Showing posts with label Pew Research findings on political polarization. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Pew Research findings on political polarization. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 19, 2014

False Knowledge Syndrome: Why Does It Afflict So Many Tea Baggers & FOX-ites?













"El Rushbo"  Limbaugh - one big reason so many brains are led astray to believing "liberal lies"


If I had a buck for every time Rush Limbaugh claimed Liberals were "attacking the Heartland" - whatever the hell that means - I'd be a millionaire. In fact, Red state interests and welfare are in the crapper because most of them  are so blinded by their false beliefs and ideology that they vote against their own economic interests, a condition superbly described in Thomas Frank's book, 'What's the Matter with Kansas?'  And because Red state voters keep pulling the levers for the 'pukes, it's no surprise that they never get ahead  - since the Repukes are the party of Big Business and incessant tax cuts.   But the sixty four dollar question remains: Do Limbaugh's bombastic rants shape the brains of his audience, OR is it their limited knowledge and education on the facts that draws them to the likes of El Rushbo  and FOX News - just to hear bunkum that supports their false knowledge and beliefs?

In short, one can put forward the proposition that the Ditto heads who fawn over Rush and the Foxites that regularly tune in O'Reilly believe a constellation of untrue things, and that leads them to collect — even invent — bad information to flesh out what they already believe.  The classic case is the dupe who by virtue of some streak of bad life decisions or experiences comes to believe "all liberals are liars". He then somehow finds Larry Schweikart's fishwrap book on '48 Liberal Lies About American History' and finds specious support for his false knowledge and bad insights. Classic confirmation bias. 

The other aspect is that media itself can shape viewer's perceptions toward false knowledge and beliefs.   This was vividly illustrated by a 1991 study that found that the more people watched TV during the first Gulf War, the less they knew about fundamental issues and facts, even as they were more likely to support the war. Wanting to believe that the U.S. was involved in a noble cause, for example, only 13 percent knew that when Iraq first threatened to invade Kuwait, the U.S. said it would take no action, while 65 percent falsely “knew” that the U.S. said it would support Kuwait militarily.

This indicated that when anyone asserts they "know" something about history, one needs to take it with a grain of salt unless they produce hard evidence (not just citing Larry Schweikart's abominable book!)

In earlier posts I examined part of the reason for this as linked to  the  Pew Research Center's  huge survey of American politics  showing the American Right is even more whacked out of its collective head than we thought. Recall the first part, released a couple weeks ago, focused on political polarization .  As indicated in this split for the data:


Pew found more than three quarters of conservative Americans - those in the steadfast conservative, business conservative, and young outsider typology groups - agreed that "poor people have it easy because they can get government benefits without doing anything." Only seven percent of steadfast conservatives say that the poor "have hard lives."  Now, which group do you think is detached from reality?

Overall, it is the widespread agreement among conservatives on this point of grabbing benefits without doing anything that's really striking. There are reasonable, well-intentioned arguments on either side of many poverty-related issues - about the causes of poverty (see the right half of the chart), or whether government benefits provide a leg up or simply perpetuate poverty, for instance. But at root the conservative beliefs about what agents perpetuate poverty are totally out of whack with the actual data.

But possibly this bifurcation is because the Right accepts too much misinformation overall, such as on global warming, see e.g.

http://brane-space.blogspot.com/2013/09/partisanship-and-brain-why-we-cant-get.html

As I noted in that post:

"Sure, all humans want to believe they’re rational, but Kahan's work shows that in reality most people employ their reason  ex post facto to  rationalize what they already want to believe. Thus, if they already believe global warming is a "hoax" their brains won't work in order to process new information that invalidates that, but rather they will search for bogus information (say from a Terry Lovell, or Richard Lindzen, or Jason Lisle) that reinforces their misperceptions. "


Sadly the problem isn't limited to issues of  scientific fact, or sociology,  war and peace. Misinformation in public life isn’t the exception, it’s the rule, according to a new study published in Social Science Quarterly  which employed a “knowledge distortion index” and looked at two competing explanations for why this is so — one top-down, the other bottom-up.  The researchers used three Washington state initiatives from the 2006 general election cycle to examine the dynamics of what is going on in this particular sort of political environment.

The study, “How Voters Become Misinformed: An Investigation of the Emergence and Consequences of False Factual Beliefs,” found that “voters’ values and partisanship had the strongest associations with distorted beliefs, which then influenced voting choices. Self-reported levels of exposure to media and campaign messages played a surprisingly limited role,” despite the presence of significantly mistaken “facts,” which were used to help construct the knowledge distortion index. (Of course, knowing how suspect people are of being tagged "Foxites" we must understand how they may under report their viewing habits.)
Lead author, Justin Reedy, told Salon.com. “Both of these theories recognize that citizens can develop distorted factual beliefs because of their political views, but they disagree about how those distortions might happen. Heuristics researchers generally think that citizens have limited attention for politics and try to process information quickly and efficiently.”
Which makes sense.
In another take, Reedy further explained:
“People who are fairly politically knowledgeable can figure out whether political information and factual claims match up with their own ideology or not — and therefore whether they should accept or reject those.  Cultural cognition researchers, however, see political opinions as driven by deep-seated values about how the world works, and not contingent on someone’s political knowledge.”
The first type is what I refer to as critically thinking rational voters. We can clearly see, for example, that the last several efforts to put "personhood" amendments on the Colorado ballot were all driven by fundamentalist ideology and not rational information or sound politics (they've been defeated resoundingly three times). On the other hand, in terms of the recent Colorado initiatives to control fracking locally, we saw rational and practical advantage to environmentally conscious citizens despite all the hysterical screaming from the oil and gas industry that we would "destroy jobs".
"Values voters" occupy a decidedly different rung, as first observed by Thomas Frank. They have pre-existing "values" on how the world ought to work and let these trump any contradicting facts - whether scientific, historical or political.  Thus, in their fanciful worlds, CO2 should not be able to overturn an entire planet's climate - so they disbelieve any facts trotted out. In their world they also reject that humans could evolve from a common ape-human ancestor, so reject Darwinian evolution. They also value bibles and guns over "liberal" positions like gun control and freedom from religion, so reject liberalism as a threat to their own values. Oh, and they are convinced that liberals have been the ones shafting this country from the year dot. They believe this without a whit of evidence, and only because some schmoe like Limbaugh or Larry Schweikart tells them so.
But they often go much farther in asserting their lack of knowledge and information based on their values means ALL liberal values are wrong. The next cognitive step is to tie liberal values to knowledge they implicitly disdain, such as about global warming and evolution. Hence, it's easy to believe bollocks such as "liberal lies about history" or that global warming "is a hoax."  But they don't see these as emblems of ignorance but rather badges of honor.
Which brings us back to the latest study and an unsavory finding:
"Whatever future refinements may be made to the values-based distortion model, the unsettling evidence remains that many voters are systematically misinformed on political issues, and those erroneous factual beliefs appear to influence how they mark their ballot on election day "
To say this is a serious problem is putting it mildly.  It shows me that values distortion and bias can lead to a toxic and destabilizing political distortion.  We have a political system that purports to not only reflect the “will of the people,” but that also respects reality as a basic matter of course. But does it? What if the will of too many is based on false information or knowledge?  In fact, from the time of the Founders (the REAL ones, not the imaginary constructs the  Tea Baggers have conjured) it has been an axiom that informed people are needed to sustain a functioning democracy. As Thomas Jefferson put it in his 'Notes on Virginia':
"Every government degenerates when trusted to the rulers of the people alone. The people themselves therefore are its only safe depositories. AND TO RENDER THEM SAFE, THEIR MINDS MUST BE IMPROVED."
Jefferson understood that a citizen "depository" of false beliefs and misinformation would ultimately destroy the Republic on account of the regression of citizens' minds,  not improvement. He understood that citizens to attain this improvement needed to read in a focused fashion and not believe anything they read. Another Founder, John Adams, wrote:
“Facts are stubborn things,”
But epitomizing the blind stupidity of the Right, their favorite President,  Ronald Reagan,  famously misquoted him:
“Facts are stupid things,”
 Which could be the motto of all those who get their "values" regularly confirmed  via a reality filtered through Limbaugh or Hannity, or the likes of Larry Schweikart!
 

Saturday, June 14, 2014

Ideological Polarization: Why It's a Rational Expectation in Today's America



So, okay, a  a new study by the Pew Research Center suggests that ordinary voters are almost as sharply divided as the lawmakers who represent them. The authors write, “Republicans and Democrats are more divided along ideological lines — and partisan antipathy is deeper and more extensive — than at any point in the last two decades. These trends manifest themselves in myriad ways, both in politics and in everyday life.”

That conclusion is based on “the largest study of US political attitudes ever undertaken by the Pew Research Center” — from January through March they interviewed more than 10,000 people."

The question is why this is even news. Given the Repuke Party has consistently denied reality (waging wars of choice still believing we will prevail, denying human caused climate change, denying evolution etc.) it is amazing the polarization isn't even greater - so obviously, if one is a true liberal (not a wine and brie variety) he or she will distrust any or all Repubs -whether in casting ballots, or holding office. One could call it a natural law. (As the graph shows on the right side)

Hence, no survey wonk ought to express any amazement that my opinion of the typical Repuke is only slightly better than the dengue fever mosquito or cholera. Still, there are significantly more Republicans who think that Democrats are “a threat to the nation’s wellbeing” (36 percent) than there are Democrats who believe the same of Republicans (27 percent).

I attribute a lot of that to the fact Repukes are more likely to be national security fetishists - who'd easily sell their civil liberties for a song (to the NSA)  if they could feel "safe"  24/7 from terrorists, and hence most likely to call Edward Snowden a traitor. Also, it's no surprise that Repubs are innate warmongers - most of them. They'd never met a war they didn't like, or a nation (weaker than the U.S.) they didn't want to butt into for resources, hegemony or the biggest BS of all, "democracy".

So, no surprise I do not trust this country being in their hands - in terms of the determination of national policy. I am sure they feel the same about me, but the difference is that their own specious delusions make their paranoia more unjustified than mine about them.

Another interesting finding from the Pew results is that the most innocuous citizens are also the least politically engaged, the so called "moderates" or what I call political dummies. They lack any compass for guiding principles, hence lack any ideology, so naturally  are less imbued with the energy to go out and dig into the deeper underlying  politics, agendas. Hence, they are less likely to KNOW what they are voting for or to vote in EVERY election, including mid-terms. 

Last night on Bill Maher's Real Time, guest panelist Krystal Ball acknowledged this as well, and suggested that, in her opinion, the best solution would be passing a law to ensure everyone votes - such as they have in Australia. If such legislation was passed and enforced, people (moderates) would have to get more involved and engaged politically and understand the issues enough to cast intelligent votes. 

I like Krystal Ball, but suggest her conclusion is a bit naïve. All the moderates will do is find the nearest "Voters' Guide" and use that as a template to do their thinking-voting for them. We will still have the hyper-politically engaged (the extreme Left and Right) and the inevitable polarization.

Is there a way to delimit the polarization and make it less severe? Yes, once the Repugs educate themselves and cease detaching from reality. Other than that, there is no way I am making friendly with any GOOp who really believes humans have nothing to do with climate change and it's all a "hoax" created by liberals and climate scientists to get grant money.

Having said that, I do live in perhaps the most conservative city in the nation, Colorado Springs. I just take care to only associate with liberals like myself.

See also:
http://www.salon.com/2014/06/14/ugly_paranoid_divisive_politics_the_gop_are_all_know_nothings_now/?source=newsletter