting out of  dozens of policy papers - a hallmark of Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign-  get her?  Well, nowhere because too many voters couldn’t connect.  Too abstract. Too cold blooded. All they got were drab lectures but no joy, no real hope vs Trump’s bombast and lies.

Meanwhile the LA Times writer-pundit was correct when writing:

 "On important policy areas, Kamala Harris has undergone an almost complete transformation, switching from unabashed progressive to careful centrist. Some voters will question the authenticity of her revised views. But for others, inconsistency won’t be the problem. "

Nor should it be when Trump hasn't delivered a single consistent, coherent policy, only unhinged rants and poppycock.  Even entertaining  (at one interview) voting against Florida's 6 week abortion ban, getting all the Fundies in an uproar - before dialing it gone. Oh and the WSJ Editors, e.g. "Trump is merely using this to try to blunt a GOP liability with women voters." 

Well, yeah, uh duh!

Then, we have the spectacle of Trump in a more sober moment offering to pay for IVF for affected couples and having to pull back on that when the WSJ and other conservatives railed against it as overspending "socialism".  WSJ editorial, 'Donald Trump's IVF Entitlement', p. A12, Aug.31- Sept. 1) writing:

"... a new federal fertility entitlement is a fiscal and cultural thicket Republicans don't want to enter....He didn't offer details but his announcement proves again that elections are dangerous for voters."

Well, yeah for voters dumb enough to believe the unhinged rants and flip flops of a consummate liar! Oh and a convicted felon who'll say anything to get back into power - but denies even Project 2025 - the only semi-coherent platform and agenda he has - but which is nutso fascist to the core.  See e.g.

Spreading the Truth About the 2024 Election (Video #1: Trump’s Project 2025)

No folks, you cannot make this shit up. You absolutely can't!

The Times pundit meanwhile waxes on:

"It’s the policies themselves — appealing at first but ineffective, challenging to implement or more progressive than most Americans are comfortable with. It’s policy, therefore, that could prove to be the Achilles' heel in Harris’ efforts to keep Trump from a second term."

To which I say, bull shit!  I refuse to believe that many millions of my fellow citizens would give license to govern to a rapist, traitor and 34- times convicted felon.  And let's be absolutely clear even when Kamala goes on record in an interview, as she sat down with CNN's Dana Bash a week ago, the media mavens still won't accept it. We saw that with the WSJ editorial (Kamala Harris Soars Above CNN) the next day, writing:

"Kamala Harris's campaign handlers were no doubt giving each other high- fives watching their candidate's interview on CNN.  The Vice President got away for the most part with repeating her campaign's platitudes about the "middle class" and was never seriously challenged on anything... That's a shame because the voters still haven't received a straight answer about whether and how she has changed her views from her positions espoused in 2019."  

Hey, what about Trump's changing his views? And moreover lying through his teeth about everything, including the latest that "her friends at ABC gave her the debate questions already."  I mean, Jeez, this fucker lies like he breathes and the delirious media spends as much time whining about Kamala not giving specific policy positions!  Which one is the greater threat, you imbecilic, nattering nabobs of negativity?

This is why harping about Kamala's previous positions, compared to her current ones, only gets a burp and a 'meh' from me. Not when the news pundits give Trump so much leeway to lie and twist his nonsense around to snare dummies - but the media treats him as a normal candidate. And as former Sen. Claire McKaskill stated a week ago (on Deadline Whitehouse) the media can't whine now about Harris's interview on CNN when Bash & Co. devised the 'softball' questions they asked, including refusing to ask Kamala if she believed a 34 -times convicted felon should even be in the race.

The LA Times columnist meanwhile gives his take:

"In her first extensive media interview since becoming the Democrats’ 2024 standard-bearer, Harris argued that voters should be comfortable with her reversals because her “values” have not changed. Maybe so, but voters will wonder what her values could cause her to do once elected."

No, they will not.  As I wrote previously (Aug. 30th post):

"it is indeed values which are the currency and oxygen behind policy.  Policy positions will always change in adapting to a world and society that evolves (or devolves) but it is the values which maintain the essential stability of policy – any policy. Whether that be on dealing with climate change, or illegal immigration, or inflation.  In any case all policies uttered by any candidate are only aspirations in the end. Most can't see the light of day unless passed by congress, and with the evenly split lot we have, that ain't happening soon. 

So obsessing over policies is basically a case of mental masturbation for the media and press."

Oh, and yapping over Harris's position changes from 2019 while giving Trump a pass on his lying and changed positions means the media is purblind and tone deaf about the extreme peril he poses to our system. And for that, they get nothing but verbal brickbats from me. Especially if they ignore Trump's demented ways or treat his pronouncements as normal.   The most recent claiming that his incoherent babble is actually meaningful and really a "weave'".  Which only a fellow psychotic would buy.

By comparison to the orange pestilence, Kamala has run a remarkably focused and disciplined campaign, that’s deliberately light on substance and high on feelings. And while she has not yet done news conferences or town halls which would detail her positions on specific issues, she has introduced herself to the American people in entirely human terms, presenting herself as a dynamic, warm, funny and optimistic person.   

This is what counts in determining the superior candidate. As opposed to a traitor who shouldn't be allowed to run at all under  Section 3 of the 14th amendment.  The provision - meant to keep those who sided with the Confederacy during the Civil War from serving in office  - specifically states:

“No person shall be a Senator or Representative in Congress, or elector of President and Vice-President, or hold any office, civil or military, under the United States, or under any State, who, having previously taken an oath, as a member of Congress, or as an officer of the United States, or as a member of any State legislature, or as an executive or judicial officer of any State, to support the Constitution of the United States, shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the same, or given aid or comfort to the enemies thereof."

The 6 conservo Supremes shot this down of course, given they're all in for the Traitor. Meaning they are traitors too. Especially after granting him immunity for all "official" acts. E.g.

Trumpers On Supreme Court Crown Trump As "King" In Wildly Reckless 'Premature Immunity' Ruling.

But Trump's malignant threats, lies, demented rants and cackles - as well as calls for retribution if he doesn't win-  also disqualifies him, apart from being a raving madman. I.e.

Yeppers, Trump Is As Crazy As A "Shit House Rat" 

  Until the media's focus changes and they process he is not a normal candidate they will be guilty of the same mental masturbation that originally brough forth an anomalous Trump win in 2016. But which should have less of a chance succeeding now given so many have seen how Trump "governs" - which is to say he doesn't. He only played golf at Mar-a-Lago:

Trump Vacay Tracker:Fifth Mar-A-Lago Getaway in 8 Weeks

&

 

And had love fests with dictators like Kim Jong Un and Putin. Oh and had his thugs put kids in cages while he let a pandemic get out of control and kill over a quarter million in 2020.  Did I get Trump amnesia? No I did not, and I hope to hell the millions of undecideds and in the swing states didn't either. 

Meanwhile, Lance Morrow in his WSJ piece today ('The Pros and Cons Of Trump and Harris', p. A15) makes it seem like deciding between the two is like a problem in differential geometry, writing this hare-brained twaddle:

"The undecided voter has sat for a long time now with a yellow legal pad in front of him toting up the positives and negatives trying to decide."  

Trying to decide? With an IQ of at least 100 this is a piece of cake, comparing the two:

Trump: 34 felony convictions

                1 rape charge

                 1 incitement to insurrection

                 2 impeachments

         ----------------------------

 =         38 major violations


Harris:  0 violations - criminal or otherwise, no impeachments

The choice ought to be as clear as knowing the difference between a bowl of orange shit and real pudding.  Or between a madman and a sane person. Like it or not, especially now with the endorsements of both Liz and Dick Cheney, Kamala Harris carries the banner for the only pro-democracy candidate.  If  one therefore doesn't vote for her- even in terms of leaving the president space blank or voting 3rd party- they are de facto enabling the rise of a criminal, fascist, wannabe dictator. There is no other choice, you are either pro-democracy or pro-Trump.


See Also:

by Robert Becker | September 10, 2024 - 5:51am | permalink

Doubling down on ignorant rants plus flip-flopping and old age has cut Trump’s appeal, shrinking his support and reducing his disruptive impacts.

Losing for Trump is undeniably different than for any other known politician – everything comes down to his ego, prison options, and financial self-interests. Rampant narcissism is like that. More voters are seeing through the transparent hustle to deflect criminal penalties, spurred of late by having a far younger, livelier and more moderate Democratic alternative. Though democracy-battering GOP types will again defy a losing outcome, odds of reversing whoever loses is no greater than the 2020 fiasco. Losing again, without White House insurrectionist clout, the Felon-in-chief is running out of escape hatches. Election fraud by a convicted felon (in or out of jail) tests any would-be genius.

Yet, we are wise to project how severe will be the consequences of Trump again getting his clock cleaned. After the immediate, gaseous bellowing, how many professionals on the right will be shaken that Trumpism won’t secure the White House, nor Congressional dominance? Three strikes against Trump, battered by one more popular vote loss, marks the final innings, if not also for Trumpist leverage. Gambling on a wing or prayer for salvation from a long-shot Electoral College split cannot sustain any national party.

» article continues...

And:

by Heather Digby Parton | September 7, 2024 - 6:47am | permalink

— from Salon

It seems like only yesterday that the elite media were extremely concerned that President Joe Biden had mistakenly referred to the president of Egypt as the president of Mexico. In the course of an otherwise cogent discussion of foreign affairs, he'd made that mistake in passing but it caused a huge uproar and spawned yet another round of critical reporting about his age and mental capacities. No one in the press blew off the gaffe and the substance of his comments went virtually unreported.

That press conference came in the shadow of the Hur report, in which the special counsel made a gratuitous comment about Biden being an elderly man with a bad memory. From that moment on almost every story about Joe Biden was framed in terms of his advanced age and the question of whether he was up to the job. The drumbeat continued for months until Biden's disastrous debate performance validated the narrative and it continued until the day he withdrew from the race. No one in the media cut Joe Biden any slack for his performance.

» article continues...


And:

by Rebecca Solnit | September 9, 2024 - 5:44am | permalink

— from The Guardian

The first thing to say about the hate and scorn currently directed at the mainstream US media is that they worked hard to earn it. They’ve done so by failing, repeatedly, determinedly, spectacularly to do their job, which is to maintain their independence, inform the electorate, and speak truth to power. While the left has long had reasons to dismiss centrist media, and the right has loathed it most when it did do its job well, the moderates who are furious at it now seem to be something new – and a host of former editors, media experts and independent journalists have been going after them hard this summer.

Longtime journalist James Fallows declares that three institutions – the Republican party, the supreme court, and the mainstream political press – “have catastrophically failed to ‘meet the moment’ under pressure of [the] Trump era”. Centrist political reformer and columnist Norm Ornstein states that these news institutions “have had no reflection, no willingness to think through how irresponsible and reckless so much of our mainstream press and so many of our journalists have been and continue to be”.

And:

Trump turns to outlandish promises to offset $7 trillion in tax cuts

And:

Wagner: Where is the avalanche of coverage of Trump's cognitive decline?

And:

by Heather Digby Parton | September 5, 2024 - 6:43am | permalink

— from Salon

One of the articles of faith about the 2020 election among the MAGA crowd is that Joe Biden couldn't possibly have won the election because he "campaigned from his basement" and never spoke before the big crowds, as Donald Trump did. Biden didn't campaign from his basement, of course, but he did run a very non-traditional campaign because the whole country was under a modified lockdown due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Large indoor gatherings that did take place, such as the one Trump held in Tulsa during that summer, were super-spreader events that ended up with many people getting sick and some dying. That fall, Donald Trump himself showed up at a presidential debate knowingly infected. He soon ended up in the hospital and came close to dying himself.

Unlike Trump, Biden followed the advice of the scientists and found ways to campaign without unnecessary exposure to the virus. Despite all that, Trump and the right-wing media insisted that Biden must have cheated because he didn't barnstorm all over the country.

So what are we to make of the fact that in this campaign Trump can barely rouse himself to leave his cushy surroundings at Mar-a-Lago and is more likely to be found on the golf course than giving a speech or holding a rally?

» article continues...

And:
by Robert Becker | September 5, 2024 - 5:41am | permalink

Note: see below if you missed this epic event on breakthrough “weave” advances.

A vampire felon needs no candor,
When virulent brews ooze rancor;
Nothing impedes his latest excess:
Rehashing bunk with comic BS.

No logic fits this fool’s rambling,
A brainiac’s imbecile sham-bling;
This fraudster plunges in, without peers,
Want blatant proof? Listen to your ears.

The jokester’s scam act is faking it,
A classic word salad counterfeit.
“I never ramble, I only ‘weave,’”
Thus doubling down ways to deceive.

» article continues...
And:

by Heather Digby Parton | August 31, 2024 - 6:11am | permalink

— from Salon

Ah, the lazy, crazy days of August during a presidential election year are upon us. That's traditionally when the political press decides that the Democratic candidate has not been accessible enough to them, so they spend weeks badgering them for interviews and demanding press conferences while insinuating that the candidate must be hiding something.

Recall the 2016 cycle when, during the month of August, the press had a collective tantrum because Hillary Clinton's staffers roped her off as she walked in a parade in order to keep reporters and photographers from turning the event into a paparazzi-style scrum. I wrote at the time:

Aaron Blake recounted the event in all its chilling detail and then rather sheepishly admitted that nobody in America really gives a damn about how Hillary Clinton treats the press. (A point I made a month ago.) After all, the press is held in only slightly higher esteem by the public than loan sharks and puppy mill operators. The thinly veiled threat underneath all this outrage is that the media will react to being treated badly by giving the candidate bad press, but it's pretty clear that train left the station a long time ago when it comes to Clinton, so the cost-benefit analysis probably doesn't argue in favor of the campaign giving a damn either.

» article continues...

And:

by Maya Boddie | August 30, 2024 - 6:16am | permalink

— from Alternet

Since Donald Trump's Monday visit to Arlington National Cemetery, several aspects of the former president's visit to the historic of over 400,000 of US service members have been widely condemned.

The Washington Post reported, "Pentagon officials were deeply concerned about the former president turning the visit into a campaign stop, but they also didn’t want to block him from coming, according to Defense Department officials and internal messages reviewed by The Washington Post."

In an op-ed published by MSNBC Thursday, former US Army officer Brandon Friedman submits that, "to combat veterans, Arlington National Cemetery has the same power that all holy places have. And that is why Donald Trump’s recent behavior is so repulsive."

And:

by Thom Hartmann | September 5, 2024 - 6:32am | permalink

— from The Hartmann Report

On his eponymous TV show, Joe Scarborough pointed out this week how angry and toxic Xitter has become recently. I’ve seen the same thing, as have many others; quitting Xitter has become a thing, largely as a result of the venomous culture that’s taken hold there.

This seems to be more closely connected to it being taken over by a morbidly rich South African immigrant who seems to delight in bullying his own child (and others) than to the political season; previous election cycles didn’t see similar reports of such widespread hostility and bullying behavior that was driving people to quit particular social media sites altogether.

That’s probably because one of the first rules of social organization is that culture flows from the top down.

When dad is violent, the family tends to be violent (or damaged by that violence). When corporate CEOs are bullies, middle management generally emulate that bullying style. When teachers or professors delight in picking on vulnerable students, the entire class often joins in.

» article continues...


Thursday, September 5, 2024

Rushing To Publish - Then Launching A Startup - Why The Cancer 'Blood Test' Never Materialized

 

                                     Bacterium found in digestive tract tumors


Plenty of excitement erupted 4 years ago when a gung-ho team of researchers made a  stunning microbiology claim.  The claim?  Cancers(most of them) have unique microbial signatures that can allow tumors to be diagnosed with a blood test.  Not long after a prestigious journal published the research and more than 600 papers cited the study. At least a dozen groups based new work on the study and the scientists behind the claim actually launched a Wall Street startup to capitalize on the findings.

Well, as fate would have it, those microbiologists were likely the victims of hubris.vIt reminded one of the infamous Elizabeth Holmes and Theranos  -her healthcare startup that claimed to revolutionize the blood-testing industry.  That was by asserting a blood test could be done via a simple drop retrived from a pin prick. As opposed to having to get your vein stuck by a phlebotomist to with draw cubic centimeters  each time.

In the current case, the cancer detected from a blood draw, the paper making the claim was retracted in June.  This followed steady criticisms from other scientists who questioned the methodology and said the findings were invalid.  What led to the canceling?

The original 2020 Nature paper (featuring lead author Rob Knight, regarded as a pioneer in microbial analysis) had reported that 32 different cancer - including prostate and skin melanoma - harbored unique combinations of microbes (see graphic) that could be interpreted as a 'fingerprint', i.e. for each type. Hence, a blood test could theoretically allow physicians to use specific microbes as proxies to identify the cancers.

Didn't work out that way. This despite more than 17,000 samples from 10,000 patients as reported in the Wall Street Journal (Aug. 31, p. 1A).  The Knight study, as reported by the WSJ, was "the first to survey cancers across the human body and showed that microbes existed in combinations that were unique to each type of tumor."  The result eventually was a startup called Micronoma, to which the FDA actually gave a "breakthrough designation to a Micronoma device to test for blood cancer."

That  put the device on an accelerated track for approval. The problem was, independent researchers had begun raising alarms.  For one, some microbes flagged as components of cancer signatures weren't know to exist in humans, prompting further scrutiny. This led Steven Salzberg ( a computational biologist)  and his team at Johns Hopkins to analyze a handful of the cancer types and microbes. Their analysis (published in October 2023 in the journal mBio) found that "the near -perfect association between microbes and cancer types ....is simply put, a fiction." (WSJ Ibid.)

Among the errors, the Rob Knight team (at UC San Deigo) had "incorrectly deployed a genomic tool built by Salzberg's lab to  match tumor data to microbial sequences."  As Salzberg informed the WSJ: "It wasn't a close call. This data is completely wrong."

Incredibly, Knight continues to defend his work, despite the criticisms and the fact that the retraction of the original Nature paper cited Salzberg's arguments and furthermore "all the paper's authors agreed to its retraction."  

The moral of the story? Be sure before claiming x data shows y effect, that the relationship is strong enough to base a paper - or a startup  - on.  Meanwhile, Knight insists his work remains essentially valid. He points to a paper he and his co-authors published in the journal Oncogene in February that "acknowledge the critique and presented a new analysis they said validates their central claim."

Well, we will see in the coming months the degree to which that holds true, and what  - if any- blowback surfaces.  Let us say the jury is still out  but it does look more like Salzberg and his group are correct than that the Knight team is.

See Also:

Physics Is A "Troubled Field"? Not As Much as Biomedical Research And Psychology 


Wednesday, September 4, 2024

Mensa Math Brain Teasers (Solution 2)

 In this  simple dice game, let p be the probability of winning on a single turn. 

Let q= 1- p be the probability of not winning.  Jeff wins with probability p on his first turn.  The probability that neither Jeff nor George win on their first turn is q2, in which case the game essentially starts over.  Therefore p Jeff , the probability that Jeff wins =  p + q2 Jeff .  

Further:

P Jeff   =  p/(1 -  q2) =  p/ {(1 + q) (1- q)} = p/ (1 + q)p = 1/ (1 + q)  

p =   1/6 (The probability of throwing a 7 with two fair dice)

Then:  q = 5/6

Jeff   =   1/ (1 + q)  =  1/ (1 + 5/6) =  1/ (11/6)  = 6/ 11  

Now, let G be the average length of the game.

Then G = 1 with probability p.

G = G + 1 with probability q.

G = 1 (1/6) + (G + 1) (5/6) =  (5/6) G + 1

Subtract (5/6) G from both sides:

(1/6) G =1  ® G =6

The average length of the game is 6 rolls of the dice.

Tuesday, September 3, 2024

Solar Orbiter Team's Data Accounts For How Slow Solar Wind Is Related To Coronal Holes

 

                                      (From Physics Today, Aug. 2024, p. 18)
                                                                       
                                    Sun from Solar Orbiter on March 25, 2022. 
                                        (Outer image - lt blue- shows solar corona)

The solar wind is a  1,610,000 km/h stream of charged particles constantly emitted by the Sun in all directions. However, solar wind dynamics are maddeningly complex as the original contributors to the Solar-Terrestrial Predictions Workshop held in Meudon, France (1986) learned.

For example, fast solar wind can attain speeds in excess of 500 km/s and emerges from coronal holes. These latter comprise dark holes visible in coronal imagery indicating where the Sun's magnetic field lines open up and extend into space thereby providing an escape channel for hot solar plasma. In the coronal image below these holes, as well as magnetic field arches, can clearly be seen:

This fast solar wind is differentiated from the much slower moving stream of solar wind that floods the solar system continuously, and defines the "slow solar wind". It defines what we call the heliosphere which is essentially the solar wind's" bubble of influence.

The latest research breakthrough has come thanks to the Solar Orbiter, a joint mission of NASA and the European Space Agency. For the past two years the craft has been in orbit around the Sun and actually getting close enough to study the solar wind in extraordinary detail. 

Enter Stephanie Yardley of Northumbria University and her UK colleagues who have used multiple Solar Orbiter instruments to explore the origins of the slow solar wind. As it was positioned about 0.5 AU from the Sun in March, 2022, the Orbiter took high resolution images of the Sun's active regions. More data was collected as the solar wind particles passed the spacecraft a few days later.  The team then used spectroscopic techniques to measure the composition of the wind, i.e. the iron-to-oxygen line ratio.  Some of the theory behind these spectroscopic methods was examined in previous posts, e.g.

Stellar Absorption and Emission Processes Revisited (2)

Fast solar wind has already been linked to coronal holes,  see e.g.

CH_HSS_KM_REDI2016-3.pdf (nasa.gov)

Yardley and her team, meanwhile, traced the slow solar wind to an active region complex consisting of two regions with both open and closed magnetic field lines.  This was adjacent to a coronal hole with many open magnetic lines. A graphic showing the difference between the two can be seen below:


 Clearly, the proximity between a coronal hole and an active region complex provides a favorable configuration for the solar wind to be expelled. Interestingly, this was proposed as early as June, 1984, in a paper presented at the then Baltimore meeting of the Solar  Physics Division of the American Astronomical Society  the first one I attended. (Using a Studentship award from the Division)

We already know that closed magnetic field loops in coronal regions have plasma flowing along them but nothing escapes because the loop closure topologically keeps the configuration stable. In order to enable plasma to escape from closed loops we need it to interact with adjacent open loops.  It is quite possible that in this process an exchange of magnetic helicity occurs facilitating the plasma release.  

    Coronal loop scenario for which helicity H(r,r’) may be exchanged.

The instruments on the Orbiter that measure solar wind plasma and magnetic fields were actually able to gather evidence showing that the interaction between the two loop types (in neighboring ARs) is what gives rise to the slow solar wind.  Yardley and her colleagues haven't factored in the transfer of magnetic helicity  between loops yet but in many ways that may be premature while data is still being collected from the Solar Orbiter.  

As reported in the latest (August) issue of Physics Today, Yardley's team is now working on a more complex analysis for subsequent Orbiter approaches to our nearest star.   This will also include incorporating data from other missions including the Parker Solar Probe, e.g.

Parker Solar Probe Provides Hitherto Unknown Insights Into The Corona 

Certainly future Orbiter observations and data will enhance our understanding of what causes solar wind variability, apart from the origins. In so doing it will certainly improve the quality of space weather forecasts.

See Also:

Nat. Astron., 2024, doi:10.1038/s41550-024-02278-9

And:

Mensa Math Brain Teasers- Solution (1)

 1) A straight wooden rod (think of it like a line segment) is cut at two arbitrary points to form three smaller pieces. What is the probability that these three pieces can form a triangle?

Solution:  

Let the length of the original rod = 1

Let x be the location of the first break for which :

0 <    x   <    1

Let y be the location of the second break such that:

<    y   <    1


But x      y  because there must be 3 pieces

If x < y  the length of the pieces are:

x,  y - x and 1 - y

If y < x the length of the pieces are: y, x - y and 1 - x

To be able to form a triangle any two pieces must be greater than or equal to the third

Thus:

x + (y - x) >   1 - y ®  y >  1  ®  2y >  1  y  >   ½

x +  (1 - y)  > y - x ®  2x + 1 >   2y ®   x + ½  >  y

And:

(y - x)  + (1 - y)   >    x  ®   1  >   2x ®   x    <   ½

All three conditions are satisfied in the R2 region of the graph  below:  


The probability of forming a triangle is the sum of the areas of the two regions, R1 and R2.

1/8 + 1/8 = 1/4