Showing posts with label payroll tax. Show all posts
Showing posts with label payroll tax. Show all posts

Sunday, August 9, 2020

A Reality Check: Trump's Covid Relief Exec Orders Aren't Worth An Ounce of Doggie Lickspittle


"Come on in, suckers!  I got great news for ya! I'm gonna revive unemployment bonus insurance and extend the moratorium on evictions! Howzzat for a stable genius!"

"We begin with a foundational premise, a stone-bound axiom learned the hardest of hard ways after three long years: Donald Trump does not care about you, or me, or anyone on this planet. Donald Trump cares only about Donald Trump, full stop, end of file. Do not let the triumphant-sounding weekend headlines about his executive orders fool you; those orders are made of soap bubbles. Yes, friends, it’s yet another scam.'"   - William Rivers Pitt, smirkingchimp.com

On Saturday, frustrated on no headway made by congress passing the HEROES Act - to help over 35 million jobless American workers- Trump took (executive) action on his own.  He fired off executive orders claiming to extend unemployment insurance, as well as defer the payroll tax until year's end, and reinstate a moratorium on evictions.  The latter to prevent up to 22 million getting tossed onto the streets in the middle of a pandemic.

 Knowing at some level it is congress that controls the power of the purse, the Dotard said he would use unspent funds from the CARES act to continue unemployment payments to millions of newly unemployed Americans at a rate of $400 per week – a $200 drop from the earlier $600 payment, (Which will cause at least ten million to now have to choose between rent and utilities - or food.)  Further, in reality his order only supplies $300 more per week, expecting the Covid near- bankrupted states to provide the rest.  This is sheer lunacy given the budget morass of the states.

He also plans to defer payroll tax through the end of 2020, though that will not help the millions of 'gig' workers affected during the pandemic.

Typical of the consummate con man he is, Trump claimed:

“Congressional Democrats have stonewalled our efforts to extend  this relief,”

Actually, Trump and the Repukes have stonewalled in resisting spending the money needed to help over 30 million stay on their feet and not be sucked into a financial loss maelstrom.  Most of those millions are a cat's whisker from losing a home or domicile or not having enough food.  But the 'pukes keep insisting a  $600 bonus in unemployment insurance would incline too many to stay at home watching TV and chomping Twinkies-  instead of going back to work.  This despite several reports and research papers skewering that claptrap.

By contrast, the HEROES Act passed by House Democrats in May would have extended the enhanced $600 unemployment benefit through January, but the White House and Senate Republicans sought to change the formula for these benefits so that — in many cases — the weekly payment came to about $200 a week. Republicans eventually changed their offer and told Democrats they would agree to about $400 a week in benefits-  but only for 5-6 weeks - not to year's end.  The Dems had sense enough to grasp this was a joke, a non- starter, especially given the fact that by changing from $600 to less per week bonus, state job offices would take weeks - maybe months-  to have to reconfigure their systems.

Asked by a reporter why the benefits would be $400 instead of the previous $600, Trump responded: “This is the money they need, this is the money they want, this gives them a great incentive to go back to work.”

He added: “There was a difficulty with the 600 number because it really was a disincentive.”

But that's balderdash as I noted.  In fact, the money has nada to do with incentives to return to work. Americans already have that. What they don't have is enough money to meet all their financial obligations especially during renewed lockdowns in many areas as the virus returns.  Also, they need more jobs created to be able to FIND work, given there is currently an estimated 5 workers to each available  job.

Let's also note the Republican package failed to include an additional $1,200 direct payment to individuals, money for states to hold elections in November, or support for the beleagured US Postal Service, which  Nancy Pelosi said was “central to the life of our democracy” in an election year when many Americans will be voting by mail.

So the Dems had no choice but to hold out for a sane deal, which the Reepo atrocity was not.  Oh, and also it meant not allowing the Trust Act to go through - as part of the Repuke package, e.g.


When one looks beneath the 'hood' of these  Trump "exec orders"  (actually one real order and three 'memoranda')  one sees they are mostly shams.  How so?

Trump’s unilateral actions, if carried out, would provide only limited relief. The White House on Saturday authorized taking about $50 billion from the FEMA fund  (in the middle of hurricane season, mind you) to pay for unemployment benefits.  But that money will only last about five weeks before expiring,   Worse, it could well take 5-6 weeks to get the increase implemented .  This is given the states are expected to supply $100 of the $400, but they are running on financial fumes. Here in Colorado, for example, a $3 billion estimated budget shortfall exists because of the pandemic, As Gov. Jared Polis indicated  (Denver Post,  p. 8A) that means the state will only be able to provide the supplemental $100/week for 2-3 weeks at most.  Polis is hoping by the end of that temporary aid the White House will 'get real'  and  cooperate with Congress for real stimulus money.  Well, don't hold your breath, Guv.

Basically, Trump’s action on unemployment does not funnel additional money to the existing unemployment program, but instead creates a new program for “lost wages” that states will then have to set up from scratch (since they will  have to commit to the $100 additional support Trump does not). This could take up to two months, their monies are also running low for any added administrative purposes, and meanwhile people are without a pot to piss in.

Regarding the suspension of the payroll tax, another element in his orders, one Trump aide admitted (Denver Post, today, p. 12A):  "Yeah, it's really an interest -free loan that would have to be repaid, not a freebie."

As for the order to minimize evictions and foreclosures, it  does not reinstate the federal eviction moratorium that expired last month or fund the billions in assistance necessary to help people already behind on their rent.  Instead, it calls on the Department of Health and Human Services and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to “consider” whether it is necessary to temporarily halt evictions.

All a Trump sleight of hand, or in more blunt language another of his cons, a classic one. As Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.) wrote on Twitter:

"This scheme is a classic Trump con: play-acting at leadership while robbing families of the support they need. This ‘plan’ fails to reinstate supercharged unemployment, and would throw already overburdened state programs into chaos, making it harder to get benefits out the door.”

More precisely, from the order lingo:

 The Treasury Department and the Department of Housing and Urban Development “shall identify” federal funds to provide temporary assistance to renters and homeowners “who, as a result of the financial hardships caused by COVID-19, are struggling to meet their monthly rental or mortgage obligations,”.

Jack Smalligan, a former official at the Office of Management and Budget and now a senior policy fellow at the Urban Institute, put it this way:

"The President cannot create new money with an executive order. These EOs simply show the limitations of the President’s legal authority,”

Even senior members of Trump’s cabal cast doubt on the feasibility of these blatant PR maneuvers.   Most believe it a 'hail Mary' play for Dotard Donnie to try to recover lost ground against Biden. This  since nothing else seems to work and Trump himself  doesn't relish doing much real work to stop the virus.  He'd rather tweet and watch Fox News. (Mary L. Trump in her new expose book says that is all he really likes to do.  The thought of actual work is a buzzkill.)

The sad fact is most of the media and likely too many citizens have been played by this political posturing move of desperation.   To make matters worse, the Trump administration recently decided against extending a food stamps waiver that allowed needy families to bypass certification, such as providing pay stubs. The move will now reduce the number of eligible families in the coming months, even as other stimulus measures expire.

One hopes that on November 3rd the many millions of seniors who still fancy Trump won't be taken in again. Especially given he's promised to cut the payroll tax permanently if he gets re-elected. Meaning Social Security's Trust Fund will run out of money even earlier than now forecast (2035).

See Also:

And:

And:

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

On Social Security's 80th - The Solutions To Save It Are Clear

Lefties, meet your candidate: Why Bernie Sanders is the only authentic alternative to Hillary Clinton
Bernie Sanders: His proposal to expand Social Security is common sense and can be achieved by increasing the wages covered by the payroll tax, and halting raids on the retirement fund.

As Social Security's 80th anniversary approaches, "solutions" are a dime a dozen to save the program - but in fact- most on offer (especially by Republicans)  would either kill it, or make seniors' lives unbearable.  Meanwhile, Sen. Bernie Sanders - now besting Hillary in NH primary polls (44 % to 37%) - has made expanding Social Security one leg of his progressive platform.

By the simple, straightforward expedient of applying the payroll tax to all wages (instead of only the first $118,500) then 66 percent of the current shortfall would be wiped out overnight. The rest could easily be wiped out by ceasing to raid Social Security monies and instead doing what Al Gore always suggested back in 2000 - put it into an effective "lockbox". The idiot media made fun of it at the time, but by implementing the sequestration of S.S. monies from all other - no shortfall would emerge - assuming all wages are also subject to the payroll tax.

Meanwhile, we have conservative curmudgeons like Sen. Orrin Hatch barking (in response to Sanders' expansion proposal):

"Where will they get the money? They don't even care how they are adding to the debt and how long it will take to dig out of it!"

Excuse me, Sen. Hatch, but that debt was YOUR party's doing!  You and your ilk implemented that ill-advised Medicare drug expansion (mainly at the behest of PhRMA) in 2003, and also implemented the Bush tax cuts while waging two wars that exploded the debt by $4 trillion. So don't hand me any BS about the debt and how Social Security was responsible! Hell, you bastards even raided it to help pay for the Iraq occupation to disguise the amount actually used for military operations, materials.

The other "solutions" now mainly being put forward by the conservos and Neoliberal Dems include:

- Increasing the retirement age (the age to receive full S.S. benefits) to 68 or even 70. But this really amounts to a benefits cut. And a severe one. It is claimed this would wipe out 29 percent of the shortfall but would more likely wipe out 29 percent of the most indigent seniors.

- Implement a "chained CPI" which decreases the cost of living adjustment received each year. This assumes that seniors would degrade their buying habits each year the COLA cuts are operative. So while they might afford chicken one year, for the next it will be sardines, and then the next kibbles, and the next....dumpster garbage.

Then there is the problem of Social Security Disability heading toward insolvency. As I noted earlier, e.g. http://brane-space.blogspot.com/2015/07/with-social-security-disabiiliy-nearly.html

  both parties are to blame for this, having cut in half the payroll taxes collected for almost two years. Ending up with a loss nearly equal to the current disability fund deficit. WTF did they expect would happen when they embraced such folly?

Now the solutions are few, either redirect revenue from the much larger S.S. retirement fund to S.S. disability or ...let the disability fund empty in which case an immediate 19 percent benefits cut goes into effect.

The Repukes don't like the Dem solution of redirecting funds because "that would be like robbing seniors to pay the disabled."

But that "lockbox" pretension doesn't hold them back from continually robbing seniors to pay for more military toys like the F35, or increased defense plants. The fact is that there is no magic line or box separating the retirement fund from the disability fund, any more than a magical barrier separates the retirement fund from general revenues.  So any transfers are simply a matter of account shifting.

If the Repubs were really so worried about disabled folks "robbing seniors" they'd have implemented a lockbox from the time Gore first mentioned it 15 years ago. In fact, since 1992 legislation entitled "the budget enforcement act' has existed to do just that. But it's never ever been enforced, despite the urgent need to do so.

The following data shows how much has been raided each year up through 2011, the data from the same Trust Fund sources and GAO:

Year:  ................Amount raided

2011.................$67.0 billion

2010.................$87.0 billion

2009...............$137.0 billion

2008...............$180.2 billion

2007...............$186.0 billion

2006...............$185.5 billion

2005..............$173.5 billion

2004..............$151.1 billion

2003.............$155.6 billion

2002.............$159.0 billion

2001.............$163.0 billion

2000.............$151.8 billion
----------------------------

TOTAL:  $2.63 TRILLION

 Any person with a single neuron for a brain would realize that it doesn't matter if you fill a one gallon bucket with a cup every day (equal to 6 oz.) if there are massive holes in the bottom that let out 12 oz. in the same time! 

Thus, the worker-to -beneficiary ratio is also a red herring meant to deflect attention from the REAL problem which is the yearly raids on monies received from payroll taxes and intended to go to future beneficiaries! So long as these raids continue unabated, NO solution or "re-tooling" of the program will work, not raising payroll taxes, not making cuts, NOTHING!  The raiding has to stop first.
Add in expanding the wages covered by the payroll tax, targeted cuts to the bloated defense budget and Social Security can be expanded.

Will the Reepos pull their heads out of their asses on this issue? No way! No more than Jeb  is capable of pulling his head out of his Bush ass on who is responsible for the rise of ISIS in Iraq. Obama for pulling out, as he claims? FUCK NO! His stupid ass brother for barging in in the first place and ousting a totally secular regime that had kept the Muslim factions (Shia and Sunni) at bay!

See also:

http://www.smirkingchimp.com/thread/richard-eskow/63439/80-years-later-republicans-are-still-fighting-social-security


http://brane-space.blogspot.com/2015/02/a-social-security-expansion-bill.html