Friday, June 28, 2024

Solution to Permutation (Transposition) Problem

 Express p =

 [1 2 3 4]
 [2 3 1 4] 

 as the product of transpositions, and determine the sign (+1 or -1) of the resulting end permutation. 

Solution:

Let T1 be the transposition 2 <-> 1 leaving 3, 4 fixed, so:

T1 p =

[1 2 3 4]
[1 3 2 4]


Let T2 be the transposition 2 <-> 3 leaving 1, 4 fixed, so:

T2 T1 p =

[1 2 3 4]
[1 2 3 4]

Then:

T2 T1 p = I (identity)

TWO transpositions (T1, T2) operated on p, so that the sign of the resulting permutation (to reach identity) is +1.  The permutation is therefore even.


Biden One-Upped By Trump's "Flood The Zone With Lies" Strategy - But Don't Look For A 2nd Debate

 

                               View on screen at one watch party  - Liar (R) vs. Joe 

                          Biden last night: Overwhelmed by Trump Lie Blitzkrieg


"The debate format allowed Trump to present a nonstop stream of nonsense and lies. Biden was compelled to play whack-a-mole. It is humanly impossible to bat them all down in a situation such as this, but Biden did a workmanlike job, gaining ground as the 90 minutes ticked by (e.g., pointing out the economy was “flat on its back” when Biden took over).- Jennifer Rubin, ‘Biden’s Facts No Match For Trump’s Lies’, Washington Post

"Joe had a horrible night, cementing concerns about his age, his greatest electoral weakness. Our odds of Trumpocalypse II just materially increased. It’s tragic, since we could have chosen to let Trump and the nation marinate over him being a convicted felon.”- Dem donor Reid Hoffmann in email to WaPo

"Though Biden struggled to communicate, the substance of some of his answers indicated his mind is still sharp. That suggests he is, for the time being, still fit to govern. The problem is that in the performative world of US politics, conducted via media clips that can be mercilessly edited, he does not appear fit to campaign."  .- Financial Times editorial, 6/28

“The biggest lie Trump told Thursday was his portrait of the country as a ruined mess. The economy is strong, the United States is working seamlessly with an ever-closer set of allies in Europe and Asia, and our global financial, military and intelligence dominance has rarely been clearer. Biden has been effective despite the obvious signs of stress. He has also remained a decent man. - David Ignatius, Washington Post

 Right at the outset last night, Joe Biden sounded weak when we needed him to sound strong as he had in the State of the Union address.  While making subsequent comments through the first 15 minutes of the debate against Dotard Trump, his voice sounded less reedy and raspy, though he coughed at least one more time and never did clear his throat.  But the weak, thready voice - compounded by frequent stammering - left its residue in viewers' minds (and ears), certainly mine.  The impact was that 90% of his points were lost because either they weren't heard properly or were too weakly delivered.  The impression left was one of "an enfeebled candidate" to quote MSNBC's Joy Reid in the post-debate analysis.

Trump, by contrast, barked bodaciously in blustering responses, ninety five percent of which contained zero accurate content and were tangential to the moderators' questions.  The lies themselves flew out of his mouth like a firehose. I told Janice I estimated two hundred in two minutes but it may have only seemed that way since so many were put together in single word salads.  The result? Trump created the illusion of having more energy, more youth and more mental acuity - but of course that degraded as the debate wore on.

However, Trump's 'fire hose' method of lie delivery (what I call "flooding the zone") was often more than Biden could handle, hence the inability to be more coherent and on point for the first half hour. It was as if in the time allowed for rebuttal (1 minute) Biden's brain locked up and couldn't decide which lie (or lies) to deal with of the dozens spewed. Part of this could also have been from over-preparation by the Biden team. Somehow forgetting that 'less is more' when you're teeing up an 81-year-old to debate a psychopathic narcissist blowhard.

  Result? As Nicole Wallace summed it up in the MSNBC analysis: 

"Joe's offensive against January 6 lies - nil, offensive against Trump abortion lies - nil, offensive against Trump economic lies, nil" and so on.  In other words, Dems in default 'bed-wetting' mode and in a state of panic and near hysteria.  

As Joy Reid put it in the analysis:  "Biden had but one job to do tonight- Calm his own party's qualms and nervousness about his candidacy.  He failed."

Meanwhile, Lawrence O'Donnell tried his best to put his own positive spin on it by noting when one processes the transcript he will see the sum of the best responses and the presidential decisions made were won by Biden.  The trouble, of course, is few would have processed or heard them in the midst of the raspy, reedy, weak voice in which they were delivered.  (Only learning afterward that Biden had been nursing a cold the past few days and didn't wish to take cold medicine which can dull the brain.)

But let's not mince words: Biden struggled with some answers and clearly missed  'blasting holes' in Trump's lies - according to former Obama strategist David Plouffe.    He also appeared to search for words and misspoke in some instances, saying at one point his administration “finally beat Medicare.”  Again, I attribute most of this to his shock at Trump's fire hose lie delivery. Camera shots capturing Joe's sometime gaping mouth and wide (shocked) eyes reinforced this.  

Question here: Why didn't Bob Bauer - the Trump stand in for the mock debates at Camp David - prepare Joe better by imitating this fire hose lie tactic? Was it too much to think of all the lies the orange fiend could blast out? Did Biden fob off such mock debate attempts asserting he knew he could handle them? Well, clearly - as Bob Woodward noted (on Ari Melber's MSNBC show)- he couldn't and "he lost in terms of perceived competency."

Trump, bloated rat that he is, seized on one Biden misstep related to border issues: 

“I really don’t know what he said at the end of that sentence. I don’t think he knows what he said, either.”

That set off delirium at MAGA watch parties, where Rump’s allies quickly seized on what they viewed as further evidence that Biden has declined significantly as he has aged.  Rubbing it in, one MAGA War Room account posted on social media (according to the WaPo) quoted a remark from Joe earlier that all he needed to get through the debate was a can of water.  The MAGA Mutt blurting:

Sounds like Biden could use this right about now,”

Trump, who aggressively interrupted Biden in previous debates, was more restrained in the first half-hour of Thursday’s debate. But he still displayed some combativeness and tried at least once to speak while his microphone was muted.  But what viewer should take away is the exponential decrease in his mental coherence in the last half hour or so. As David Plouffe commented:


Biden and Trump are three years apart. They seemed about 30 years apart tonight. That is going to be the thing that voters really wrestle with."  


 Though he later did note:


"Swing voters will have seen and heard the Trump lies and come away with increased negatives on Trump."


But ...will they overpower the negatives on Biden? Well, I certainly hope so! But the truth is too many viewers will have had their first impressions sealed in the first five or ten minutes of this debate. Which means Trump will likely come out as the 'winner' in subsequent polls. How do the Dems patch up this fiasco? I don't know. What I do know (and Janice too) is that if Biden had the power voice he displayed when he greeted the Watch party afterward, it could have been hasta la vista, Dotard, or nearly so.  


As for a second debate in September, don't hold your breath. If Trump tops Biden in post-debate polls as I suspect, there is no way he will come back for a second one. He will be convinced he's done enough in one debate to 'seal the deal'.  Especially with the swing voters in the battleground states.  In the end, as Atlantic columnist David Frum notes, 


"The job of saving democracy from Trump will done not by an old man on a gaudy stage, but by those of us who care that their democracy be saved.  Biden's evident frailties have aggravated that job, but they have also clarified whose job it is. Not his, YOURS."

 

Some of the post -debate comments in The Washington Post:


"Biden did a relatively good job. He provided more details on what he would do in the next four years by far than Trump. Actually all Trump did was rant about the border, and almost everything he said about it was a gross exaggeration. Don't forget that a lot of the speech hesitancy that Biden exhibits is in large part due to the problem he has had with stuttering since he was a kid. If it makes you uncomfortable to listen to him communicate because he has a stutter, then that problem is on you. Is Biden a 30 year old. Hell no he isn't, but neither is Trump. All of the people wringing their hands right now need to think about the alternative and what the next four years will be like if Trump is elected."

" I'd like to know what Trump was on, although whatever it was didn't help him answer any questions. With the complete absence of fact checking, this was more a free national campaign rally, lies and all, for Trump."

"Joe Biden is old" is no reason to turn America into a Nazi dictatorship.
Donald Trump is a lying scum who will turn Ukraine over to Vladimir Putin on day one, is a reason to vote for American democracy. A second term of Trump is unsurvivable."

"Trump seems physically strong but mentally bonkers. Biden is tethered to the truth, and he may be old but he is mentally healthy."

See Also:

And:
And:


And:
by Heather Digby Parton | June 29, 2024 - 6:32am | permalink

— from Salon

There's no sugarcoating it: The best you can say about that debate last night is that it was a missed opportunity for Joe Biden to put to rest the questions about his age and focus on Donald Trump's extremist agenda and his criminality. The worst you can say is that he gave a disastrous performance that should lead to his resignation and an open convention in August to choose a successor. There are plenty of Democrats pushing for that right now and it's always possible they'll succeed in getting Biden to drop out and turn the Chicago gathering into a disaster not seen since 1968. Maybe that's the kind of spectacle that will finally bring the Democratic Party down to the level of the Trump Show. Maybe that's what the American people really want.

I don't know what was wrong with Joe Biden. It's hard to imagine that they ever would have asked for a debate if this was the way he is normally. We've seen him recently holding press conferences and giving speeches and he seemed to be fine. They said he had a cold so maybe he really was on drugs — Nyquil or Mucinex or something that made him seem so shaky and frail. Whatever it was, it was a terrible debate for him and if he does stay in the race (which is almost certain in my opinion) the campaign is going to have a lot of work to do to dig out of the hole that was dug last night. The media smells blood and they are circling like a bunch of starved piranhas. If this goes as these things often do, the public may have a very different take than the insiders today. Still, the media narrative could change public consensus over the course of the next few days.

And:
by Will Bunch | June 30, 2024 - 6:42am | permalink

— from the Philadelphia Inquirer

So this is how liberty dies—in the void of an Atlanta TV sound stage plastered with more CNN logos than a NASCAR Camaro, where the relentless march on Washington by an American Mussolini, fueled by lies about everything from national greatness to his sleazy sex life, could not be stopped either by the muzzled moderators or the coughing and occasionally confused 81-year-old who was the last thing standing between the United States and dictatorship.

Everything you need to know about the critical, on-a-ventilator condition of American democracy can be explained by this:

The candidate whose most memorable line was, “I did not have sex with a porn star”—an all-but-certain lie on top of roughly 30 fact-checked falsehoods about important things from NATO to abortion law—and who walked onto the Atlanta stage with 34 felony convictions and civil verdicts of an adjudicated rape and massive financial fraud, and who urged on an attempted coup against the U.S. government, is NOT the guy that pundits are begging to drop out of the 2024 presidential race.

And:
by Maya Boddie | July 1, 2024 - 6:03am | permalink

— from Alternet

Following a debate performance from President Joe Biden that failed to solidify his ability to defeat ex-President Donald Trump in November, several newspapers and Democratic leaders have called on the president to end his re-election bid — but one conservative is shutting those calls down.

Anti-Trump Lincoln Project adviser and former Republican consultant Stuart Stevens, in a Sunday op-ed published by the New York Times, argues, "For all the talk of Mr. Biden’s off night, what is lost is that Mr. Trump missed a great opportunity to reset his candidacy and greatly strengthen his position."

Stevens is baffled by many Democratic leaders' failure "to rally around a wildly successful president after one bad night."

He writes:

Is this how Americans see themselves? When we watch the American flag carried at the Olympics in Paris, are we to feel ashamed, not proud? When Ronald Reagan was president, he believed that to be born in America was to win life’s lottery. Now, in Trump’s America, are we victims, chumps, losers?

And:
by Robert Becker | July 1, 2024 - 5:56am | permalink

Dems now pay for a squandered primary that would have confirmed (or exposed) Biden’s cognitive fitness

Gloom and doom, the knee-jerk dogma of Trumpworld and end-of-days fanatics, have now descended on panicked, quick-to-dump Democrats – understandably distraught after Biden’s shocking debate. It ain’t over ‘til it’s over, and I see potentially positive outcomes from a belated focus that establishes (or undercuts) Biden’s cognitive future. Either Biden reassures voters that exposed defects won’t impair four more years in power – or his approval numbers plunge and he withdraws, thus opening the field to younger, more vibrant, verbal and charismatic alternatives to the existential Menace-in-chief.

However much evidence eventually surfaced, Biden botched the first rule of American TV spectacles: laurels go to the better Performer-in-chief, even Entertainer-in-chief. Biden stumbled on predictable questions and missed a fistful of softball chances to demolish the vulnerable Liar-in-chief – who hardly had a good night if expanding his electorate is the paramount measure.

So not yet time to concede that Biden is done for (call me skeptical until more data arrives) or that the come-back kid (recall early 2020 primaries) has no chance to find ways to reestablish steadfast competence (call me optimistic). The State-of-the-Union triumph was only months ago and positive diplomacy in Europe only weeks ago – far more typical WH action than debate savvy or edge. 


And:

by Maya Boddie | June 28, 2024 - 6:40am | permalink

— from Alternet

During this election cycle's first presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden Thursday in Atlanta, the president noted that his opponent once blatantly disrespected military service members by calling them "suckers" and "losers."

In his response, Trump shot back claiming that "was a made-up quote" reported by "a third-rate magazine."

The MAGA hopeful then said that Biden should apologize to him for asserting that he ever called military members names.

"A four-star general who was on your staff said you said it, that's number one," Biden shot back. "And number two, the idea that I have to apologize to you for anything along the line — we've done more for veterans than any president has an American history."

NBC News reported in October:

In a statement to CNN published Monday, [former Trump White House chief of staff John] Kelly delivered a scathing criticism of former President Donald Trump while confirming reporting in The Atlantic in 2020 that detailed the comments he made during his presidency.

'A person that thinks those who defend their country in uniform, or are shot down or seriously wounded in combat, or spend years being tortured as POWs are all ‘suckers’ because ‘there is nothing in it for them,' Kelly said of Trump. 'A person that did not want to be seen in the presence of military amputees because ‘it doesn’t look good for me.’ A person who demonstrated open contempt for a Gold Star family — for all Gold Star families — on TV during the 2016 campaign, and rants that our most precious heroes who gave their lives in America’s defense are ‘losers’ and wouldn’t visit their graves in France.'

Former Human Rights Campaign press secretary Charlotte Clymer — who is also a veteran — offered commentary via X (formerly Twitter) following the MAGA hopeful's comments, writing, "Trump literally called American service members who died in war 'losers' and 'suckers.' As a veteran, I can tell you: President Biden has been extraordinary for veterans.

Wednesday, June 26, 2024

A Simple Mensa Math Brain Buster Using Logarithms

  Let a, b, c and x be distinct, positive, non-unit numbers (a, b, c, x > 1) such that:

c + log mb   a   0.


Rewrite the following using only x as a base:

a {log a/c + log mb a}   0.

Tuesday, June 25, 2024

Yeppers, Trump Is As Crazy As A "Shit House Rat" - His Latest 'Doubling Down' On Verbal Caca Proves It

                                                                         

                                                       Donald Trump Frog
                            "Boats, batteries, sharks, electric currents...what am I sayin'?'


Most sane people will admit a brain fart when it transpires and acknowledge they fucked up. Not Dotard Trump.  This bombastic orange buffoon has now doubled down on a cockeyed tale about sharks, batteries and boats he babbled at a rally several weeks ago.  Here is a transcript of what Trump said about sharks this past weekend in his latest double down defense. You be the judge and try to wade through this baffle gab and see if this turkey merits the office of the presidency:

“Now they’ll say all these stories are terrible. Well, these stories have, you know, you heard my story in the boat with the shark, right? I got killed on that. They thought I was rambling. I’m not rambling. …

“We can’t get the boat to float. The battery is so heavy. So then I start talking about asking questions. You know, I have an, I had an uncle who was a great professor at MIT for many years, long, I think the longest tenure ever. Very smart, had three different degrees and, you know, so I have an aptitude for things. You know, there is such a thing as an aptitude.

“I said, ‘Well, what would happen if this boat is so heavy and started to sink and you’re on the top of the boat. Do you get electrocuted or not?’ In other words, the boat is going down and you’re on the top, will the electric currents flow through the water and wipe you out?

“And let’s say there’s a shark about 10 yards over there. Would I have to immediately abandon, or could I ride the electric down? And he said, ‘Sir, nobody’s ever asked us that question. But sir, I don’t know.’ I said, ‘Well, I want to know, because I guarantee you one thing, I don’t care what happens. I’m staying with the electric, I’m not getting over with it.’

“So I tell that story. And the fake news they go, ‘he told this crazy story with electric.’ It’s actually not crazy. It’s sort of a smart story, right? Sort of like, you know, it’s like the snake, it’s a smart when you, you figure what you’re leaving in, right? You’re bringing it in the, you know, the snake, right? The snake and the snake. I tell that and they do the same thing.”

Seriously, can any one of my blog readers make sense out of this verbal monkey feces?  I know I can't. Or will people be duped by Trump apologists who insist he's just joshing, joking... having you on? Or trying to crater the libs' brains with more TDS (Trump derangement syndrome) ?  Please. That dog no longer hunts, never did. This guy is a turkey, grade A, and has no business near the nuclear football.

Recall we witnessed this flaw in Trump’s temperament throughout his four years as president — his inability to say “I misspoke” or “I was wrong” — simply admit the brain fart and move on.  But this moron head case is incapable of that.  He demands imposing his batshit crazy will on the media and the rest of us whether we want to hear it or not.  Further, he's incapable of admitting his errors which is a key criterion for a president.  But the shark story shows that his insistence on his own infallibility is getting worse.  He's now entered the domain of the certifiably insane, as in the shithouse rat. Who go slowly nuts cause all they have to consume is....well, you know.

 Sadly, Trump's rapid fire verbal salads and bombast are often misconstrued as youthful energy, a fact he has used to great effect, referring to Mr. Biden as “sleepy Joe”.  But in truth, it is "sane Joe", the guy who has full possession of his faculties and doesn't barf out excrement who is the guy I'd trust with the nuclear codes.

As for the swing voters we are told we must listen to, I have about as much use for them as those morons back in 2000 who - when asked what they looked for in a president rambled: "He's a guy I'd like to have a beer with!"

Showing again the true swing voters are disengaged from political news; in fact, many avoid it  - as one NY Times columnist put it: "with a determination normally reserved for toxic exes, ticks and food poisoning."

So why should I pay any more attention to these ignoramuses than to Trump? Oh yeah, because to the extent they learn what’s said on Thursday, it’ll be via repackaged clips on social media.  The province of the low IQ denizens. As proof of their low IQ, ignoramus status one only needs to read this mind boggling news in the WaPo:

Trump leads in 5 of 7 states most likely to determine the election, polling averages say

And:

Trump is trusted more than Biden on democracy among key swing-state voters

Which incited Janice to ask: What form of rat shit mixed with psycho shrooms and marijuana are these bumpkin twits sucking on? Do they even know what democracy is or that Trump tried to overthrow it in 2021?

Or this apt response in a WaPo comment:

I really loathe these people, dumb as a bucket of rocks. I would bet most of them are sitting around 80-90 IQ.

Which also brings to mind this timely warning from history:









Not that most of these young Turks (18 to 25) know any history, say before 1940.

Oh lastly, concerning tests for cognitive aptitude. As medical specialist Daniela Lamas aptly noted in her recent NY Times piece:

 "Mr. Trump has been effusive about doing well on the Montreal Cognitive Assessment in 2018 and recently said Mr. Biden should take the test. But what isn’t clear in Mr. Trump’s statements is that this is a screening test for dementia or other cognitive decline, not a test of aptitude."

So the raging, loudmouth dimwit can't even distinguish between a dementia screening test (which might ask the person to draw the hands of a clock for a particular time, e.g. 1: 40 p.m.) and an actual aptitude test which genuinely tests cognitive aptitude (like verbal analogies). 

Because Dotard couldn't even get this difference right in his blabbery we have to say he flunks both.  Finally, we all deserve to see the new movie 'The Apprentice' about Trump's rise to power.  See e.g.

Inside the battle to release controversial Trump movie ‘The Apprentice’

But I understand the MAGA thugs are doing a lot of arm twisting and making threats to ensure it doesn't see the inside of cinemas.  Can't have the little orange dickhead seen in a bad light now, can we? Especially in a critical election year when too many voters are concerned about Biden's mental fitness and age.  When they should be more concerned with Trump's batshit insanity.  As former Bush campaign strategist Matthew Dowd put it on Deadline Whitehouse:

  "Look, Joe Biden is the old guy if you let him house sit might forget to turn the lights off some nights, but he'll feed your kitty, bring the mail in and lock up at night. Trump will kill your kitty -  not feeding him -  leave the doors unlocked and share any loot with the burglars that come in."

Bingo!

See Also:

 And:

 Voters Nostalgic For Trump Return To White House Need To Know Exactly Who's Behind It 

 And:

by Joan McCarter | June 25, 2024 - 7:13am | permalink

— from Daily Kos

The Biden campaign has settled on an overriding message, a warning for the electorate: Trump would be way worse in a second term.

“Let’s get to the message of the campaign,” President Joe Biden said in a fundraiser last month. “When he lost in 2020, something snapped in him.”

He’s been repeating that line in campaign speeches ever since.

That’s the overarching theme for the campaign, Biden’s pollster Geoff Garin told the Washington Post.

“The number one priority is to make sure that voters understand that Trump was a bad president, and he will be even worse if he has a second term. … The hinge is Trump’s response to losing the 2020 election—‘snapping,’ as President Biden says—and becoming unhinged,” Garin said.


Monday, June 24, 2024

Dispelling The Top Ten Myths About Darwinian Evolution Pumped By The Christian Right

 The Christian Right, beginning in the 1970s, has had a 'hard-on to battle Darwin's theory of evolution and anyone promoting it. Something I noticed when I began teaching evolution as part of an O-Level Biology course as a Peace Corps volunteer.  Within two weeks, after learning I had used changes in the moth species Biston Betularia as evidence, I was challenged  to a debate by a Scripture teacher. Suffice it to say, it did not go well for the bible-puncher, whose claims (e.g. the Earth is 6,000 years old) I was able to easily puncture using my astronomy background.  Anyway, here are 10 of the most used myths the anti-Darwinists have tried to get away with - at least since the 70s

1. If Evolution’s true then why don’t we see apes evolving into humans?

This myth errs in not recognizing that humans, apes and monkeys are all distant cousins, as opposed to species in the same SINGLE evolutionary path. Humans don’t come from apes but from a common ancestor that was neither ape nor human in the distant past. Also, it overlooks the algorithmic branching basis of evolution, see e.g.


Thus, multiple evolutionary offshoots (as shown above) confirm no (single) primate evolution is based on a single path. Thus in the past seven million years there have evolved multiple hominid species including Homo HabilisHomo Erectus, and Homo Neanderthalis- all of which went extinct along the way- except modern humans or Homo sapiens. Meanwhile the idea of current apes evolving to humans totally turns this algorithmic-convergence on its head, and proposes a singly determined evolutionary path!

Less well known is the crucial role that dentition analysis and tool making play in sorting the fossils of prehistoric humans. For example, one of the first questions the investigator will ask is whether a given jaw and teeth found in it, can accommodate flesh eating. For some fortunate cases, this is also answered by the fossils found in the vicinity of the hominid ones. For example, in the case of one Au. garhi fossil (see image of this hominid) an antelope jawbone was found nearby and on it ancient cut marks disclosing its tongue had been sliced out using a stone tool. Radio-nuclide dating of both fossils traced them to the same time.

Obviously, genetic testing is the optimum or gold standard. In one of the most powerful ever demonstrations of the validity of human evolution, Yunis and Prakash, 1982, Science, Vol. 215, p. 1525, 'The Origin of Man: A Chromosomal Pictorial Legacy', showed that the human chromosome designated '2' was the result of the telomeric fusion of the two ape chromosomes, 2p and 2q. The effect also saw the reduction from 24 chromosome pairs in apes, to 23 pairs in humans. In other words, the duo of ape chromosomes (2p and 2q) can be considered prima facie evidence that humans and apes share a common descent.


2. No one’s ever actually seen evolution occur!

In fact, we do observe evolution happening especially with organisms (e.g. fruit flies, viruses, bacteria) that possess short reproductive cycles. The problem arises because creationists treat micro-evolution disparately from macro-evolution. Because they don't regard the former as part of a continuum leading to the latter, they consider "macro-evolution" the only genuine form. (By “micro-evolution” we mean minute evolutionary change, involving a small proportion of DNA. For example, the emergence of an orange-eyed fruit fly (drosophilia melanogaster) after 20 generations would demonstrate microevolution.)

Macro-evolution entails a proportionately large change in the DNA underlying it that probably reflects ongoing natural selection, over significant time. For example, the change from a cold-blooded dinosaur to a warm-blooded dinosaur that’s a precursor of modern birds would be a case of macroevolution.

The point missed by the Creationists (or perhaps they never processed it in the first place) is that it is hundreds (or thousands) of micro-evolution transitional components that engender macroevolution, whereas creationists think they are two totally distinct aspects that are unrelated. Once one accepts the two are integrated into one interwoven process then one can accept that we DO see evolution actually occurring as when fruit flies have altered their wing shape or eye color after 20 generations!

Once more, the key aspect that shows micro-evolution is real evolution is the fact that gene frequencies are observed to change (along with the fitness) as time goes on. Thus, it is not simply like "breeding cattle" or different species of dogs (for which many varieties may actually see the gene frequency alter in negative directions, with fitness reduced).

To fix ideas: gene frequencies help determine the success (and progress)  of natural selection. In natural selection there is a genetic "favoritism", as it were, for certain species' traits or characteristics to be passed on or selected out of a group of competing traits in the gene pool. In more technical terms, preferential alleles appear by virtue of their relative increase in gene frequency.

Two quantitative measures for success of natural selection are the fitness (w) and the selective value (s): These can be measured on either absolute or relative scales, but are related algebraically on the latter by:


w = 1 – s, or s = 1 – w


As an illustration, consider a cockroach species (Blattella germanica) with allele D, where D denotes resistance to the pesticide dieldrin, and d denotes non-resistance. In the population after some defined time, let three genotypes be exhibited in the population: DD, Dd and dd.  Now, on average over time let each dd and Dd individual produce one offspring, and each DD produce two. These average numbers can be used to indicate the genotype’s absolute fitness and to project the changes in gene frequency over succeeding generations. The relative fitness (w) is meanwhile given by:   w = 1 for DD

w = 0.5 for Dd

w = 0.5 for dd

The selection values, or relative measures of the reduction of fitness for each genotype, are given respectively by:


s = 1 – 1 = 0 for DD

s = 1 – 0.5 = 0.5 for Dd

s = 1 – 0.5 = 0.5 for dd

As we expect, the dieldrin-resistant genotype displays zero reduction in fitness, and hence maximum survival rate. By contrast the d allele can be regarded as ‘deleterious’. Indeed, it can be shown that over successive generations of roaches, the gene frequency (of d) will decrease by:


D q= -spq2/(1 - sq2)


Here p is the frequency of the favored allele, and q the frequency of the disadvantaged (‘deleterious’) allele. Let’s say at a particular time a gene frequency ‘snapshot’ of the cockroach population under study yields: p(D) = 0.60, q(d) = 0.40, i.e. the favored allele D is reproducing at the ratio 3:2 relative to the disadvantaged one, d. Then one can work out how the alleles' frequencies vary over multiple generations. Of course, since the fundies - most of them- can't do simple algebra, this will be beyond them ....so they will never accept it!


3) Evolutionists claim the process occurs by random chance how can that be?

Not so. Natural selection is not “random” nor does it operate by “chance”. What happens is that once a particular mutation is stabilized, then natural selection preserves the gains and eradicates the mistakes (to enhance better adaptation). Meanwhile, "chance" would be like me sitting a monkey down in front of a type writer or computer keyboard and hoping there is some "chance" it will type out at least one page of coherent script. But since a monkey will likely not recognize any key - or even if it does, then make a connection to words, or how to compose them into articulated thoughts - this isn't likely. It all rests on CHANCE!

Meanwhile, natural selection rests on preferred steps each of which consolidate former steps while advancing the adaptation. Thus, the eye evolved from a single light sensitive spot in a cell to the complex organ we behold today not by chance but rather by thousands of intermediate steps – each preserved because they assured better adaptation if incorporated, and hence a better eye. Many of these steps can still be observed today in simpler organisms.

Richard Dawkins perhaps put it best:

"What natural selection does is to consolidate particular random mutations into a more stable, adaptive adjustment – governed by deterministic factors and inputs. Thus, that while the selected trait often appears at random, its preservation in the gene structure cannot be relegated to randomness”

Again, his distinction between deterministic and random factors and inputs is perhaps too subtle for creationists and their ilk to comprehend. After all, most have never taken even a high school biology course, far less a college level one.


4) The Second Law of Thermodynamics disproves Evolution

This myth commits at least two fundamental errors:

(a) The error which assumes that evolution means more primitive organisms develop into more complex or organized ones, and, 

(b) The error that the second law (because it refers to increasing disorder or "entropy") applies to all living things- hence it is impossible they can "evolve" to more orderly, organized forms.

Consider (a) first: At no point and no place do evolutionists claim that more organized forms are the inevitable manifestation of natural selection and adaptation, and represent evolutionary success.What evolution states,which any high school biology student learns, is that the species which survive best are the most well adapted to their environment.

Thus, the humble cockroach beats just about all other species on Earth for evolutionary success given it's been around for 150 million years. Humans, though much more complex and organized than cockroaches, have only been around in their modern form for barely 1.5 million years, if that. Humans, up to now, have enjoyed  barely 1/100 th the evolutionary success of the cockroach, measured in time!

Now, as to (b), this is a common error of those who've never taken advanced physics, but just read Googled excerpts. It's basically a direct result of misinterpretation of the 2nd law, something I often see from those who've never taken a serious physics course. Strictly speaking,  the law states:

Entropy (the state of disorder) will tend to increase over time in any closed system

This is generally expressed in statistical mechanics terms as:

s = log g


Where 'g' denotes the number of accessible states. In other words, in a closed system we will expect the probability of increasing entropy and that means increasing accessible states.  This was discussed at length when we looked at assorted spin systems (see the series on 'Order and disorder' earlier this month) and noted that 
higher entropy - as in a state with low excess spin- corresponds to the most probable state. Say a  closed magnetic spin system S(2), has 10 spin ups while S(1) has five, then S(2) has a much higher degree of order (less entropy) than the system S(1). 

The part about closed systems is very crucial since it is exactly the part that the creationist-ID crowd omits, which renders their complaints using the 2nd law non-starters. The reason is that neither the Earth nor its biological systems are "closed" systems, hence do not exhibit constantly increasing disorder. The Earth, for example, receives a constant input of radiant energy from the Sun - quantified as some 1360 joules per square meter per second. Plants on the Earth are likewise OPEN to solar energy, and receive it and then use it in the process of photo-synthesis.


Since Earth is an open-dissipative system then at any given time for any subsystem, entropy may decrease and order increase, thus life may evolve without violating any natural laws.


Bottom line: so long as the Sun is radiating its energy, life can continue thriving and evolving. (Thus, more highly organized organisms such as humans have had the capacity to emerge, by dint of this input energy which they've been able to consume and retain - if only briefly).

 

5) Only an Intelligent Designer could have made something as complex as the eye


Richard Dawkins originally shot this specious reasoning down when he observed:

"This kind of default reasoning leaves completely open the possibility that, if the bacterial flagellum is too complex to have evolved, it might also be too complex to have been created. And indeed, a moment's thought shows that any God capable of creating a bacterial flagellum (to say nothing of a universe) would have to be a far more complex, and therefore a more statistically improbable entity than the bacterial flagellum (or universe) itself - even more in need of an explanation than the object he is alleged to have created"

At the very minimum, advocates of such a complex intelligent designer should at least have provided the necessary and sufficient conditions by which its design operates, but they haven't even done that.

Secondly, the anatomy of the eye certainly doesn't bespeak the existence of any kind of intelligent designer, but rather more the outcome from an algorithmic process. For example, it's built upside down and backwards- with photons of light having to actually travel through the cornea, lens, aqueous fluid, blood vessels, ganglion and amacrine cells, horizontal and bipolar cells, before reaching the light sensitive rods and cones that convert the light into neural impulses. (Which are then sent to the visual cortex at the rear of the brain for processing into meaningful patterns).

For optimal vision, why would an intelligent designer have built an eye upside down and backwards? Further, why on earth create it with a blind spot? What kind of "intelligent" design is that?

Far from a "designer" being in any way involved, the human eye betrays the pathways and structures that naturally would result from an evolutionary dynamic based on natural selection!

6) Too Many Gaps Exist in the Fossil Record for Evolution to be true.

This is a common myth, but it ignores that fact we have hundreds of intermediary fossils, such as for Archaeopteryx (one of the earliest known fossil birds with reptilian skeleton and feathers). We also have the records for a number of Therapsids, the intermediate species between reptiles and mammals. We also have the intermediary record for Tiktaalik – an extinct, lobe-finned fish fitting between fish and amphibians. Not to mention records to piece together a very coherent picture for the elephant (see diagram)

Further we know (based on fossil evidence) there are at least six intermediate stages in the evolution of whales and a dozen intermediate stages since the hominids branched off from the great progenitor common ancestor apes 6 million years ago.

In any case, as I also showed in many previous blogs, fossil record evidence does not make up the entire evidentiary constellation for evolution. We also have genetic evidence for common ancestry, for example of chimps and humans – as revealed in both having exactly the same cytochrome-c protein sequence – for which the odds are unfathomably remote (1 in 10 to the 93rd power) to be mere coincidence.

Of course, none of this will make a dime's worth of difference to fundamentalist creationist, because they don't adhere to scientific reasoning but only what's in their 2,000+ year old scriptures.

7) Evolution's only a theory and we know theories are just speculation.

This myth is based on a simple misconception of what constitutes a theory, confusing (or conflating) it with conjecture or speculation. In fact, a theory is the most advanced articulation of the scientific process: it represents the phase at which a hypothesis has actually been found to meet its predictive tests, and been confirmed. Thus, all branches of science are based on theories. For example, in physics we have the modern quantum theory (which explains the origin of the spectral lines in atoms, as well as their energy levels) and the theory of general relativity - which accounts for the action of gravitational fields near massive objects.

A theory is considered robust and reliable if it consistently predicts new phenomena that are subsequently observed. Facts then, are the world's data, and the theory of evolution is replete with them, including: the fact that humans and chimps display the same cytochrome-c protein sequence, and the fact that the 2p and 2q chromosomes in apes have undergone telomeric fusion to become the single '2' chromosome in humans. Thus, theories represent explanatory ideas about such facts we behold.

Speculations, meanwhile, are nontestable statements that are not strictly part of science. The "intelligent designer" is such a speculation until such time the ID backers can come up with not only an explanation for its nature (especially the necessary and sufficient conditions) but also describe specific tests by which we may confirm its existence.

Unlike the speculation of the ID, the theory of evolution meets all the criteria of good science, including:

- It's guided by specific natural laws and principles

- It is explanatory by reference to these self- same natural laws and principles

- it is testable by way of using those laws and principles - against the actual patterns, constraints of the empirical world

- It is not only testable but also falsifiable using tests


By contrast, no ID proponent has yet informed us how to falsify any of his claims, not one! Until he does so, he can't be said to possess the most remote semblance of a theory. What he is then advocating is a religious belief.

8) Evidence for Evolution Has Turned Out To Be Fake or Frauds

In their eagerness to discredit evolution too many creationists - like Duane Gish - e.g.


who have actually claimed humans 'walked with dinosaurs' (such as at a talk he delivered when I was at UAF in 1986).  And this blabbery despite zero evidence. Meanwhile, simply ignoring the major hominid fossil discoveries of the last century and cherry-picking examples of historical hoaxes, often in the belief that mistakes in science are a sign of weakness.  But this is a gross misunderstanding given science advances by acknowledgement and correction of mistakes in what we call successive approximations. (Hoaxes like Piltdown Man are always ultimately exposed because the 'evidence' doesn't match the claims. Meanwhile, honest mistakes like Nebraska Man and Calaveras Man are eventually corrected as more comprehensive evidence emerges.  

And let us note, it wasn't creationists like Duane Gish who exposed these errors, it was scientists using more refined methods and data. Creationists simply read about these errors then try to capitalize on them as if they themselves made the discoveries - duplicitously claiming the new results as their own.

9) If evolution happened gradually why doesn't the fossil record show gradual change?

 Creationists in this case simple fail to appreciate that sudden changes in the fossil record are not missing evidence of gradualism.  They are instead evidence of punctuation.  It was Steven J. Gould who first saw that the change from one species to another can sometimes occur quickly (on a geological time scale) in a process he called "punctuated equilibrium."   

Typically in this process one species can give rise to a new species or 'founder group' which breaks away and becomes isolated from the ancestral group.  The new group, so long as it remains small and detached may experience relatively rapid change.  The speciational change occurs so quickly that few fossils are left to record it. When Gish himself was asked about this at the UAF lecture he claimed he never heard of punctuated equilibrium or Steven J. Gould. Which figures because he admitted he didn't read any books outside the Bible.


10)Evolution Can't Account for Morality


In fact, the most recent research into primates shows that morality of a sort isn't peculiar to humans - as one find self-sacrifice and sharing behavior in monkeys, as well as in dolphins, gorillas, whales, and elephants.

As a social primate species, humans also evolved a deeep sense of right and wrong, probably emerging during the transition from the hunter-gatherer culture of the Stone Age to the Agricultural milieu. Because humans in the latter framework depended on reciprocity and cooperation to get crops harvested and that meant sharing the bounty for all. This stability for the purpose of shared work also required strict moral codes to preserve the cohesion of the group and its survival. Thus, certain behaviors such as selfish hoarding, rape, theft, or wanton aggression were unacceptable. Current evidence suggests human morality was in place on this basis long before the first religions appeared.

Thus it was that evolution created the social and moral sensibilities and emotions that inform us that lying, adultery, murder and stealing are wrong because they destroy the the trust in human relationships contingent on truth-telling. No "Ten commandments" was needed.

Nor would it be possible for a social primate species to survive without some inborn, evolved moral sense. Without that moral sense, for example, no outrage would be expressed at the rape and torture of others, and because of this incapacity, the unique cohesion and order binding human societies would soon be destroyed. Our recognition of the pain and suffering of others is a direct outgrowth of these evolved moral emotions, not an invented "god". Especially the one sought out by fundies in their scriptures who can approve wholesale genocide without batting an eyelash (if he had one!)

Contrary to religious fabrications, it is the evolved moral and ethical sensibility which enables us to empathize with the suffering of our fellows while also recognizing that such suffering inflicted by peer aggression is wrong. We need no god to tell us this, and what religions have done is merely to appropriate the natural moral sense and smother it with hundreds of religious platitudes, scriptural mandates and rules. Thus, on the evolutionary constitution of a moral human nature is built the stable constitution of human societies. Those which tend to forget that, or allow temporary tendencies such as greed blind them, will pay the price by not surviving.

See Also:

Why 'Intelligent Design' Is Not A Useful (Or Rational) Explanation of Human Origin 

And: