Friday, April 4, 2025

Are Trump Voters Ready To Admit 'Buyer's Remorse' After Worst Market Wipe Out Since March, 2020?

 

The Senile Psycho shows bogus executive order on tariffs  
 

"Never has so much ignorance risen so high and caused so very much avoidable, needless, and preemptive trouble on a worldwide scale. All in servitude to the insecure orange degenerate's beyond-gargantuan ego and his need to be the center of attention. As far as Trump is concerned, there's no such thing as bad publicity as long as he, his bizarre coif, and his citrus complexion get as much media run as possible."- WaPo comment

"Perhaps voters pulled the lever for Mr. Trump with warm memories of the good economic times. But the reality of his first term is that there was a lot more tariff talk than action. They were barely more than a bump in the road. This time, they’re a mountain. And so the impact will be more like a crash than last time’s comfortable jolt."- Prof. Justin Wolfers, NY Times, 'Your Life Will Never Be The Same After These Tariffs'

"These people, Trump MAGA voters, will have to be living on the street before they turn against Trump on the economy". -  Sarah Longwell, publisher of the conservative news and opinion website The Bulwark, on Deadline White House yesterday

"You know we talked a lot of Donald Trump's cabinet appointments when he came to power. He was intentionally picking incompetent people to prove a point. That point is the Republican party would never stand up to him and they'd grovel without any dignity first. This has now also manifested in his tariffs. It's not that he especially believes in tariffs because he doesn't believe in anything. He's doing this to show he can. He can impose any outrageous tariff on any ally and there's nothing they can do. He can cripple any U.S. business and there's nothing they can do. Unless they beg him, bow down to him and maybe then he will bestow his beneficence. 

So at the end of the day what we're going to see is what we see with everything else. Those that pay fealty to him will have exceptions granted. In the same way big law firms that pledge hundred-million-dollar legal services will be excused as no longer a threat. The same thing we saw with certain media executives. So that is what Trump is about. A dictator who uses false beneficence after his outrages to force people to ingratiate themselves to him. And I hope people have learned a lesson. That you get nothing for trying to appease or to make a deal with Donald Trump. Except you lose your dignity. - Mark Elias, on Deadline Whitehouse yesterday.


 The majority of confessed Trump voters (incomprehensible by itself, openly admitting stupidity) one beholds on TV, might be finally having a 'come to Jesus' moment after yesterday's stock wipeout. Because that is just the tip of an economic 'iceberg' that now portends their 401k's crater, along with prices of everything from groceries to electronics to cars going through the roof.

For those only half paying attention, the DOW dumped 1679 points as the S&P 500 fell 4.8% and the Nasdaq 6% in reaction to Trump’s Wednesday tariff announcement of the largest tariff increase in a century. The biggest market casualties were retailers and manufacturers such as Apple (-9.3%), Nike (-14.4%) and Gap (-20.3%). Oil prices, the U.S. dollar and the 10-year Treasury yield also fell, likely signaling slower growth expectations.

 As the WSJ lead editorial today ('Trump and his 'little' disturbance', p. A14) put it, taking the wannabe dictator to task:

"Markets around the world spent Thursday absorbing the historic magnitude of Mr. Trump’s tax on commerce. Evercore ISI estimates that Wednesday’s news will raise the U.S. effective tariff rate to 24%, and 27% if he goes ahead with the sectoral tariffs he promises on drugs, copper and more. That’s higher than after the Smoot-Hawley tariff of 1930.

Worse is the bizarre, slapdash way the White House calculated the tariff rates on individual countries. Everyone will pay 10%. Then the White House appears to have calculated each country’s additional tariff rate by dividing its trade deficit with the U.S. by its exports to the U.S. This rate was then cut in half for most countries, which Mr. Trump calls a “discount.” The discordant result is that U.S. adversaries like Iran (10%) and Venezuela (15%) will pay lower rates than friends in Europe (20%), Japan (24%) and Taiwan (32%)....

Trump's tariffs are the biggest policy shock to the world trading system since Richard Nixon blew up Bretton Woods in 1971. As with that decision, Mr. Trump is acting with little understanding about the damage his tariffs will cause. The “disturbance” might not be as little as he imagines."

 Adding:

"Trump claims his tariffs will unleash a flood of new investment in the U.S. Then why is the dollar falling in value (see nearby), recording its worst single-day loss in two years? Our guess is that investors are losing confidence in U.S. economic decisions....

The Trump tariffs ironically will punish companies that have moved manufacturing out of China to other countries in Southeast Asia, which his first Administration encouraged them to do. About half of Nike’s shoes are now made in Vietnam versus 18% in China."

But what we are seeing is the mind of a senile, semi-demented psychotic at work, not a highly functioning, capable leader.  This is a guy who has gone off the rails, but who much of the media treats as just a regular president who's become ten times more aggressive in his use of executive power. Really?  This fucker with his demented and lawless 140 executive orders has already crippled most of the agencies in the country, brought political and legal opposition (including the slow-moving judiciary) to its knees and now stands to blow up our own and the world's economy - one that had been referred to as "Goldilocks" under Biden. The WSJ even repeating it in today's lead (p.A1) piece: 

"Perhaps the most striking aspect of Trump's dramatic move to reposition the American economy is the timing. The economy he inherited was the envy of the world with growth of 2.8% and unemployment of 4.1%, better than almost every other major developed economy."

 The latest cover for The Economist says it all :


Along with its lead story:

The Economist
President Trump’s mindless tariffs will cause economic havoc

All this after much of the media, including WSJ, had been bragging how Trump might be able to build on Biden's record but more in favor of business.  But no more.

There is also another Constitutional travesty the WSJ editorial mentions, in respect of trying to justify his cockeyed tariffs by declaring a "national emergency" under the 1977 International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Noting "no previous President has used that law to impose tariffs."  You're goddamned right because no other President was fucking insane and on a one way power trip.  Think I am being hysterical or histrionic? Think again.  As the WSJ lead article ('Stocks Suffer Steepest Slide Since 2020', p. A1) observed:

"Trump took the selloff in stride. “I think it’s going very well,” Trump said in response to a question about his tariffs Thursday afternoon. “The markets are going to boom.” 

This is the giveaway clue to a madman, out of touch with reality, his own megalomania and the total damage he's inflicting. It is the sure sign of the need to invoke the 25th amendment to remove him before he leaves the nation - and the world- in ashes.  (We still don't know if anyone is keeping an eye on the  'football' with the nuclear codes. Or is even willing to check the orange dictator if he decides to try it out on "bad countries".) 

One thing we do know is when no adults are in proximity and minding the adult infant on a power trip, bad things can happen. Even more likely when the Reep party has converted itself into a personality cult on the level of Jim Jones' in Guyana - and we know what happened with that one:

-------

The details on Trump’s  tariffs:

All U.S. imports will be subject to a 10% tariff, effective April 5.

Trump will impose even higher rates on some nations that the White House considers bad actors on trade. For example, Japan faces a 24% duty and the European Union faces a 20% levy, effective April 9.

China will be hit with a new 34% tariff, adding to previous duties, like the 20% tariff Trump imposed over fentanyl. That means the base tariff rate on Chinese imports will be 54%, before adding pre-existing levies.

The tariffs are pegged to amounts Trump says other countries impose on the U.S. Here’s the math behind the levies.

Some global leaders are vowing to retaliate, while others are hopeful there is still time to strike a deal with the U.S.

Canada and Mexico are excluded from the reciprocal tariff regime. They are still subject to plans to impose 25% tariffs on most imports to the U.S., though the administration has given an exemption for autos and many other goods. Here’s a list of the products and countries exempt from the tariffs.

As Vox.com noted:

"Were America’s democracy functioning properly, Trump wouldn’t have the power to impose such broad tariffs unilaterally. Congress, not the presidency, has the constitutional authority to raise taxes — and tariffs are, of course, a tax on imports.

 Yet the basic design of the American system has broken down, allowing Trump to usurp far more authority than is healthy. In many policy areas, the presidency functions less like a democratic chief executive who operates under constraint and more like an elected dictatorship. 

And historically, dictatorships — elected or otherwise — suffer from a fatal flaw: they have no ability to stop the people at the top from acting on their policy whims and, in the process, producing national disasters. This tendency is why democracy tends to produce superior policy outcomes over the long run; why America, and not Nazi Germany or the Soviet Union, won the 20th century."

But in the short run over 100 million people were exterminated in those dictatorial nations before the "win". I want Trump's voters (especially the nominal ones who just pulled the lever because they believed Trump was a "businessman") to think about that and finally admit how derelict they were on Nov. 5th, allowing this pompous orange felonious pustule back into power. Oh, and now at last acknowledging their buyer's remorse.

See Also:

by Dean Baker | April 4, 2025 - 6:06am | permalink

— from Beat the Press

Suppose your doctor suddenly insisted that you needed to follow a strict diet and exercise regimen. He said he realized you had a serious problem when he divided your height by your birthday, and it came out way too high. You would probably decide that you need a new doctor.

This is basically the story of Donald Trump’s new round of import taxes (tariffs) on our trading partners. Trump somehow decided that trade was bankrupting the country, even though we were creating jobs rapidly, the economy was growing at a strong pace, and inflation was slowing to normal rates when he took office.

Trump’s response is to give the country the most massive tax increase in its history, possibly exceeding $1 trillion on an annual basis, which comes to $7,000 per household. And this tax hike will primarily hit moderate and middle-income families. Trump’s taxes go easy on the rich, who spend a smaller share of their income on imported goods.

» article continues...

And:

Markets plunge and economists warn of recession as Trump tariffs sink in

And:

by Heather Digby Parton | April 5, 2025 - 5:41am | permalink

— from Salon

Everyone knew that President Trump was going to pull the trigger on his big tariff policy on Wednesday, but he actually dropped a nuclear bomb. He put a 10% tariff on nearly every country in the world and added even more on a number of them based upon a goofy formula that reflected false assumptions at best or Trump's personal whims at worst. It sent shock waves across the globe, with the markets taking a massive tumble and economic forecasters scrambling to revise upwards their predictions for a recession. Let's just say it was not well received.

Everyone knew something was coming, but no one expected his plan to be so random and incoherent. The fact that it included tariffs on uninhabited islands and territories that are essentially U.S. military bases just proved that it was sloppily put together, likely by AI, and hadn't been vetted by anyone who knew what they were talking about. It is a radical reordering of the global trading system by a president who is clueless about how any of this works.

» article continues...

And:

Trump voters got exactly what they wanted — so why are people complaining? | Opinion

Excerpt:

Look at it this way.

Trump supporters are going to trust him no matter how incoherent, no matter how dumb. Indeed, the dumber and more incoherent, the more they trust. His choices trigger reactions, which in turn force his people to choose between trusting everyone who says tariffs are a tax, which they are in fact or trusting Trump, who says they’re a tax cut. 

And:

And:

Grocery Shoppers Will Feel the Tariffs First in Produce - The New York Times

And:

by Ailia Zehra | April 5, 2025 - 5:54am | permalink

— from Alternet

Global economic analyst Rana Foroohar said Friday the markets have never seen anything like the Trump administration's recent policy actions, warning of a "classic inflationary spiral" and a "disaster scenario."

"Trade war is overshadowing everything," she said during an appearance on CNN Friday morning. "The markets have never seen anything like the policy actions that we have just seen."

"We have a tumbling dollar. We have a tumbling market. At the same time, we could see a sharp uptick in inflation," Foroohar said.

Foroohar, who is an associated editor at the Financial Times, noted that people are going out and buying cars because they think the price will increase dramatically in the next few days, weeks, and months. "That's a classic inflationary spiral. Now, that would mean that even with a weakening economy, the Fed might have to raise rates that would just put things into a complete tailspin," she said.

» article continues...

And:

Trump just imposed the largest tax hike since 1942 without congressional approval

And:

Tariff shock pummeling your 401(k)? Here’s what to do.

And:

https://www.thebulwark.com/p/lamps-going-out-around-us-trump-markets-nato-american-decline?utm_campaign=post

And:

by Mitchell Zimmerman | April 5, 2025 - 5:30am | permalink

It’s the Donald Double Whammy.

Grocery price are not “coming down fast,” as U.S. President Donald Trump promised. And Trump’s tariffs are about to boost the price of everything we buy that’s imported—from cars to gasoline to clothing to shoes to computers, cellphones, toys and, yes, groceries, too. America imports one-fifth of our food from abroad, and tariffs will make fruits and vegetables more costly.

Two of the false promises Trump made during the election will be haunting us.

First, he pledged to fix inflation. The economy was issue number one for most voters, and Trump attributed his victory to Americans’ anger over food prices. He promised “inflation will vanish completely,” and vowed “prices will come down... and they’ll come down fast... with everything.”

» article continues...

And:

The curious countries put on (and left off) Trump’s tariff chart - The Washington Post

Thursday, April 3, 2025

How Negative Time Might Actually Exist: Results Of Two Radically Different Approaches

 The concept of antimatter being related to negative time, or time running backward, originates from Richard Feynman's interpretation of antimatter as matter traveling backwards in time, an idea that is mathematically equivalent to Dirac's theory

In a 1964 science fair project, I postulated a "dual" (matter-antimatter) universe equally divided between separate matter and anti-matter aggregates. While not knowing anything of Feynman's concept, I intuitively took the antimatter counterpart to our matter universe to be governed by negative time in terms of its particles and interactions. I explained it thus:

"The invariant space-time interval is inextricably associated with both matter and anti-matter. Thus, neither matter nor anti-matter can attain a state whereby it exists as an extended sequence of time loci when isolated from its respective region.  In effect,  time proceeds backwards in the anti-matter universe relative to ours, i.e.

Thus, we can never see anti-matter stars or galaxies in our universe, just as the anti-matter, negative curvature universe can never have matter stars or galaxies."

 In line with this I also posited that the differing universes had to assume different non-Euclidean shapes, with the matter universe Riemannian or spherical, and the anti-matter universe Lobachevskian or like a horse saddle shape. It was the differing times that dictated the geometry - the latter being a kind of inverse sphere  ("pseudo-sphere") to the spherical Riemannian matter universe. The proper terms for the respective spaces are: elliptic (for Riemannian or + curved), and hyperbolic (for Lobachevskian or (-)-curved.

If you look closely at the photo shown above, from a March 31, 1964 Miami Herald piece, you can see on the right the 2 universes integrated into a model-  with the negative time Lobachevskian embedded into the spherical Riemannian. A better view of the negative time geometry is shown below:


A more comprehensive analytic approach is possible, wherein I associated lines and points with a particular geometry and particle paths. A simplified form for this may be expressed using the matrix formulation in 4(a). 


Where the left side denotes a line [u1, u2, u3]. If one finds that the point specified by (x1, x2, x3)  is the same as for another point specified (y1,y2, y3) such that the matrix relation in 4(b) is true then we can say that the correlation constitutes a polarity. It is possible that a suitable choice of polarity can be found for any combination of points for a line [u1, u2, u3] such that: u1 = x1, u2 = x2 and u3 = cx3.  In this case, if c = +1 (positive time) the geometry is elliptic (e.g. Riemannian), and if c =-1  (negative time) it is hyperbolic.   

Fast forward to the present. We now have some preliminary indications that non-Euclidean geometries (or Feynman anti-matter models) are not necessary to arrive at negative time.  For example, when photons travel through media they don't simply move Straight ahead. Instead atoms within the materials absorb and re-emit these photons  with accompanying energy changes (i.e. atoms attaining a higher energy state before returning to their normal condition.  This is seen for example in the energy (spectral) transitions for the hydrogen atom:


Recently, a groundbreaking experiment challenged conventional wisdom by introducing the concept of "negative time." This idea arose from observations made during photon interactions within certain transparent materials. The study showed photons being absorbed and re-emitted in such short durations that researchers measured them as less than zero—hence "negative time."

The study, led by Professor Aephraim Steinberg at the University of Toronto, ignited considerable debate. Although the findings await peer review, Steinberg emphasizes their importance. He describes the work as essential to unraveling the strange behaviors within quantum systems, despite its controversial reception.

 Schematic of the experimental setup is shown below. Left  (a) is the Atomic level scheme. Right we see (b) Conceptual diagram of the experimental apparatus. Here a resonant pulsed beam (signal) and off-resonant continuous-wave beam (probe) counter-propagate through a cloud of cold 85Rb atoms, detected at opposite sides of the apparatus.


In traditional theories, photons have always been assumed to follow a straightforward timeline of absorption and re-emission. But Steinberg's team discovered these events could seemingly occur backward, disrupting established ideas about time in quantum mechanics.

Previously, scientists dismissed such strange timing as mere measurement errors. However, Steinberg and his colleagues have argued these results reflect genuine quantum phenomena. They suggest these odd timings arise naturally within the probabilistic world of quantum mechanics.

Steinberg's approach, as readers can see, is more prosaic compared to mine. Based on laboratory experiments using actual detectors and measuring devices, rather then deductions from the fundamental geometry of the universe. But both his and mine are similar in postulating the potential for time to run forwards or backwards:  mine based on the ground form geometry of whether the particle is in a positively or negatively curved universe (matter or antimatter) and Steinberg's in terms of whether short durations of absorption and re-emission constitute negative time.

See Also:

Time Loops Are "Real" - At Least In Some Theoretical Universes (And Maybe In Ours)





Wednesday, April 2, 2025

Solution To Basic Mensa Geometry Problem

 

First redraw the figure as shown above, such that radius DC is tangent to the smaller circle on the side opposite BC.  Here, note that MC is the axis of symmetry for the sector DBC.  Therefore, MC passes through the center O of the smaller circle.

Next draw line segment ON to create the right triangle ONC. By the Pythagorean theorem we can write:

ON 2   +   NC  = OC 2

Or:

2   +   (R - 8)  = (R - 7) 2

Here R is the radius of the circle quadrant.  Then:

49 +  R 2   - 16R  + 64  =  R 2  -14R  + 49

And:   - 16R + 64 = - 14R

2R = 64

R = 32 units




Tuesday, April 1, 2025

Run for A Third Term? Don't Fall For Dotard's Latest Demented Distraction - Which Is 100 Percent Errant Twaddle

 

"I ain't foolin'! I gonna run for  a third term!'

When will enough voters judge Trump America’s first truly anti-American president?

"It would take another constitutional amendment to allow him to run again, and he doesn’t have a Supreme Court pliant enough to wink at some exotic legal theory. Come January 2029, Trump will leave the White House." - Megan McCardle, The Washington Post today

"It is SOOO irritating that the media discusses Trump's "third term" just because he muses about it. He CAN'T run, period. Why doesn't the media focus on his pardoning of all these white-collar criminals because, as he says, they "like Trump?" Or on his mob hit on law firms that opposed him? Or or or... The docile media lets him set the agenda, which is why he was re-elected in the first place.".  WaPo comment

Over the weekend Dotard Trump -  showing further signs of rapid onset dementia - burped out again that “methods” exist by which he could attempt to serve a third term in office.

In a Sunday interview with NBC News, when asked to clarify speculative earlier comments the orange fruitcake made, Dotard yapped: 

"I’m not joking. A lot of people want me to do it,” Trump told NBC News’ Kristen Welker.

Uh, yes he is- joking. Don’t believe his fungal caca for a second. "A lot of people want him to do it"? What people? Those in then densan IQ demographic (below 70), and who never studied American history - well, because their IQs were too low to be accepted into such classes.

Make no mistake this is Trump’s deformed microglial brain cells squealing as they degrade before 0ur eyes.  Showing a traitor president unhinged by his mental collapse – claiming he can actually violate an act that is barred by the 22nd Amendment of the U.S. Constitution.  That amendment reads, for those who may have forgot:

No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once.

The amendment became part of the Constitution in 1951, when it was fully ratified by the states. That means-  for those keeping track -  any effort to try to circumvent it, by whatever means or 'methods',  amounts to an additional violation of Trump's oath of office. This renders him subject to a 3rd impeachment. 

Pretty clear, no?  After all, Trump has twice been elected to the presidential office, in 2016 and 2024. Granted the 2nd time only after bamboozling millions of morons with his lies - and the help of Elon Musk's millions. E.g.

Sad To Say: Low IQ Among Voters Can Play A Role In Crashing A Democracy.

But given this POS felon already sees himself as a "King" of course he'd object to  this amendment passed after World War II as a protection against “elective monarchy.”

What about an 'end around'?  Could this  orange dirtbag skirt the law by being elected VP, then somehow getting the then president (say Vance) to step aside? Nope.  (And NBC's Kristen Welker ought to be ashamed for even hinting at such an end around in a recent Trump interview.)

According to the 12th Amendment, “no person constitutionally ineligible to the office of President shall be eligible to that of Vice-President.”

So he can't use the VP route to sneak in through the backdoor.

But amidst all the Sturm and Drang the media and too many MAGA goobers seem to be forgetting two other aspects:

(1) The oblate orange doofus is 78 now, and still eats Mickey D burgers and KFC buckets.  Does anyone seriously believe he will still be alive and kicking at 82 for a 3rd run? The actuarial tables from insurance companies don't support that - especially given Dotard's diet.

(2) Even if he manages to defy the actuarial tables like he so far defied political gravity- the chances of anything coherent left of his mind are slim and none. It is more and more evident with every chaotic move he makes and word he says, his brain is running on fumes. In four years, assuming he's still alive, it will be on empty. More than likely he will either have been removed under the 25th amendment or be in a family chosen adult facility.

The key takeaways are twofold:

1- Dotard is using his brain farts about a 3rd term as a means of distraction, to take attention away from his impending "reciprocal tariffs" which will crater this economy.

2- As with his 2024 run, which ought to have been prevented by the traitor being disqualified for insurrection under Section 3 of the 14th amendment, he is using this ruse to try to avoid jail time, resurrected prosecutions.

Trouble is the barriers to achieving his fever dream are formidable and will not be as easy to surmount as his bogus executive orders have so far surmounted applicable laws. (Because of our ponderously slow to respond judicial system). Amending the Constitution to abolish the two-term limit would require either a two-thirds ‘yea’ vote of Congress or two-thirds of the states (34) agreeing to call a constitutional convention to propose the change.

Ain't gonna happen in this version of the universe.  A NY Times piece probably put Trump's deformed intentions best:

"President Trump’s comments deflect attention from other controversies. And they freeze potential successors who might steal the spotlight from a lame duck."

See Also:

by Elizabeth Preza | March 31, 2025 - 5:36am | permalink

— from Alternet

President Donald Trump on Saturday once again floated running for a third term as president, telling NBC News he’s “not joking” when he suggests he might run again despite the Constitution’s 22nd Amendment that says “no person shall be elected to the office of the president more than twice.”

“A lot of people want me to do it,” Trump told NBC News’ Kristen Welker on Sunday. “But, I mean, I basically tell them we have a long way to go, you know, it’s very early in the administration.”

Trump added he’s “focused on the current” administration.

According to a transcript of the conversation, Welker gave Trump a scenario where Vice President JD Vance “would run for office” and “if he won, at the top of the ticket, would then pass the baton to [Trump]."

» article continues...

And:

by Thom Hartmann | April 5, 2025 - 5:48am | permalink

— from The Hartmann Report

Criminals always gonna crime.

The Trump administration is the most corrupt in, arguably, the entire history of the United States. Never before has a president charged $1 million a head for people to have dinner with him, openly catered to campaign donors or offered to gut regulations in exchange for a big donation, and ran a scam crypto operation out of the White House. He’s also the first convicted felon and accused rapist to serve as president.

And now he’s threatening to put people like you and me in prison or even deport us to a foreign torture chamber.

The highest levels of the Trump administration are embracing their boss’s criminality full-on right now, refusing to acknowledge a legal court order to not deport people to El Salvador. Judge Boasberg has scheduled a hearing for next week to determine if he’s going to hold any of Trump’s lawyers in contempt, a process that could see them incarcerated, fined, and/or facing the loss of their law licenses.

» article continues...
And:

by Thom Hartmann | April 1, 2025 - 4:57am | permalink

— from The Hartmann Report

If Putin wanted to kill America, how would he best do it? Exactly like this:

— Install a puppet or ally inside the government; as Lincoln foresaw, a tyrant doesn’t need to invade. He just needs to rise from within. Trump has repeatedly echoed Kremlin talking points, undermined NATO, attacked Ukraine, praised autocrats, and created chaos at home. If Putin picked a candidate, it would be Trump — and the intelligence community has confirmed Russian efforts to help him win in both 2016 and 2020.

— Dismantle American institutions from the inside; Putin’s best move would be to encourage the erosion of U.S. government capacity: devalue science, underfund law enforcement, defund agencies, destroy trust in elections, and sabotage public health. All are happening as you read these words.

» article continues...